‹ Hits Allowed · Thursday, June 4, 2026
BAL @ BOS Hits Allowed matchups · Thursday, June 4, 2026
BAL
Baltimore Orioles
8–2
Final
BOS
Boston Red Sox
◆ Fenway ParkElevation 21 ftCenter Field 420 ft☀ 87°F SunnyWind 10 mph, Out To LF
Trevor Rogers · LHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.8%
vs RHB24.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)8.7%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.6 BF
Expected batters faced21.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.3 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+100-135
BOVBovada+110-150
DKDraftKings+112-148
FANFanatics-105-135
We project 5.3 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
BOS lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Jarren Duran (L)22.7%3.0 PA
2Ceddanne Rafaela (R)22.8%3.0 PA
3Wilyer Abreu (L)29.2%3.0 PA
4Willson Contreras (R)22.8%2.6 PA
5Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R)21.5%2.0 PA
6Anthony Seigler (R)24.5%2.0 PA
7Caleb Durbin (R)20.6%2.0 PA
8Carlos Narváez (R)23.8%2.0 PA
9Connor Wong (R)20.7%2.0 PA
Brayan Bello · RHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate25.0% Hits / BF
vs LHB25.2%
vs RHB23.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.0 BF
Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.6 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-120-110
BOVBovada-115-125
DKDraftKings-110-120
We project 5.6 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
BAL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Taylor Ward (R)20.1%3.0 PA
2Gunnar Henderson (L)22.3%3.0 PA
3Adley Rutschman (L)21.4%3.0 PA
4Pete Alonso (R)23.3%3.0 PA
5Samuel Basallo (L)24.0%3.0 PA
6Leody Taveras (L)24.1%2.0 PA
7Colton Cowser (L)23.1%2.0 PA
8Coby Mayo (R)18.3%2.0 PA
9Jackson Holliday (L)23.4%2.0 PA