Best MLB hits allowed matchups — Sunday, June 7, 2026
Every starting pitcher on the Sunday, June 7, 2026 slate, scored — ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow. His hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. Results show how each call played out.
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload10.1 BF
Expected batters faced10.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection1.8 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness20.9% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)24.1%2.0
2. Jackson Merrill (L)19.1%1.1
3. Ty France (R)21.8%1.0
4. Manny Machado (R)17.7%1.0
5. Xander Bogaerts (R)20.1%1.0
6. Bryce Johnson (L)24.3%1.0
7. Jase Bowen (R)22.5%1.0
8. Samad Taylor (R)21.4%1.0
9. Freddy Fermin (R)16.9%1.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.8% Hits / BF
vs LHB19.7%
vs RHB22.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload9.5 BF
Expected batters faced9.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.0 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.9% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Ronald Acuña Jr. (R)18.6%1.4
2. Mauricio Dubón (R)21.0%1.0
3. Matt Olson (L)23.5%1.0
4. Ozzie Albies (R)26.1%1.0
5. Dominic Smith (L)21.8%1.0
6. Austin Riley (R)20.5%1.0
7. Mike Yastrzemski (L)19.6%1.0
8. Jorge Mateo (R)25.6%1.0
9. Austin Wynns (R)20.5%1.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.5%
vs RHB22.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload13.3 BF
Expected batters faced13.3
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection3.0 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Willi Castro (R)25.1%2.0
2. Ezequiel Tovar (R)20.5%2.0
3. TJ Rumfield (L)22.7%2.0
4. Hunter Goodman (R)22.8%2.0
5. Kyle Karros (R)24.0%1.3
6. Jake McCarthy (L)26.2%1.0
7. Edouard Julien (L)19.2%1.0
8. Sterlin Thompson (L)22.5%1.0
9. Troy Johnston (L)19.8%1.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-125
BOVBovada-120-120
DKDraftKings-116-114
FANFanatics-125-115
We project 3.0 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.9%
vs RHB22.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload16.8 BF
Expected batters faced16.8
From recent starts2
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection3.6 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.8% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Kyle Schwarber (L)24.3%2.0
2. Trea Turner (R)20.3%2.0
3. Bryce Harper (L)21.3%2.0
4. Brandon Marsh (L)23.6%2.0
5. Alec Bohm (R)21.3%2.0
6. Bryson Stott (L)22.1%2.0
7. Adolis García (R)22.0%2.0
8. Justin Crawford (L)20.4%1.8
9. Rafael Marchán (R)20.6%1.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
FANFanatics-155+110
We project 3.6 H vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate24.4% Hits / BF
vs LHB25.1%
vs RHB21.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.2%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload16.2 BF
Expected batters faced16.2
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection3.8 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Liam Hicks (L)22.8%2.0
2. Otto Lopez (R)25.6%2.0
3. Kyle Stowers (L)21.2%2.0
4. Xavier Edwards (L)25.0%2.0
5. Connor Norby (R)20.7%2.0
6. Esteury Ruiz (R)20.9%2.0
7. Jakob Marsee (L)19.6%2.0
8. Joe Mack (L)22.5%1.2
9. Javier Sanoja (R)23.8%1.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+125-165
BOVBovada+105-145
DKDraftKings+108-144
FANFanatics+105-150
We project 3.8 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.1% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.7%
vs RHB21.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.9%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.0 BF
Expected batters faced21.0
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.4 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Matt Vierling (R)19.8%3.0
2. Kevin McGonigle (L)24.5%3.0
3. Gleyber Torres (R)26.0%3.0
4. Riley Greene (L)26.4%2.0
5. Dillon Dingler (R)23.4%2.0
6. Zack Short (R)20.4%2.0
7. Spencer Torkelson (R)19.8%2.0
8. Zach McKinstry (L)18.1%2.0
9. Wenceel Pérez (L)16.7%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-150+110
BOVBovada-145+105
DKDraftKings-141+107
We project 4.4 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.2% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.4%
vs RHB22.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.5%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.1 BF
