Best MLB hits allowed matchups — Saturday, June 6, 2026
Every starting pitcher on the Saturday, June 6, 2026 slate, scored — ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow. His hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. Results show how each call played out.
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload8.8 BF
Expected batters faced8.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection1.7 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Taylor Ward (R)21.1%1.0
2. Gunnar Henderson (L)21.6%1.0
3. Adley Rutschman (L)23.8%1.0
4. Pete Alonso (R)23.5%1.0
5. Coby Mayo (R)18.5%1.0
6. Leody Taveras (L)23.5%1.0
7. Samuel Basallo (L)23.0%1.0
8. Blaze Alexander (R)25.1%1.0
9. Jeremiah Jackson (R)24.6%0.8
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.2% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.6%
vs RHB21.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.5%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload9.1 BF
Expected batters faced9.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection1.9 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.8% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Kyle Schwarber (L)24.8%1.1
2. Trea Turner (R)19.7%1.0
3. Bryce Harper (L)21.6%1.0
4. Alec Bohm (R)21.7%1.0
5. Brandon Marsh (L)23.0%1.0
6. J.T. Realmuto (R)19.2%1.0
7. Bryson Stott (L)22.3%1.0
8. Adolis García (R)21.9%1.0
9. Edmundo Sosa (R)22.2%1.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.0% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.4%
vs RHB19.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.3%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload11.0 BF
Expected batters faced11.0
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.1 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Oliver Dunn (L)19.0%2.0
2. Jonathan Aranda (L)24.0%2.0
3. Junior Caminero (R)24.8%1.0
4. Richie Palacios (L)19.7%1.0
5. Ben Williamson (R)23.0%1.0
6. Cedric Mullins (L)18.6%1.0
7. Taylor Walls (L)20.4%1.0
8. Victor Mesa Jr. (L)19.6%1.0
9. Chandler Simpson (L)25.8%1.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.2% Hits / BF
vs LHB24.9%
vs RHB21.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)8.7%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload13.4 BF
Expected batters faced13.4
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection3.0 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.2% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Orlando Arcia (R)23.8%2.0
2. Brooks Lee (L)23.4%2.0
3. Kody Clemens (L)23.0%2.0
4. Josh Bell (L)22.6%2.0
5. Austin Martin (R)20.3%1.4
6. Alex Jackson (R)24.4%1.0
7. Royce Lewis (R)18.8%1.0
8. Luke Keaschall (R)23.0%1.0
9. Ryan Kreidler (R)20.2%1.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+140-190
FANFanatics+160-230
We project 3.0 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate16.9% Hits / BF
vs LHB18.2%
vs RHB18.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.3%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload19.5 BF
Expected batters faced19.5
From recent starts7
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection3.5 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.9% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Carlos Cortes (L)23.9%3.0
2. Shea Langeliers (R)20.8%2.5
3. Jonah Heim (L)19.6%2.0
4. Colby Thomas (R)21.6%2.0
5. Lawrence Butler (L)18.6%2.0
6. Henry Bolte (R)25.1%2.0
7. Zack Gelof (R)23.6%2.0
8. Jeff McNeil (L)21.8%2.0
9. Darell Hernaiz (R)21.9%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-115-115
BOVBovada-140+100
DKDraftKings-134+101
We project 3.5 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate27.7% Hits / BF
vs LHB24.1%
vs RHB27.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.3%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload14.9 BF
Expected batters faced14.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection3.7 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Christian Yelich (L)23.7%2.0
2. Jackson Chourio (R)25.0%2.0
3. Brice Turang (L)23.2%2.0
4. William Contreras (R)22.7%2.0
5. Jake Bauers (L)22.8%2.0
6. Blake Perkins (L)16.3%1.9
7. Sal Frelick (L)23.4%1.0
8. Joey Ortiz (R)18.9%1.0
9. David Hamilton (L)19.2%1.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.1% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.9%
vs RHB17.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.3%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload16.7 BF
Expected batters faced16.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection3.7 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness24.9% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Sam Hentges (L)22.5%2.0
2. Rafael Devers (L)24.0%2.0
3. Luis Arraez (L)28.8%2.0
4. Willy Adames (R)24.4%2.0
5. Jung Hoo Lee (L)31.8%2.0
6. Jonah Cox (R)22.5%2.0
7. Matt Chapman (R)23.4%2.0
8. Eric Haase (R)24.2%1.7
9. Victor Bericoto (R)22.5%1.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+105-140
