TOR @ ATL Hits Allowed matchups · Thursday, June 4, 2026

TOR

Toronto Blue Jays

7–2

Final

ATL

Atlanta Braves

◆ Truist ParkElevation 1,001 ftCenter Field 400 ft☀ 80°F ClearWind 5 mph, In From LF

Mason Fluharty · LHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.1% Hits / BF

vs LHB18.4%

vs RHB25.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.9%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload8.5 BF

Expected batters faced8.5

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.8 H

Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

ATL lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA

1Ronald Acuña Jr. (R)17.9%1.0 PA

2Mauricio Dubón (R)21.9%1.0 PA

3Matt Olson (L)23.6%1.0 PA

4Ozzie Albies (R)26.2%1.0 PA

5Michael Harris II (L)24.5%1.0 PA

6Dominic Smith (L)23.7%1.0 PA

7Austin Riley (R)20.4%1.0 PA

8Mike Yastrzemski (L)19.9%1.0 PA

9Austin Wynns (R)20.0%0.5 PA

Chris Sale · LHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.6% Hits / BF

vs LHB21.4%

vs RHB19.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.9%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.6 BF

Expected batters faced24.6

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.8 H

Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-140+105

BOVBovada-140+100

DKDraftKings-136+103

FANFanatics-150+105

We project 4.8 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

TOR lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA

1George Springer (R)21.3%3.0 PA

2Ernie Clement (R)22.8%3.0 PA

3Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)24.4%3.0 PA

4Kazuma Okamoto (R)23.8%3.0 PA

5Andrés Giménez (L)18.5%3.0 PA

6Nathan Lukes (L)20.3%3.0 PA

7Myles Straw (R)20.2%2.6 PA

8Tyler Heineman (R)23.1%2.0 PA

9Daulton Varsho (L)23.1%2.0 PA