MatchWiz Plays
Hits Allowed · Saturday, June 6, 2026

NYM @ SD Hits Allowed matchups · Saturday, June 6, 2026

NYM
NYM
New York Mets
23
Final
SD
San Diego Padres
SD
Petco ParkElevation 23 ftCenter Field 396 ft 68°F CloudyWind 6 mph, L To R

NYM Nolan McLean · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.1% Hits / BF

vs LHB20.6%
vs RHB18.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.9%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.3 BF

Expected batters faced23.3
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.1 H

Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-155+115
DKDraftKings-156+117

We project 4.1 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

SD lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)23.9%3.0 PA
2Jackson Merrill (L)19.6%3.0 PA
3Ty France (R)22.5%3.0 PA
4Manny Machado (R)18.0%3.0 PA
5Jase Bowen (R)22.5%3.0 PA
6Xander Bogaerts (R)20.4%2.3 PA
7Miguel Andujar (R)23.8%2.0 PA
8Sung-Mun Song (L)18.8%2.0 PA
9Freddy Fermin (R)16.5%2.0 PA

SD Griffin Canning · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.4% Hits / BF

vs LHB24.1%
vs RHB20.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.1%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.0 BF

Expected batters faced21.0
From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.7 H

Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-115-115
BOVBovada-120-120
DKDraftKings-116-114
FANFanatics-140+100

We project 4.7 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

NYM lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Carson Benge (L)20.7%3.0 PA
2Bo Bichette (R)22.1%3.0 PA
3Juan Soto (L)23.6%3.0 PA
4Jared Young (L)25.1%2.0 PA
5Marcus Semien (R)19.8%2.0 PA
6A.J. Ewing (L)24.7%2.0 PA
7Mark Vientos (R)19.9%2.0 PA
8Brett Baty (L)21.4%2.0 PA
9Luis Torrens (R)22.3%2.0 PA