Best MLB hits allowed matchups — Friday, June 5, 2026
Every starting pitcher on the Friday, June 5, 2026 slate, scored — ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow. His hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. Results show how each call played out.
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload11.9 BF
Expected batters faced11.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.7 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.0% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Jeremy Peña (R)26.4%2.0
2. Brice Matthews (R)20.2%2.0
3. Christian Walker (R)21.8%1.9
4. Isaac Paredes (R)19.9%1.0
5. Jose Altuve (R)22.5%1.0
6. Cam Smith (R)20.4%1.0
7. Jake Meyers (R)22.2%1.0
8. Nick Allen (R)22.1%1.0
9. Christian Vázquez (R)22.3%1.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 3.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-135+100
We project 2.7 H vs the 3.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.4% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.8%
vs RHB20.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.3%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload17.7 BF
Expected batters faced17.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection3.8 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.0% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Nick Gonzales (R)23.1%2.0
2. Brandon Lowe (L)21.6%2.0
3. Bryan Reynolds (R)25.0%2.0
4. Marcell Ozuna (R)21.4%2.0
5. Oneil Cruz (L)25.4%2.0
6. Ryan O'Hearn (L)23.3%2.0
7. Spencer Horwitz (L)22.0%2.0
8. Jared Triolo (R)23.7%2.0
9. Endy Rodríguez (R)21.1%1.7
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada+125-165
DKDraftKings+125-166
FANFanatics+110-155
We project 3.8 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate25.8% Hits / BF
vs LHB25.6%
vs RHB23.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.2%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload16.6 BF
Expected batters faced16.6
From recent starts2
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.0 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.8% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Victor Mesa Jr. (L)20.4%2.0
2. Junior Caminero (R)23.7%2.0
3. Jonathan Aranda (L)24.1%2.0
4. Yandy Díaz (R)25.1%2.0
5. Richie Palacios (L)19.7%2.0
6. Ryan Vilade (R)20.7%2.0
7. Cedric Mullins (L)18.6%2.0
8. Nick Fortes (R)23.8%1.6
9. Taylor Walls (L)20.2%1.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.8% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.9%
vs RHB21.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.9%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload20.4 BF
Expected batters faced20.4
From recent starts7
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.2 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)23.9%3.0
2. Gavin Sheets (L)21.9%3.0
3. Manny Machado (R)17.8%2.4
4. Ty France (R)22.2%2.0
5. Jackson Merrill (L)20.0%2.0
6. Xander Bogaerts (R)20.8%2.0
7. Bryce Johnson (L)25.1%2.0
8. Sung-Mun Song (L)19.7%2.0
9. Rodolfo Durán (R)22.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-115-115
BOVBovada-125-115
DKDraftKings-120-111
FANFanatics-110-130
We project 4.2 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.7% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.8%
vs RHB24.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.6%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload19.7 BF
Expected batters faced19.7
From recent starts6
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.2 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Christian Yelich (L)24.6%3.0
2. Jackson Chourio (R)25.9%2.7
3. Brice Turang (L)23.2%2.0
4. Gary Sánchez (R)17.6%2.0
5. Jake Bauers (L)21.6%2.0
6. Garrett Mitchell (L)20.5%2.0
7. Sal Frelick (L)22.8%2.0
8. Joey Ortiz (R)19.1%2.0
9. David Hamilton (L)19.8%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+105-140
BOVBovada-120-120
DKDraftKings-116-114
We project 4.2 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate18.8% Hits / BF
vs LHB19.6%
vs RHB19.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.5%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.8 BF
Expected batters faced21.8
From recent starts7
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.3 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Taylor Ward (R)21.0%3.0
2. Blaze Alexander (R)25.2%3.0
3. Adley Rutschman (L)21.7%3.0
4. Pete Alonso (R)23.7%2.8