Expected batters faced21.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.5 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Nicky Lopez (L)22.5%3.0
2. Josh Jung (R)24.0%3.0
3. Evan Carter (L)17.0%3.0
4. Justin Foscue (R)23.0%2.1
5. Ezequiel Duran (R)20.5%2.0
6. Joc Pederson (L)22.4%2.0
7. Jake Burger (R)22.5%2.0
8. Michael Helman (R)21.6%2.0
9. Elias Díaz (R)21.9%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+105-140
BOVBovada-115-125
DKDraftKings-109-121
FANFanatics-105-135
We project 4.5 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.0%
vs RHB21.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.7%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.1 BF
Expected batters faced23.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.5 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness20.8% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Tristan Gray (L)21.6%3.0
2. Brooks Lee (R)20.8%3.0
3. Orlando Arcia (R)24.1%3.0
4. Kody Clemens (L)20.8%3.0
5. Josh Bell (R)20.0%3.0
6. Royce Lewis (R)18.8%2.1
7. Trevor Larnach (L)19.4%2.0
8. Luke Keaschall (R)22.1%2.0
9. Victor Caratini (R)19.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-125
BOVBovada+100-140
DKDraftKings+102-135
We project 4.5 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.2% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.8%
vs RHB19.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)21.4%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.7 BF
Expected batters faced22.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.5 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.0% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Travis Bazzana (L)26.8%3.0
2. José Ramírez (L)19.9%3.0
3. Chase DeLauter (L)19.0%3.0
4. Kyle Manzardo (L)20.2%3.0
5. Daniel Schneemann (L)20.0%2.7
6. Angel Martínez (L)20.3%2.0
7. David Fry (R)23.5%2.0
8. Patrick Bailey (L)18.3%2.0
9. Stuart Fairchild (R)21.3%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+110-150
BOVBovada+100-140
DKDraftKings+101-134
We project 4.5 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.4% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.1%
vs RHB22.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.2%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.1 BF
Expected batters faced21.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.8 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.8% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Cole Young (L)22.6%3.0
2. Julio Rodríguez (R)23.6%3.0
3. Josh Naylor (L)21.9%3.0
4. Randy Arozarena (R)23.4%2.1
5. Victor Robles (R)22.6%2.0
6. Rob Refsnyder (R)20.8%2.0
7. Patrick Wisdom (R)20.7%2.0
8. Colt Emerson (L)24.5%2.0
9. Jhonny Pereda (R)25.3%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-115-115
BOVBovada-120-120
DKDraftKings-117-113
FANFanatics-135-105
We project 4.8 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.6%
vs RHB23.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.2%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.4 BF
Expected batters faced21.4
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.8 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.3% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. JJ Wetherholt (L)23.4%3.0
2. Iván Herrera (R)21.7%3.0
3. Alec Burleson (L)26.4%3.0
4. Jordan Walker (R)25.1%2.4
5. Lars Nootbaar (L)22.8%2.0
6. Bryan Torres (L)23.4%2.0
7. José Fermín (R)25.0%2.0
8. Nelson Velázquez (R)24.0%2.0
9. Victor Scott II (L)17.9%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-150+110
DKDraftKings-149+112
FANFanatics-165+115
We project 4.8 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.9% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.3%
vs RHB22.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.4%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.1 BF
Expected batters faced22.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.9 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Zach Neto (R)22.2%3.0
2. Mike Trout (R)18.8%3.0
3. Wade Meckler (L)27.8%3.0
4. Oswald Peraza (R)23.6%3.0
5. Nolan Schanuel (L)23.8%2.1
6. Jo Adell (R)19.5%2.0
7. Nick Madrigal (R)27.2%2.0
8. Jose Siri (R)21.5%2.0
9. Sebastián Rivero (R)19.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+100-135
BOVBovada-110-130
DKDraftKings-108-123
We project 4.9 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.9% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.6%
