PIT @ HOU Hits Allowed matchups · Thursday, June 4, 2026

PIT

Pittsburgh Pirates

5–1

Final

HOU

Houston Astros

◆ Daikin ParkElevation 45 ftCenter Field 409 ft☀ 73°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None

Jared Jones · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate25.0% Hits / BF

vs LHB27.3%

vs RHB20.2%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.5%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.5 BF

Expected batters faced22.5

From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.9 H

Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-110-120

BOVBovada-110-130

DKDraftKings-104-127

We project 4.9 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

HOU lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Jeremy Peña (R)25.8%3.0 PA

2Yordan Alvarez (L)24.0%3.0 PA

3Christian Walker (R)21.4%3.0 PA

4Isaac Paredes (R)19.4%3.0 PA

5LaMonte Wade Jr. (L)16.9%2.5 PA

6Cam Smith (R)21.5%2.0 PA

7Taylor Trammell (L)22.7%2.0 PA

8Collin Price (R)22.5%2.0 PA

9Jake Meyers (R)22.0%2.0 PA

Kai-Wei Teng · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate17.9% Hits / BF

vs LHB19.7%

vs RHB18.2%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.3%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload15.9 BF

Expected batters faced15.9

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.2 H

Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

PIT lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Spencer Horwitz (L)24.4%2.0 PA

2Brandon Lowe (L)23.1%2.0 PA

3Bryan Reynolds (L)21.7%2.0 PA

4Ryan O'Hearn (L)24.3%2.0 PA

5Nick Gonzales (R)27.5%2.0 PA

6Oneil Cruz (L)21.3%2.0 PA

7Endy Rodríguez (L)21.8%1.9 PA

8Jake Mangum (L)25.0%1.0 PA

9Jared Triolo (R)19.2%1.0 PA