5. Jeremiah Jackson (R)23.5%2.0
6. Coby Mayo (R)18.4%2.0
7. Colton Cowser (L)22.8%2.0
8. Leody Taveras (L)24.2%2.0
9. Jackson Holliday (L)22.9%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+120-160
BOVBovada+115-155
DKDraftKings+115-152
We project 4.3 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.3% Hits / BF
vs LHB17.6%
vs RHB24.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)7.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.6 BF
Expected batters faced22.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.4 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.2% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Kyle Schwarber (L)23.0%3.0
2. Trea Turner (R)20.4%3.0
3. Bryce Harper (L)20.6%3.0
4. Alec Bohm (R)21.3%3.0
5. Justin Crawford (L)20.4%2.6
6. J.T. Realmuto (R)19.7%2.0
7. Brandon Marsh (L)22.7%2.0
8. Adolis García (R)20.5%2.0
9. Bryson Stott (L)22.3%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+115-155
BOVBovada+115-155
DKDraftKings+114-152
FANFanatics+110-155
We project 4.4 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.3% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.2%
vs RHB20.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.3%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.5 BF
Expected batters faced22.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.5 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.1% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Wyatt Langford (R)18.5%3.0
2. Corey Seager (L)19.1%3.0
3. Josh Jung (R)23.0%3.0
4. Brandon Nimmo (L)22.3%3.0
5. Ezequiel Duran (R)21.4%2.5
6. Joc Pederson (L)22.4%2.0
7. Jake Burger (R)23.1%2.0
8. Kyle Higashioka (R)23.0%2.0
9. Evan Carter (L)17.0%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-145+105
DKDraftKings-142+107
We project 4.5 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.1% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.3%
vs RHB20.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.9%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.6 BF
Expected batters faced22.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.5 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.9% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Carson Benge (L)21.2%3.0
2. Bo Bichette (R)21.5%3.0
3. Juan Soto (L)23.9%3.0
4. Jared Young (L)24.1%3.0
5. A.J. Ewing (L)24.3%2.6
6. Marcus Semien (R)20.4%2.0
7. Brett Baty (L)21.2%2.0
8. Mark Vientos (R)19.6%2.0
9. Luis Torrens (R)21.2%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-110-120
BOVBovada-120-120
DKDraftKings-116-115
We project 4.5 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.3%
vs RHB19.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.9%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.0 BF
Expected batters faced22.0
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.5 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Travis Bazzana (L)25.4%3.0
2. José Ramírez (L)20.5%3.0
3. Chase DeLauter (L)18.9%3.0
4. David Fry (R)23.5%3.0
5. Rhys Hoskins (R)19.8%2.0
6. Stuart Fairchild (R)21.3%2.0
7. Angel Martínez (L)20.6%2.0
8. Patrick Bailey (L)19.1%2.0
9. Brayan Rocchio (L)23.9%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-125-115
DKDraftKings-121-109
FANFanatics-125-115
We project 4.5 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.7% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.9%
vs RHB22.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.2 BF
Expected batters faced21.2
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.7 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.9% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Trent Grisham (L)22.0%3.0
2. Ben Rice (L)24.0%3.0
3. Paul Goldschmidt (R)20.1%3.0
4. Cody Bellinger (L)22.3%2.2
5. Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L)21.5%2.0
6. Max Schuemann (R)20.6%2.0
7. Anthony Volpe (R)19.4%2.0
8. Amed Rosario (R)23.8%2.0
9. José Caballero (R)23.0%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-140+105
BOVBovada-145+105
DKDraftKings-140+105
FANFanatics-165+115
We project 4.7 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.5%
vs RHB21.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.9%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.7 BF
Expected batters faced22.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.7 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.0% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Michael Conforto (L)22.4%3.0