vs RHB18.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.9%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.5 BF
Expected batters faced23.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.9 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Jarren Duran (L)22.4%3.0
2. Ceddanne Rafaela (R)25.7%3.0
3. Wilyer Abreu (L)20.2%3.0
4. Willson Contreras (R)26.1%3.0
5. Masataka Yoshida (L)22.2%3.0
6. Mickey Gasper (L)24.7%2.5
7. Caleb Durbin (R)21.6%2.0
8. Andruw Monasterio (R)22.8%2.0
9. Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R)26.2%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-140+105
BOVBovada-150+110
DKDraftKings-150+113
We project 4.9 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.1%
vs RHB22.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.9%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.0 BF
Expected batters faced22.0
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.0 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.2% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Lane Thomas (R)22.4%3.0
2. Michael Massey (L)25.0%3.0
3. Maikel Garcia (R)26.0%3.0
4. Starling Marte (R)22.1%3.0
5. Vinnie Pasquantino (L)18.7%2.0
6. Nick Loftin (R)20.7%2.0
7. Isaac Collins (R)20.4%2.0
8. Carter Jensen (L)22.7%2.0
9. Tyler Tolbert (R)21.6%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+120-160
BOVBovada+105-145
DKDraftKings+107-142
FANFanatics+110-155
We project 5.0 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.9% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.1%
vs RHB22.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.9%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.6 BF
Expected batters faced22.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.0 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.8% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Blake Dunn (R)25.1%3.0
2. JJ Bleday (L)22.6%3.0
3. Sal Stewart (R)22.4%3.0
4. Dane Myers (R)22.0%3.0
5. Spencer Steer (R)21.4%2.6
6. Will Benson (L)20.8%2.0
7. Matt McLain (R)18.9%2.0
8. Tyler Stephenson (R)20.3%2.0
9. Edwin Arroyo (L)22.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-120-110
BOVBovada-120-120
DKDraftKings-115-115
We project 5.0 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.7% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.1%
vs RHB18.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.5%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.9 BF
Expected batters faced23.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.0 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.8% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Shohei Ohtani (L)25.3%3.0
2. Freddie Freeman (L)25.5%3.0
3. Kyle Tucker (L)21.3%3.0
4. Max Muncy (L)23.4%3.0
5. Alex Call (R)19.8%3.0
6. Dalton Rushing (L)21.9%2.9
7. Ryan Ward (L)23.9%2.0
8. Miguel Rojas (R)21.2%2.0
9. Alex Freeland (L)22.6%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-125-105
FANFanatics-165+115
We project 5.0 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.7%
vs RHB23.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)22.2%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.8 BF
Expected batters faced21.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.1 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.1% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Sam Antonacci (L)25.9%3.0
2. Miguel Vargas (R)19.2%3.0
3. Edgar Quero (L)21.9%3.0
4. Colson Montgomery (L)20.6%2.8
5. Chase Meidroth (R)22.8%2.0
6. Randal Grichuk (R)21.1%2.0
7. Tristan Peters (L)28.3%2.0
8. Drew Romo (L)18.8%2.0
9. Derek Hill (R)20.7%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+110-150
BOVBovada+105-145
DKDraftKings+107-142
We project 5.1 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.2% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.7%
vs RHB21.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.1%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.7 BF
Expected batters faced23.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.1 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.1% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Taylor Ward (R)20.7%3.0
2. Gunnar Henderson (L)21.9%3.0
3. Adley Rutschman (L)23.0%3.0
4. Pete Alonso (R)23.5%3.0
5. Sam Huff (R)20.0%3.0
6. Colton Cowser (L)23.7%2.7
7. Tyler O'Neill (R)20.2%2.0
