‹ Hits Allowed · Monday, June 8, 2026
BOS @ TB Hits Allowed matchups · Monday, June 8, 2026
BOS
Boston Red Sox
1–3
Final
TB
Tampa Bay Rays
◆ Tropicana FieldElevation 15 ftCenter Field 404 ft☀ 72°F DomeWind 0 mph, None
Connelly Early · LHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB19.3%
vs RHB21.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.5%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.8 BF
Expected batters faced23.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.8 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-150+110
BOVBovada-155+115
DKDraftKings-156+118
FANFanatics-165+115
We project 4.8 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
TB lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Yandy Díaz (R)26.0%3.0 PA
2Richie Palacios (L)23.1%3.0 PA
3Chandler Simpson (L)22.0%3.0 PA
4Victor Mesa Jr. (L)20.3%3.0 PA
5Jonathan Aranda (L)21.8%3.0 PA
6Ben Williamson (R)23.4%2.8 PA
7Taylor Walls (R)19.1%2.0 PA
8Nick Fortes (R)20.5%2.0 PA
9Cedric Mullins (L)20.8%2.0 PA
Ian Seymour · LHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.4% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.3%
vs RHB20.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)7.6%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload10.8 BF
Expected batters faced10.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.3 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
BOS lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Jarren Duran (L)22.3%2.0 PA
2Ceddanne Rafaela (R)22.7%1.8 PA
3Wilyer Abreu (L)28.4%1.0 PA
4Willson Contreras (R)23.8%1.0 PA
5Mickey Gasper (R)19.9%1.0 PA
6Caleb Durbin (R)21.9%1.0 PA
7Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R)20.1%1.0 PA
8Andruw Monasterio (R)23.4%1.0 PA
9Carlos Narváez (R)22.9%1.0 PA