BOVBovada-125-115
DKDraftKings-118-112
FANFanatics-130-110
We project 3.7 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate15.8% Hits / BF
vs LHB15.0%
vs RHB19.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.6%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.1 BF
Expected batters faced23.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.0 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Jake McCarthy (L)22.8%3.0
2. Sterlin Thompson (L)22.5%3.0
3. TJ Rumfield (L)23.7%3.0
4. Hunter Goodman (R)22.7%3.0
5. Troy Johnston (L)27.8%3.0
6. Ezequiel Tovar (R)22.3%2.1
7. Braxton Fulford (R)22.4%2.0
8. Kyle Karros (R)20.1%2.0
9. Chad Stevens (R)18.6%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-125
BOVBovada+105-145
DKDraftKings+109-144
FANFanatics+105-150
We project 4.0 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate18.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB18.2%
vs RHB19.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.1 BF
Expected batters faced21.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.0 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.9% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Xavier Edwards (R)24.4%3.0
2. Otto Lopez (R)28.3%3.0
3. Kyle Stowers (L)20.6%3.0
4. Jakob Marsee (L)18.9%2.1
5. Leo Jiménez (R)19.6%2.0
6. Javier Sanoja (R)21.5%2.0
7. Esteury Ruiz (R)21.5%2.0
8. Liam Hicks (L)19.5%2.0
9. Joe Mack (L)22.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-110-120
BOVBovada-120-120
DKDraftKings-114-116
FANFanatics-130-110
We project 4.0 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.1% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.6%
vs RHB18.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.9%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.3 BF
Expected batters faced23.3
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.1 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness20.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)23.9%3.0
2. Jackson Merrill (L)19.6%3.0
3. Ty France (R)22.5%3.0
4. Manny Machado (R)18.0%3.0
5. Jase Bowen (R)22.5%3.0
6. Xander Bogaerts (R)20.4%2.3
7. Miguel Andujar (R)23.8%2.0
8. Sung-Mun Song (L)18.8%2.0
9. Freddy Fermin (R)16.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-155+115
DKDraftKings-156+117
We project 4.1 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.0%
vs RHB22.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.9%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.1 BF
Expected batters faced21.1
From recent starts4
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.5 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.4% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Gleyber Torres (R)26.9%3.0
2. Kevin McGonigle (L)24.7%3.0
3. Dillon Dingler (R)23.4%3.0
4. Jahmai Jones (R)18.8%2.1
5. Riley Greene (L)26.8%2.0
6. Spencer Torkelson (R)20.1%2.0
7. Colt Keith (L)23.7%2.0
8. Matt Vierling (R)20.2%2.0
9. Wenceel Pérez (L)17.2%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-150+110
DKDraftKings-149+112
We project 4.5 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.7% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.8%
vs RHB21.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.2 BF
Expected batters faced22.2
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.6 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.3% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Carter Jensen (L)18.1%3.0
2. Bobby Witt Jr. (R)23.2%3.0
3. Vinnie Pasquantino (L)22.5%3.0
4. Maikel Garcia (R)23.2%3.0
5. Lane Thomas (R)19.3%2.2
6. Michael Massey (L)24.9%2.0
7. Tyler Tolbert (R)23.0%2.0
8. Josh Rojas (L)22.8%2.0
9. Kyle Isbel (L)23.2%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-150+110
BOVBovada-155+115
DKDraftKings-151+114
We project 4.6 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.4% Hits / BF
vs LHB24.1%
vs RHB20.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.1%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.0 BF
Expected batters faced21.0
From recent starts6
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.7 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.2% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Carson Benge (L)20.7%3.0
2. Bo Bichette (R)22.1%3.0
3. Juan Soto (L)23.6%3.0
4. Jared Young (L)25.1%2.0
5. Marcus Semien (R)19.8%2.0
6. A.J. Ewing (L)24.7%2.0
7. Mark Vientos (R)19.9%2.0
8. Brett Baty (L)21.4%2.0
9. Luis Torrens (R)22.3%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-115-115
BOVBovada-120-120
DKDraftKings-116-114
FANFanatics-140+100
We project 4.7 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.7% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.4%
vs RHB20.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.5%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.8 BF
Expected batters faced21.8
From recent starts6