2. Kevin Alcántara (R)21.4%3.0
3. Alex Bregman (R)22.3%3.0
4. Seiya Suzuki (R)21.6%3.0
5. Pedro Ramírez (R)22.5%2.7
6. Carson Kelly (R)23.6%2.0
7. Michael Busch (L)20.3%2.0
8. Miguel Amaya (R)23.2%2.0
9. Dansby Swanson (R)20.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada+115-155
DKDraftKings+115-152
FANFanatics+105-150
We project 4.7 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.9% Hits / BF
vs LHB19.8%
vs RHB21.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)20.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.8 BF
Expected batters faced22.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.7 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.3% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Gleyber Torres (R)25.2%3.0
2. Kevin McGonigle (L)24.6%3.0
3. Dillon Dingler (R)23.4%3.0
4. Matt Vierling (R)20.0%3.0
5. Riley Greene (L)26.2%2.8
6. Spencer Torkelson (R)20.2%2.0
7. Colt Keith (L)23.4%2.0
8. Zach McKinstry (L)17.9%2.0
9. Zack Short (R)19.8%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-135+100
BOVBovada-160+120
DKDraftKings-159+119
We project 4.7 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.6%
vs RHB24.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.5 BF
Expected batters faced21.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.7 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.2% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Jake McCarthy (L)22.1%3.0
2. Tyler Freeman (R)23.6%3.0
3. Chad Stevens (R)18.8%3.0
4. Hunter Goodman (R)22.7%2.5
5. Troy Johnston (L)29.0%2.0
6. Willi Castro (L)21.3%2.0
7. Ezequiel Tovar (R)21.9%2.0
8. Sterlin Thompson (L)22.5%2.0
9. Brett Sullivan (L)18.3%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-125
BOVBovada-125-115
DKDraftKings-118-112
FANFanatics-110-130
We project 4.7 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.8% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.1%
vs RHB20.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)22.6%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.9 BF
Expected batters faced23.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.9 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Shohei Ohtani (L)25.1%3.0
2. Andy Pages (R)25.5%3.0
3. Freddie Freeman (L)21.9%3.0
4. Mookie Betts (R)22.2%3.0
5. Kyle Tucker (L)22.6%3.0
6. Will Smith (R)19.3%2.9
7. Alex Call (R)26.7%2.0
8. Max Muncy (L)20.0%2.0
9. Alex Freeland (R)20.8%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+115-155
BOVBovada+110-150
DKDraftKings+109-145
We project 4.9 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.7% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.9%
vs RHB20.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)8.7%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.6 BF
Expected batters faced23.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.0 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.8% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Patrick Wisdom (R)19.6%3.0
2. Julio Rodríguez (R)23.6%3.0
3. Randy Arozarena (R)22.3%3.0
4. Josh Naylor (L)24.3%3.0
5. Dominic Canzone (L)21.5%3.0
6. Mitch Garver (R)22.9%2.6
7. Cole Young (L)21.5%2.0
8. Luke Raley (L)18.9%2.0
9. Colt Emerson (L)21.3%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-115-115
BOVBovada-125-115
DKDraftKings-120-110
FANFanatics-125-115
We project 5.0 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.1% Hits / BF
vs LHB24.5%
vs RHB17.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.6%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.4 BF
Expected batters faced22.4
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.0 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Liam Hicks (L)22.5%3.0
2. Otto Lopez (R)25.3%3.0
3. Kyle Stowers (L)22.2%3.0
4. Xavier Edwards (L)25.4%3.0
5. Javier Sanoja (R)23.2%2.4
6. Owen Caissie (L)21.9%2.0
7. Jakob Marsee (L)19.5%2.0
8. Joe Mack (L)22.5%2.0
9. Esteury Ruiz (R)21.0%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-140+105
FANFanatics-165+115
We project 5.0 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.4% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.7%
vs RHB21.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.2%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.7 BF
