MatchWiz Plays
Hits Allowed · Sunday, June 7, 2026

CIN @ STL Hits Allowed matchups · Sunday, June 7, 2026

CIN
CIN
Cincinnati Reds
35
Final
STL
St. Louis Cardinals
STL
Busch StadiumElevation 460 ftCenter Field 400 ft 85°F Partly CloudyWind 12 mph, R To L

CIN Rhett Lowder · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.6% Hits / BF

vs LHB20.6%
vs RHB23.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.2%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.4 BF

Expected batters faced21.4
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.8 H

Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-150+110
DKDraftKings-149+112
FANFanatics-165+115

We project 4.8 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

STL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1JJ Wetherholt (L)23.4%3.0 PA
2Iván Herrera (R)21.7%3.0 PA
3Alec Burleson (L)26.4%3.0 PA
4Jordan Walker (R)25.1%2.4 PA
5Lars Nootbaar (L)22.8%2.0 PA
6Bryan Torres (L)23.4%2.0 PA
7José Fermín (R)25.0%2.0 PA
8Nelson Velázquez (R)24.0%2.0 PA
9Victor Scott II (L)17.9%2.0 PA

STL Michael McGreevy · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.9% Hits / BF

vs LHB23.1%
vs RHB22.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.9%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.6 BF

Expected batters faced22.6
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.0 H

Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-120-110
BOVBovada-120-120
DKDraftKings-115-115

We project 5.0 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

CIN lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Blake Dunn (R)25.1%3.0 PA
2JJ Bleday (L)22.6%3.0 PA
3Sal Stewart (R)22.4%3.0 PA
4Dane Myers (R)22.0%3.0 PA
5Spencer Steer (R)21.4%2.6 PA
6Will Benson (L)20.8%2.0 PA
7Matt McLain (R)18.9%2.0 PA
8Tyler Stephenson (R)20.3%2.0 PA
9Edwin Arroyo (L)22.5%2.0 PA