8. Jackson Holliday (L)22.1%2.0
9. Blaze Alexander (R)24.0%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-140+105
FANFanatics-150+105
We project 5.1 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB24.2%
vs RHB18.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.2%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.7 BF
Expected batters faced23.7
From recent starts6
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.2 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.4% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)23.7%3.0
2. Michael Conforto (L)19.7%3.0
3. Michael Busch (L)22.3%3.0
4. Alex Bregman (R)23.0%3.0
5. Ian Happ (L)24.1%3.0
6. Seiya Suzuki (R)22.7%2.7
7. Nico Hoerner (R)20.5%2.0
8. Pedro Ramírez (L)22.5%2.0
9. Carson Kelly (R)22.9%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada+115-155
DKDraftKings+115-153
FANFanatics-115-125
We project 5.2 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.9% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.5%
vs RHB23.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.3%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.5 BF
Expected batters faced22.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.3 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.1% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Carson Benge (L)21.1%3.0
2. Bo Bichette (R)22.6%3.0
3. Juan Soto (L)22.5%3.0
4. Jared Young (L)24.4%3.0
5. A.J. Ewing (L)24.6%2.5
6. Marcus Semien (R)20.8%2.0
7. Brett Baty (L)21.8%2.0
8. MJ Melendez (L)19.5%2.0
9. Luis Torrens (R)22.0%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-160+120
BOVBovada-165+125
DKDraftKings-165+124
We project 5.3 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.1% Hits / BF
vs LHB24.6%
vs RHB18.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.4%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.3 BF
Expected batters faced23.3
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.3 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. James Wood (L)21.9%3.0
2. Luis García Jr. (L)24.4%3.0
3. Curtis Mead (R)22.4%3.0
4. CJ Abrams (L)23.7%3.0
5. Dylan Crews (R)21.6%3.0
6. Daylen Lile (L)23.4%2.3
7. Keibert Ruiz (L)23.0%2.0
8. José Tena (L)21.0%2.0
9. Jacob Young (R)21.7%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+120-160
BOVBovada+120-160
DKDraftKings+118-158
FANFanatics+105-150
We project 5.3 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.9% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.6%
vs RHB23.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.2%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.3 BF
Expected batters faced24.3
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.4 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Ketel Marte (L)22.1%3.0
2. Corbin Carroll (L)21.4%3.0
3. Gabriel Moreno (R)22.3%3.0
4. Nolan Arenado (R)22.4%3.0
5. Pavin Smith (L)20.6%3.0
6. Ryan Waldschmidt (R)22.8%3.0
7. Geraldo Perdomo (L)22.7%2.3
8. Ildemaro Vargas (L)21.0%2.0
9. Jorge Barrosa (L)18.0%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada+105-145
DKDraftKings+106-141
We project 5.4 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.0% Hits / BF
vs LHB18.9%
vs RHB27.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.6 BF
Expected batters faced24.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.5 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.8% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Davis Wendzel (R)22.1%3.0
2. Nick Gonzales (R)27.6%3.0
3. Bryan Reynolds (L)22.1%3.0
4. Ryan O'Hearn (L)25.1%3.0
5. Oneil Cruz (L)21.8%3.0
6. Tyler Callihan (L)21.8%3.0
7. Jake Mangum (L)26.0%2.6
8. Jared Triolo (R)19.1%2.0
9. Endy Rodríguez (L)19.3%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-110-120
BOVBovada-115-125
DKDraftKings-111-120
FANFanatics-110-130
We project 5.5 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate27.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB24.8%
vs RHB27.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.9%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.1 BF
Expected batters faced21.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.6 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.2% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Jackson Chourio (R)24.1%3.0
2. Brice Turang (L)20.1%3.0
3. William Contreras (R)23.3%3.0
4. Andrew Vaughn (R)27.6%2.1
5. Gary Sánchez (R)23.3%2.0