Expected batters faced22.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.1 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.3% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Zach Neto (R)22.5%3.0
2. Mike Trout (R)20.0%3.0
3. Wade Meckler (L)29.0%3.0
4. Jo Adell (R)19.9%3.0
5. Donovan Walton (L)24.8%2.7
6. Oswald Peraza (R)24.6%2.0
7. Nick Madrigal (R)28.3%2.0
8. Logan O'Hoppe (R)19.8%2.0
9. Adam Frazier (L)21.0%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada+100-140
DKDraftKings+106-141
FANFanatics-120-120
We project 5.1 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.2% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.4%
vs RHB23.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.2%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.3 BF
Expected batters faced23.3
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.1 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.8% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Chase Meidroth (R)26.5%3.0
2. Andrew Benintendi (L)21.2%3.0
3. Miguel Vargas (R)23.9%3.0
4. Colson Montgomery (L)22.1%3.0
5. Edgar Quero (R)20.3%3.0
6. Jacob Gonzalez (L)22.5%2.3
7. Sam Antonacci (L)18.1%2.0
8. Rikuu Nishida (L)22.5%2.0
9. Tristan Peters (L)19.0%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-145+105
BOVBovada-160+120
DKDraftKings-159+120
We project 5.1 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.0% Hits / BF
vs LHB25.3%
vs RHB19.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.6 BF
Expected batters faced23.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.1 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Jarren Duran (L)21.9%3.0
2. Ceddanne Rafaela (R)23.0%3.0
3. Wilyer Abreu (L)28.7%3.0
4. Willson Contreras (R)22.7%3.0
5. Caleb Durbin (R)21.3%3.0
6. Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R)21.0%2.6
7. Marcelo Mayer (L)22.9%2.0
8. Mickey Gasper (R)20.5%2.0
9. Connor Wong (R)21.2%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-140+105
BOVBovada-160+120
DKDraftKings-160+120
We project 5.1 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB19.1%
vs RHB21.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.8 BF
Expected batters faced23.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.2 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.0% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Ildemaro Vargas (R)25.9%3.0
2. Ryan Waldschmidt (R)26.0%3.0
3. Pavin Smith (L)20.8%3.0
4. Adrian Del Castillo (L)20.1%3.0
5. LuJames Groover (R)22.5%3.0
6. Geraldo Perdomo (R)21.2%2.8
7. Tommy Troy (R)26.3%2.0
8. Aramis Garcia (R)23.8%2.0
9. Jorge Barrosa (R)20.6%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-125
BOVBovada-120-120
DKDraftKings-115-115
FANFanatics-120-120
We project 5.2 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.9% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.2%
vs RHB23.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.4 BF
Expected batters faced23.4
From recent starts4
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.2 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.8% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Starling Marte (R)22.5%3.0
2. Bobby Witt Jr. (R)23.6%3.0
3. Lane Thomas (R)19.3%3.0
4. Salvador Perez (R)19.0%3.0
5. Jac Caglianone (L)21.2%3.0
6. Isaac Collins (L)20.0%2.4
7. Michael Massey (L)24.2%2.0
8. Maikel Garcia (R)23.4%2.0
9. Kyle Isbel (L)23.2%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-105-135
DKDraftKings+100-132
We project 5.2 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate24.8% Hits / BF
vs LHB27.7%
vs RHB20.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.5%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.2 BF
Expected batters faced23.2
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.3 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.9% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Blake Dunn (R)23.0%3.0
2. JJ Bleday (L)22.4%3.0
3. Spencer Steer (R)22.2%3.0
4. Sal Stewart (R)22.1%3.0
5. Nathaniel Lowe (L)23.0%3.0
6. Eugenio Suárez (R)19.9%2.2
7. Noelvi Marte (R)22.2%2.0
8. Tyler Stephenson (R)20.2%2.0
9. Edwin Arroyo (L)22.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada+120-160
DKDraftKings+120-160
We project 5.3 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB17.1%
vs RHB25.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.5 BF
Expected batters faced23.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.3 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Carlos Cortes (L)24.5%3.0
