MatchWiz Plays
Hits Allowed · Sunday, June 7, 2026

BAL @ TOR Hits Allowed matchups · Sunday, June 7, 2026

BAL
BAL
Baltimore Orioles
46
Final
TOR
Toronto Blue Jays
TOR
Rogers CentreElevation 270 ftCenter Field 404 ft 72°F CloudyWind 7 mph, In From LF

BAL Shane Baz · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.9% Hits / BF

vs LHB22.1%
vs RHB21.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.3%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload25.2 BF

Expected batters faced25.2
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.8 H

Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-110-120
BOVBovada-125-115
DKDraftKings-120-111

We project 5.8 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

TOR lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1George Springer (R)21.1%3.0 PA
2Yohendrick Piñango (L)22.5%3.0 PA
3Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)24.3%3.0 PA
4Daulton Varsho (L)21.0%3.0 PA
5Ernie Clement (R)28.6%3.0 PA
6Brandon Valenzuela (L)23.6%3.0 PA
7Kazuma Okamoto (R)21.7%3.0 PA
8Andrés Giménez (L)21.2%2.2 PA
9Nathan Lukes (L)27.5%2.0 PA

TOR Kevin Gausman · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.2% Hits / BF

vs LHB22.7%
vs RHB21.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.1%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.7 BF

Expected batters faced23.7
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.1 H

Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-140+105
FANFanatics-150+105

We project 5.1 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

BAL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Taylor Ward (R)20.7%3.0 PA
2Gunnar Henderson (L)21.9%3.0 PA
3Adley Rutschman (L)23.0%3.0 PA
4Pete Alonso (R)23.5%3.0 PA
5Sam Huff (R)20.0%3.0 PA
6Colton Cowser (L)23.7%2.7 PA
7Tyler O'Neill (R)20.2%2.0 PA
8Jackson Holliday (L)22.1%2.0 PA
9Blaze Alexander (R)24.0%2.0 PA