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.7 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.0% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Spencer Horwitz (L)23.7%3.0
2. Jhostynxon Garcia (R)21.2%3.0
3. Bryan Reynolds (L)22.0%3.0
4. Ryan O'Hearn (L)25.0%2.8
5. Nick Gonzales (R)27.0%2.0
6. Oneil Cruz (L)21.9%2.0
7. Endy Rodríguez (L)20.4%2.0
8. Tyler Callihan (L)21.1%2.0
9. Jake Mangum (L)24.9%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-115-115
BOVBovada-125-115
DKDraftKings-118-112
FANFanatics+100-140
We project 4.7 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.0% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.1%
vs RHB20.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.7%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.2 BF
Expected batters faced24.2
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.8 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.2% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Travis Bazzana (L)27.6%3.0
2. José Ramírez (L)20.1%3.0
3. Chase DeLauter (L)18.7%3.0
4. Kyle Manzardo (L)20.4%3.0
5. Daniel Schneemann (L)19.1%3.0
6. Angel Martínez (L)20.9%3.0
7. Steven Kwan (L)22.8%2.2
8. Patrick Bailey (L)18.9%2.0
9. Brayan Rocchio (L)22.4%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-115-115
BOVBovada-130-110
DKDraftKings-125-106
FANFanatics-150+105
We project 4.8 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.5%
vs RHB22.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.0 BF
Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts0
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.9 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.3% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Cam Smith (R)20.0%3.0
2. Collin Price (R)22.5%3.0
3. Brice Matthews (R)20.2%3.0
4. Isaac Paredes (R)20.0%3.0
5. Nick Allen (R)21.5%3.0
6. LaMonte Wade Jr. (L)20.0%2.0
7. Taylor Trammell (L)23.8%2.0
8. Jake Meyers (R)22.5%2.0
9. Christian Vázquez (R)21.8%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.7% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.9%
vs RHB21.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.4%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.7 BF
Expected batters faced21.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.9 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.4% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Ketel Marte (L)22.8%3.0
2. Corbin Carroll (L)22.1%3.0
3. Gabriel Moreno (R)22.5%3.0
4. Nolan Arenado (R)23.1%2.7
5. Ildemaro Vargas (L)20.8%2.0
6. Ryan Waldschmidt (R)23.7%2.0
7. Geraldo Perdomo (L)22.7%2.0
8. LuJames Groover (R)22.5%2.0
9. Tommy Troy (R)21.6%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-150+110
DKDraftKings-150+113
FANFanatics-165+115
We project 4.9 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.2% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.6%
vs RHB21.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.2%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.5 BF
Expected batters faced22.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.0 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.3% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Cole Young (L)22.5%3.0
2. Julio Rodríguez (R)23.6%3.0
3. Josh Naylor (L)21.9%3.0
4. Randy Arozarena (R)22.7%3.0
5. Luke Raley (L)23.8%2.5
6. Dominic Canzone (L)24.6%2.0
7. Patrick Wisdom (R)21.6%2.0
8. Colt Emerson (L)25.2%2.0
9. Jhonny Pereda (R)24.1%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+125-165
BOVBovada+100-140
DKDraftKings+102-135
FANFanatics+110-155
We project 5.0 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.4% Hits / BF
vs LHB24.5%
vs RHB20.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.7%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.6 BF
Expected batters faced23.6
From recent starts5
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.0 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.9% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Masyn Winn (R)21.7%3.0
2. Iván Herrera (R)23.6%3.0
3. Jordan Walker (R)23.7%3.0
4. Nelson Velázquez (R)23.7%3.0
5. Alec Burleson (L)21.7%3.0
6. José Fermín (R)18.3%2.6
7. Bryan Torres (L)19.4%2.0
8. Lars Nootbaar (L)21.0%2.0
9. Jimmy Crooks (L)24.1%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-140+105
BOVBovada-150+110
DKDraftKings-150+113
FANFanatics-150+105
We project 5.0 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.2%
vs RHB22.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.4%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.7 BF
Expected batters faced22.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.2 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.2% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)22.3%3.0
2. Dansby Swanson (R)18.3%3.0
3. Michael Busch (L)22.3%3.0
4. Alex Bregman (R)23.4%3.0
5. Ian Happ (L)24.5%2.7
6. Seiya Suzuki (R)22.3%2.0
7. Nico Hoerner (R)20.6%2.0
8. Pedro Ramírez (L)22.5%2.0
9. Carson Kelly (R)23.3%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-135+100
