‹ Hits Allowed · Friday, June 5, 2026
PIT @ ATL Hits Allowed matchups · Friday, June 5, 2026
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
3–6
Final
ATL
Atlanta Braves
◆ Truist ParkElevation 1,001 ftCenter Field 400 ft☀ 82°F Partly CloudyWind 5 mph, R To L
Mitch Keller · RHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.3% Hits / BF
vs LHB24.9%
vs RHB20.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.1%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.5 BF
Expected batters faced23.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.4 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-125
BOVBovada-125-115
DKDraftKings-120-111
We project 5.4 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
ATL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Ronald Acuña Jr. (R)24.1%3.0 PA
2Eli White (R)21.6%3.0 PA
3Matt Olson (L)22.3%3.0 PA
4Ozzie Albies (L)22.4%3.0 PA
5Mauricio Dubón (R)24.0%3.0 PA
6Dominic Smith (L)24.2%2.5 PA
7Austin Riley (R)20.2%2.0 PA
8Mike Yastrzemski (L)24.2%2.0 PA
9Sandy León (L)17.8%2.0 PA
Martín Pérez · LHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.4% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.8%
vs RHB20.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.3%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload17.7 BF
Expected batters faced17.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection3.8 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada+125-165
DKDraftKings+125-166
FANFanatics+110-155
We project 3.8 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
PIT lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Nick Gonzales (R)23.1%2.0 PA
2Brandon Lowe (L)21.6%2.0 PA
3Bryan Reynolds (R)25.0%2.0 PA
4Marcell Ozuna (R)21.4%2.0 PA
5Oneil Cruz (L)25.4%2.0 PA
6Ryan O'Hearn (L)23.3%2.0 PA
7Spencer Horwitz (L)22.0%2.0 PA
8Jared Triolo (R)23.7%2.0 PA
9Endy Rodríguez (R)21.1%1.7 PA