6. Garrett Mitchell (L)22.9%2.0
7. Luis Rengifo (R)18.6%2.0
8. Sal Frelick (L)19.6%2.0
9. Joey Ortiz (R)20.8%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-135+100
BOVBovada-155+115
DKDraftKings-156+117
We project 5.6 H vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate24.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB25.6%
vs RHB22.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.2 BF
Expected batters faced24.2
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.6 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Nick Kurtz (L)22.5%3.0
2. Henry Bolte (R)23.6%3.0
3. Shea Langeliers (R)21.1%3.0
4. Tyler Soderstrom (L)23.1%3.0
5. Brent Rooker (R)20.8%3.0
6. Lawrence Butler (L)18.5%3.0
7. Zack Gelof (R)23.6%2.2
8. Jeff McNeil (L)20.8%2.0
9. Alika Williams (R)21.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+105-140
BOVBovada-120-120
DKDraftKings-114-116
We project 5.6 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.1% Hits / BF
vs LHB24.9%
vs RHB21.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.6%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.5 BF
Expected batters faced22.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.6 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.4% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Paul Goldschmidt (R)28.8%3.0
2. Ben Rice (L)24.4%3.0
3. Cody Bellinger (L)23.9%3.0
4. Ryan McMahon (L)21.5%3.0
5. Trent Grisham (L)20.2%2.5
6. Anthony Volpe (R)23.3%2.0
7. Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L)22.0%2.0
8. José Caballero (R)22.0%2.0
9. J.C. Escarra (L)24.3%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-110-120
BOVBovada+100-140
DKDraftKings+103-137
FANFanatics-115-125
We project 5.6 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.1%
vs RHB23.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.1%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.6 BF
Expected batters faced23.6
From recent starts2
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.7 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.3% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Jeremy Peña (R)25.3%3.0
2. Yordan Alvarez (L)26.6%3.0
3. Christian Walker (R)21.6%3.0
4. Isaac Paredes (R)23.4%3.0
5. Cam Smith (R)21.9%3.0
6. Jake Meyers (R)22.1%2.6
7. Christian Vázquez (R)23.3%2.0
8. LaMonte Wade Jr. (L)22.9%2.0
9. Jose Altuve (R)23.0%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-125
BOVBovada+125-165
DKDraftKings+122-163
FANFanatics+120-170
We project 5.7 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.9% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.1%
vs RHB21.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.3%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload25.2 BF
Expected batters faced25.2
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.8 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. George Springer (R)21.1%3.0
2. Yohendrick Piñango (L)22.5%3.0
3. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)24.3%3.0
4. Daulton Varsho (L)21.0%3.0
5. Ernie Clement (R)28.6%3.0
6. Brandon Valenzuela (L)23.6%3.0
7. Kazuma Okamoto (R)21.7%3.0
8. Andrés Giménez (L)21.2%2.2
9. Nathan Lukes (L)27.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-110-120
BOVBovada-125-115
DKDraftKings-120-111
We project 5.8 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.6%
vs RHB22.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.1 BF
Expected batters faced23.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.8 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness24.8% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Dylan Smith (R)22.5%3.0
2. Rafael Devers (L)23.9%3.0
3. Luis Arraez (L)28.6%3.0
4. Willy Adames (R)24.0%3.0
5. Jung Hoo Lee (L)32.2%3.0
6. Jonah Cox (R)22.5%2.1
7. Matt Chapman (R)22.8%2.0
8. Daniel Susac (R)21.7%2.0
9. Drew Gilbert (L)24.7%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-110-120
BOVBovada-115-125
DKDraftKings-110-120
We project 5.8 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate24.8% Hits / BF
vs LHB24.2%
vs RHB24.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.6%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload25.3 BF
Expected batters faced25.3
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection6.0 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.9% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Yandy Díaz (R)27.6%3.0