BOVBovada-140+100
DKDraftKings-145+109
We project 5.2 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate24.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB25.9%
vs RHB23.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.3%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.1 BF
Expected batters faced22.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.2 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Will Benson (L)21.5%3.0
2. JJ Bleday (L)24.4%3.0
3. Spencer Steer (R)25.0%3.0
4. Sal Stewart (R)21.8%3.0
5. Edwin Arroyo (R)22.5%2.1
6. Blake Dunn (R)21.8%2.0
7. Noelvi Marte (R)18.7%2.0
8. Matt McLain (R)19.8%2.0
9. Nathaniel Lowe (L)18.8%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+115-155
BOVBovada+110-150
DKDraftKings+113-150
We project 5.2 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate26.3% Hits / BF
vs LHB27.0%
vs RHB23.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.3%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.2 BF
Expected batters faced22.2
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.2 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Luisangel Acuña (R)20.6%3.0
2. Miguel Vargas (R)18.8%3.0
3. Randal Grichuk (R)21.4%3.0
4. Colson Montgomery (L)20.6%3.0
5. Chase Meidroth (R)22.2%2.2
6. Jacob Gonzalez (L)22.5%2.0
7. Tristan Peters (L)27.1%2.0
8. Drew Romo (L)19.1%2.0
9. Derek Hill (R)20.9%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+105-140
BOVBovada+125-165
DKDraftKings+125-166
FANFanatics+120-170
We project 5.2 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.2%
vs RHB22.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.8 BF
Expected batters faced23.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.3 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.2% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. George Springer (R)21.4%3.0
2. Nathan Lukes (L)27.4%3.0
3. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)24.7%3.0
4. Daulton Varsho (L)20.6%3.0
5. Ernie Clement (R)28.4%3.0
6. Brandon Valenzuela (L)21.1%2.8
7. Kazuma Okamoto (R)20.4%2.0
8. Andrés Giménez (L)20.7%2.0
9. Myles Straw (R)23.9%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-120-110
BOVBovada-120-120
DKDraftKings-115-115
FANFanatics-135-105
We project 5.3 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.4%
vs RHB21.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.6%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload25.0 BF
Expected batters faced25.0
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.3 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.9% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Ronald Acuña Jr. (R)23.6%3.0
2. Mauricio Dubón (R)24.8%3.0
3. Matt Olson (L)23.4%3.0
4. Ozzie Albies (L)21.9%3.0
5. Dominic Smith (L)23.4%3.0
6. Austin Riley (R)20.6%3.0
7. Eli White (R)21.8%3.0
8. Austin Wynns (R)18.7%2.0
9. Ha-Seong Kim (R)19.0%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada+120-160
DKDraftKings+121-161
We project 5.3 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate24.7% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.7%
vs RHB24.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.6%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.9 BF
Expected batters faced22.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.4 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.0% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Justin Foscue (R)19.7%3.0
2. Corey Seager (L)20.3%3.0
3. Josh Jung (R)25.9%3.0
4. Brandon Nimmo (L)21.3%3.0
5. Wyatt Langford (R)23.7%2.9
6. Ezequiel Duran (R)25.1%2.0
7. Jake Burger (R)20.8%2.0
8. Evan Carter (L)19.3%2.0
9. Kyle Higashioka (R)22.3%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-150+110
BOVBovada-155+115
DKDraftKings-154+116
We project 5.4 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.0% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.1%
vs RHB22.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.7%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.5 BF
Expected batters faced24.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.5 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.9% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. James Wood (L)23.4%3.0
2. Curtis Mead (R)21.5%3.0
3. Luis García Jr. (L)23.9%3.0
4. CJ Abrams (L)22.8%3.0
5. Dylan Crews (R)20.2%3.0
6. Daylen Lile (L)21.5%3.0
7. Jacob Young (R)22.7%2.5
8. Nasim Nuñez (R)24.3%2.0
9. Keibert Ruiz (R)25.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-155+115
DKDraftKings-151+114
We project 5.5 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.3% Hits / BF
vs LHB24.1%
vs RHB21.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.5%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.5 BF
Expected batters faced23.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.5 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Shohei Ohtani (L)24.9%3.0
2. Andy Pages (R)23.8%3.0
