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Hits Allowed · Saturday, June 6, 2026

CIN @ STL Hits Allowed matchups · Saturday, June 6, 2026

CIN
CIN
Cincinnati Reds
56
Final
STL
St. Louis Cardinals
STL
Busch StadiumElevation 460 ftCenter Field 400 ft 85°F Partly CloudyWind 9 mph, R To L

CIN Nick Lodolo · LHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.4% Hits / BF

vs LHB24.5%
vs RHB20.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.7%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.6 BF

Expected batters faced23.6
From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.0 H

Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-140+105
BOVBovada-150+110
DKDraftKings-150+113
FANFanatics-150+105

We project 5.0 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

STL lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Masyn Winn (R)21.7%3.0 PA
2Iván Herrera (R)23.6%3.0 PA
3Jordan Walker (R)23.7%3.0 PA
4Nelson Velázquez (R)23.7%3.0 PA
5Alec Burleson (L)21.7%3.0 PA
6José Fermín (R)18.3%2.6 PA
7Bryan Torres (L)19.4%2.0 PA
8Lars Nootbaar (L)21.0%2.0 PA
9Jimmy Crooks (L)24.1%2.0 PA

STL Matthew Liberatore · LHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate24.5% Hits / BF

vs LHB25.9%
vs RHB23.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.3%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.1 BF

Expected batters faced22.1
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.2 H

Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+115-155
BOVBovada+110-150
DKDraftKings+113-150

We project 5.2 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

CIN lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Will Benson (L)21.5%3.0 PA
2JJ Bleday (L)24.4%3.0 PA
3Spencer Steer (R)25.0%3.0 PA
4Sal Stewart (R)21.8%3.0 PA
5Edwin Arroyo (R)22.5%2.1 PA
6Blake Dunn (R)21.8%2.0 PA
7Noelvi Marte (R)18.7%2.0 PA
8Matt McLain (R)19.8%2.0 PA
9Nathaniel Lowe (L)18.8%2.0 PA