2. Shea Langeliers (R)21.3%3.0
3. Nick Kurtz (L)23.6%3.0
4. Brent Rooker (R)20.5%3.0
5. Tyler Soderstrom (L)23.2%3.0
6. Henry Bolte (R)22.5%2.5
7. Zack Gelof (R)22.9%2.0
8. Colby Thomas (R)21.6%2.0
9. Darell Hernaiz (R)22.4%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada+110-150
DKDraftKings+113-150
FANFanatics+105-150
We project 5.3 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.3% Hits / BF
vs LHB24.9%
vs RHB20.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.1%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.5 BF
Expected batters faced23.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.4 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.3% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Ronald Acuña Jr. (R)24.1%3.0
2. Eli White (R)21.6%3.0
3. Matt Olson (L)22.3%3.0
4. Ozzie Albies (L)22.4%3.0
5. Mauricio Dubón (R)24.0%3.0
6. Dominic Smith (L)24.2%2.5
7. Austin Riley (R)20.2%2.0
8. Mike Yastrzemski (L)24.2%2.0
9. Sandy León (L)17.8%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-125
BOVBovada-125-115
DKDraftKings-120-111
We project 5.4 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB19.4%
vs RHB24.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.9%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.8 BF
Expected batters faced24.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.4 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Tristan Gray (L)23.2%3.0
2. Brooks Lee (L)23.4%3.0
3. Kody Clemens (L)22.4%3.0
4. Josh Bell (L)22.6%3.0
5. Orlando Arcia (R)22.7%3.0
6. Luke Keaschall (R)23.6%3.0
7. Austin Martin (R)20.2%2.8
8. Ryan Kreidler (R)20.9%2.0
9. Alex Jackson (R)24.0%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+100-135
BOVBovada-120-120
DKDraftKings-114-116
FANFanatics-125-115
We project 5.4 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate24.8% Hits / BF
vs LHB26.0%
vs RHB22.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)7.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.5 BF
Expected batters faced22.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.6 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Lars Nootbaar (L)20.9%3.0
2. Iván Herrera (R)21.7%3.0
3. Alec Burleson (L)26.2%3.0
4. Jordan Walker (R)24.7%3.0
5. Bryan Torres (L)24.7%2.5
6. Masyn Winn (R)20.9%2.0
7. José Fermín (R)24.5%2.0
8. Jimmy Crooks (L)21.9%2.0
9. Victor Scott II (L)17.6%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-110-120
BOVBovada-135-105
DKDraftKings-132-101
FANFanatics-120-120
We project 5.6 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.0% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.9%
vs RHB22.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.4%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload25.4 BF
Expected batters faced25.4
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.7 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.8% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Jacob Young (R)22.1%3.0
2. Luis García Jr. (L)24.2%3.0
3. Curtis Mead (R)22.6%3.0
4. CJ Abrams (L)23.9%3.0
5. Daylen Lile (L)22.7%3.0
6. Jorbit Vivas (L)19.6%3.0
7. Dylan Crews (R)21.8%3.0
8. Drew Millas (L)21.7%2.4
9. Nasim Nuñez (L)17.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-155+115
BOVBovada-150+110
DKDraftKings-151+113
We project 5.7 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.3%
vs RHB25.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.5%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.5 BF
Expected batters faced23.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.7 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. George Springer (R)20.9%3.0
2. Nathan Lukes (L)28.3%3.0
3. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)25.2%3.0
4. Yohendrick Piñango (L)22.5%3.0
5. Ernie Clement (R)29.7%3.0
6. Jesús Sánchez (L)25.4%2.5
7. Kazuma Okamoto (R)19.5%2.0
8. Andrés Giménez (L)20.1%2.0
9. Brandon Valenzuela (L)21.0%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-115-115
BOVBovada-110-130
DKDraftKings-106-125
FANFanatics-125-115
We project 5.7 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.5%
vs RHB22.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.9%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.2 BF
Expected batters faced23.2
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.7 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness24.4% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Casey Schmitt (R)22.1%3.0