2. Jonathan Aranda (L)23.5%3.0
3. Richie Palacios (L)19.3%3.0
4. Junior Caminero (R)24.5%3.0
5. Cedric Mullins (L)18.1%3.0
6. Victor Mesa Jr. (L)19.9%3.0
7. Ryan Vilade (R)21.9%3.0
8. Hunter Feduccia (L)20.9%2.3
9. Taylor Walls (L)21.2%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-125-105
BOVBovada-145+105
DKDraftKings-140+106
We project 6.0 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
29 with a HLive count — updates as games play
1
Joey CantilloP
CLE@TEX· proj #7
9HFinal
2
José SorianoP
LAA@LAD· proj #16
8HFinal
T2
Randy VásquezP
SDvsNYM· proj #20
8HFinal
T2
Mike BurrowsP
HOUvsATH· proj #25
8HFinal
5
Cade CavalliP
WSH@AZ· proj #22
7HFinal
T5
Kyle FreelandP
COLvsMIL· proj #24
7HFinal
T5
Shane BazP
BAL@TOR· proj #28
7HFinal
8
Jack FlahertyP
DETvsSEA· proj #10
6HFinal
T8
Aaron NolaP
PHIvsCWS· proj #17
6HFinal
T8
Ranger SuarezP
BOS@NYY· proj #26
6HFinal
11
Shane DrohanP
MIL@COL· proj #3
5HFinal
T11
Michael McGreevyP
STLvsCIN· proj #15
5HFinal
T11
Kevin GausmanP
TORvsBAL· proj #18
5HFinal
T11
Sandy AlcantaraP
MIAvsTB· proj #30
5HFinal
15
Cam SchlittlerP
NYYvsBOS· proj #13
4HFinal
T15
Connor PrielippP
MINvsKC· proj #14
4HFinal
T15
Trevor McDonaldP
SF@CHC· proj #19
4HFinal
18
Griffin JaxP
TB@MIA· proj #5
3HFinal
T18
Noah CameronP
KC@MIN· proj #8
3HFinal
T18
Jacob deGromP
TEXvsCLE· proj #9
3HFinal
T18
Emmet SheehanP
LADvsLAA· proj #12
3HFinal
T18
Michael SorokaP
AZvsWSH· proj #21
3HFinal
T18
Gage JumpP
ATH@HOU· proj #27
3HFinal
24
Tyler GilbertP
CWS@PHI· proj #4
2HFinal
T24
Luis CastilloP
SEA@DET· proj #6
2HFinal
T24
Bryce ElderP
ATLvsPIT· proj #23
2HFinal
T24
Jameson TaillonP
CHCvsSF· proj #29
2HFinal
28
Mason MontgomeryP
PIT@ATL· proj #2
1HFinal
T28
Rhett LowderP
CIN@STL· proj #11
1HFinal
How the board graded
Share of our top-ranked hitters that hit the mark, next to the season-to-date rate.
Top 5
2/367%
season 43%+24 pts-26% ROI
Top 10
5/863%
season 46%+17 pts-21% ROI
Top 20
11/1861%
season building
Top 50
16/2857%
season building
Full slate
16/2857%
season 48%+9 pts-15% ROI
“Hit” is the green check on the card — the mark. Pools are our pre-game top-ranked matchups; only settled (final) outcomes count. Season-to-date is every graded day this season.
Best MLB Hits Allowed Matchups — Sunday, June 7, 2026
Huascar Brazobán (NYM) is the top hits allowed spot on the Sunday, June 7, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 1.8 H, with Mason Montgomery (PIT) right behind. Every starter is ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow — his hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. It's the read DFS and pitcher-prop players make before lock.
Top spot: Huascar Brazobán
Huascar Brazobán (NYM) tops the Sunday, June 7, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 1.8 H vs SD. His hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes.
The rest of the top of the board
Mason Montgomery (PIT) (97) — about 2.0 H vs ATL.
Shane Drohan (MIL) (72) — about 3.0 H vs COL.
Tyler Gilbert (CWS) (57) — about 3.6 H vs PHI.
Griffin Jax (TB) (52) — about 3.8 H vs MIA.
Luis Castillo (SEA) (37) — about 4.4 H vs DET.
How it played out
The top 10 starts averaged 3.4 H. Huascar Brazobán finished with 0. Every projection is graded against the box score.
How to read the hits allowed board
Each starter's score (0–100) ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow — his hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. We project a hits allowed count for the start and grade it against what actually happened.
Which pitcher has the best hits allowed matchup today (Sunday, June 7, 2026)?
Huascar Brazobán (NYM) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 1.8 H against SD.
What are the best pitcher hits allowed props today?
The top projected starts on Sunday, June 7, 2026: Huascar Brazobán (~1.8 H), Mason Montgomery (~2.0 H), Shane Drohan (~3.0 H), Tyler Gilbert (~3.6 H), Griffin Jax (~3.8 H). The full board ranks every starter.
How is the hits allowed score calculated?
Ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow — his hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected hits allowed count alongside, and graded against the box score.
Can I use this for pitcher props or DFS?
Yes — the board surfaces the best hits allowed spots and projects a number. Where there's a posted line we show the over/under and which side our projection leans. We show the data and grade it, not picks.