3. Freddie Freeman (L)24.8%3.0
4. Mookie Betts (R)18.5%3.0
5. Max Muncy (L)22.6%3.0
6. Ryan Ward (L)23.1%2.5
7. Alex Call (R)20.2%2.0
8. Dalton Rushing (L)22.0%2.0
9. Alex Freeland (L)22.8%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-135+100
BOVBovada-135-105
DKDraftKings-130-102
FANFanatics-125-115
We project 5.5 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB19.6%
vs RHB22.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.4%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.7 BF
Expected batters faced24.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.5 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Zach Neto (R)22.9%3.0
2. Jose Siri (R)21.4%3.0
3. Wade Meckler (L)28.1%3.0
4. Oswald Peraza (R)23.9%3.0
5. Nolan Schanuel (L)24.9%3.0
6. Jo Adell (R)19.5%3.0
7. Nick Madrigal (R)28.5%2.7
8. Donovan Walton (L)23.9%2.0
9. Logan O'Hoppe (R)19.3%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-115-115
BOVBovada-125-115
DKDraftKings-119-112
We project 5.5 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
27 with a HLive count — updates as games play
1
Nick LodoloP
CIN@STL· proj #19
10HFinal
2
Kade MorrisP
ATH@HOU· proj #16
9HFinal
T2
Kyle BradishP
BAL@TOR· proj #23
9HFinal
T2
Braxton AshcraftP
PIT@ATL· proj #24
9HFinal
5
Shane McClanahanP
TB@MIA· proj #9
8HFinal
T5
Andrew PainterP
PHIvsCWS· proj #22
8HFinal
7
Joe RyanP
MINvsKC· proj #12
6HFinal
T7
Jack LeiterP
TEXvsCLE· proj #15
6HFinal
T7
Keider MonteroP
DETvsSEA· proj #18
6HFinal
T7
Eduardo RodriguezP
AZvsWSH· proj #26
6HFinal
T7
Jack KochanowiczP
LAA@LAD· proj #27
6HFinal
12
Tatsuya ImaiP
HOUvsATH· proj #5
5HFinal
T12
Spencer StriderP
ATLvsPIT· proj #14
5HFinal
14
Jacob MisiorowskiP
MIL@COL· proj #8
4HFinal
T14
Matthew LiberatoreP
STLvsCIN· proj #21
4HFinal
16
Zach AgnosP
COLvsMIL· proj #6
3HFinal
T16
Nolan McLeanP
NYM@SD· proj #10
3HFinal
T16
Griffin CanningP
SDvsNYM· proj #13
3HFinal
T16
Landen RouppP
SF@CHC· proj #20
3HFinal
T16
Tanner BibeeP
CLE@TEX· proj #25
3HFinal
21
Luinder AvilaP
KC@MIN· proj #4
2HFinal
T21
Zack LittellP
WSH@AZ· proj #17
2HFinal
T21
Yoshinobu YamamotoP
LADvsLAA· proj #28
2HFinal
24
Braydon FisherP
TORvsBAL· proj #1
1HFinal
T24
Brandon EisertP
CWS@PHI· proj #2
1HFinal
T24
Ben BrownP
CHCvsSF· proj #7
1HFinal
T24
Bryce MillerP
SEA@DET· proj #11
1HFinal
How the board graded
Share of our top-ranked hitters that hit the mark, next to the season-to-date rate.
Top 5
1/250%
season 43%+7 pts-26% ROI
Top 10
4/667%
season 46%+21 pts-21% ROI
Top 20
8/1553%
season building
Top 50
9/2339%
season building
Full slate
9/2339%
season 48%-9 pts-15% ROI
“Hit” is the green check on the card — the mark. Pools are our pre-game top-ranked matchups; only settled (final) outcomes count. Season-to-date is every graded day this season.
Best MLB Hits Allowed Matchups — Saturday, June 6, 2026
Braydon Fisher (TOR) is the top hits allowed spot on the Saturday, June 6, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 1.7 H, with Brandon Eisert (CWS) right behind. Every starter is ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow — his hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. It's the read DFS and pitcher-prop players make before lock.
Top spot: Braydon Fisher
Braydon Fisher (TOR) tops the Saturday, June 6, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 1.7 H vs BAL. His hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes.
The rest of the top of the board
Brandon Eisert (CWS) (94) — about 1.9 H vs PHI.
Lake Bachar (MIA) (88) — about 2.1 H vs TB.
Luinder Avila (KC) (65) — about 3.0 H vs MIN.
Tatsuya Imai (HOU) (52) — about 3.5 H vs ATH.
Zach Agnos (COL) (48) — about 3.7 H vs MIL.
How it played out
The top 10 starts averaged 2.8 H. Braydon Fisher finished with 1. Every projection is graded against the box score.
How to read the hits allowed board
Each starter's score (0–100) ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow — his hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. We project a hits allowed count for the start and grade it against what actually happened.
Which pitcher has the best hits allowed matchup today (Saturday, June 6, 2026)?
Braydon Fisher (TOR) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 1.7 H against BAL.
What are the best pitcher hits allowed props today?
The top projected starts on Saturday, June 6, 2026: Braydon Fisher (~1.7 H), Brandon Eisert (~1.9 H), Lake Bachar (~2.1 H), Luinder Avila (~3.0 H), Tatsuya Imai (~3.5 H). The full board ranks every starter.
How is the hits allowed score calculated?
Ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow — his hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected hits allowed count alongside, and graded against the box score.
Can I use this for pitcher props or DFS?
Yes — the board surfaces the best hits allowed spots and projects a number. Where there's a posted line we show the over/under and which side our projection leans. We show the data and grade it, not picks.