2. Eric Haase (R)24.5%3.0
3. Luis Arraez (L)28.4%3.0
4. Victor Bericoto (R)22.5%3.0
5. Jung Hoo Lee (L)32.1%3.0
6. Bryce Eldridge (L)23.5%2.2
7. Buddy Kennedy (R)21.3%2.0
8. Daniel Susac (R)22.6%2.0
9. Jonah Cox (R)22.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada+100-140
DKDraftKings+102-136
We project 5.7 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
30 with a HLive count — updates as games play
1
Bryan WooP
SEA@DET· proj #13
9HFinal
2
Sonny GrayP
BOS@NYY· proj #11
8HFinal
T2
Michael WachaP
KC@MIN· proj #26
8HFinal
T2
Edward CabreraP
CHCvsSF· proj #30
8HFinal
5
Anthony KayP
CWS@PHI· proj #7
7HFinal
T5
Brandon SproatP
MIL@COL· proj #14
7HFinal
T5
Jesús LuzardoP
PHIvsCWS· proj #19
7HFinal
T5
Ryan WeathersP
NYYvsBOS· proj #20
7HFinal
T5
Mitch KellerP
PIT@ATL· proj #25
7HFinal
T5
Brandon YoungP
BAL@TOR· proj #29
7HFinal
11
Michael KingP
SDvsNYM· proj #9
6HFinal
T11
Kumar RockerP
TEXvsCLE· proj #10
6HFinal
T11
Merrill KellyP
AZvsWSH· proj #28
6HFinal
14
Jack PerkinsP
ATH@HOU· proj #1
5HFinal
T14
Trey YesavageP
TORvsBAL· proj #6
5HFinal
T14
Parker MessickP
CLE@TEX· proj #8
5HFinal
T14
Framber ValdezP
DETvsSEA· proj #16
5HFinal
T14
Zebby MatthewsP
MINvsKC· proj #22
5HFinal
T14
Kyle LeahyP
STLvsCIN· proj #23
5HFinal
T14
Peter LambertP
HOUvsATH· proj #24
5HFinal
21
Brady SingerP
CIN@STL· proj #27
4HFinal
22
Martín PérezP
ATLvsPIT· proj #2
3HFinal
T22
Ryan GustoP
MIAvsTB· proj #3
3HFinal
T22
Christian ScottP
NYM@SD· proj #4
3HFinal
25
Robbie RayP
SF@CHC· proj #12
2HFinal
T25
Reid DetmersP
LAA@LAD· proj #15
2HFinal
T25
Roki SasakiP
LADvsLAA· proj #18
2HFinal
T25
Foster GriffinP
WSH@AZ· proj #21
2HFinal
29
Ryan FeltnerP
COLvsMIL· proj #5
1HFinal
T29
Drew RasmussenP
TB@MIA· proj #17
1HFinal
How the board graded
Share of our top-ranked hitters that hit the mark, next to the season-to-date rate.
Top 5
3/475%
season 43%+32 pts-26% ROI
Top 10
6/967%
season 46%+21 pts-21% ROI
Top 20
13/1968%
season building
Top 50
20/2969%
season building
Full slate
20/2969%
season 48%+21 pts-15% ROI
“Hit” is the green check on the card — the mark. Pools are our pre-game top-ranked matchups; only settled (final) outcomes count. Season-to-date is every graded day this season.
Best MLB Hits Allowed Matchups — Friday, June 5, 2026
Jack Perkins (ATH) is the top hits allowed spot on the Friday, June 5, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 2.7 H, with Martín Pérez (ATL) right behind. Every starter is ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow — his hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. It's the read DFS and pitcher-prop players make before lock.
Top spot: Jack Perkins
Jack Perkins (ATH) tops the Friday, June 5, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 2.7 H vs HOU. His hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes.
The rest of the top of the board
Martín Pérez (ATL) (66) — about 3.8 H vs PIT.
Ryan Gusto (MIA) (59) — about 4.0 H vs TB.
Christian Scott (NYM) (52) — about 4.2 H vs SD.
Ryan Feltner (COL) (50) — about 4.2 H vs MIL.
Trey Yesavage (TOR) (46) — about 4.3 H vs BAL.
How it played out
The top 10 starts averaged 4.4 H. Jack Perkins finished with 5. Every projection is graded against the box score.
How to read the hits allowed board
Each starter's score (0–100) ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow — his hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. We project a hits allowed count for the start and grade it against what actually happened.
Which pitcher has the best hits allowed matchup today (Friday, June 5, 2026)?
Jack Perkins (ATH) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 2.7 H against HOU.
What are the best pitcher hits allowed props today?
The top projected starts on Friday, June 5, 2026: Jack Perkins (~2.7 H), Martín Pérez (~3.8 H), Ryan Gusto (~4.0 H), Christian Scott (~4.2 H), Ryan Feltner (~4.2 H). The full board ranks every starter.
How is the hits allowed score calculated?
Ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow — his hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected hits allowed count alongside, and graded against the box score.
Can I use this for pitcher props or DFS?
Yes — the board surfaces the best hits allowed spots and projects a number. Where there's a posted line we show the over/under and which side our projection leans. We show the data and grade it, not picks.
