Best MLB hits allowed matchups — Monday, June 8, 2026
Every starting pitcher on the Monday, June 8, 2026 slate, scored — ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow. His hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. Results show how each call played out.
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload9.7 BF
Expected batters faced9.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.2 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.9% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Casey Schmitt (R)28.1%1.7
2. Rafael Devers (L)20.2%1.0
3. Luis Arraez (L)22.9%1.0
4. Willy Adames (R)20.3%1.0
5. Jung Hoo Lee (L)23.9%1.0
6. Bryce Eldridge (L)25.3%1.0
7. Matt Chapman (R)20.5%1.0
8. Eric Haase (R)22.4%1.0
9. Jonah Cox (R)22.5%1.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.4% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.3%
vs RHB20.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)7.6%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload10.8 BF
Expected batters faced10.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.3 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.8% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Jarren Duran (L)22.3%2.0
2. Ceddanne Rafaela (R)22.7%1.8
3. Wilyer Abreu (L)28.4%1.0
4. Willson Contreras (R)23.8%1.0
5. Mickey Gasper (R)19.9%1.0
6. Caleb Durbin (R)21.9%1.0
7. Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R)20.1%1.0
8. Andruw Monasterio (R)23.4%1.0
9. Carlos Narváez (R)22.9%1.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.9% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.9%
vs RHB19.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)20.6%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.6 BF
Expected batters faced21.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.5 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Shea Langeliers (R)26.6%3.0
2. Nick Kurtz (L)21.7%3.0
3. Jeff McNeil (L)19.3%3.0
4. Brent Rooker (R)20.6%2.6
5. Carlos Cortes (L)25.2%2.0
6. Tyler Soderstrom (L)22.6%2.0
7. Henry Bolte (R)25.3%2.0
8. Zack Gelof (R)22.7%2.0
9. Alika Williams (R)19.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-155+115
DKDraftKings-153+115
We project 4.5 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.7%
vs RHB19.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.3%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.8 BF
Expected batters faced21.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.5 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.2% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Blake Dunn (R)24.6%3.0
2. JJ Bleday (L)22.9%3.0
3. Sal Stewart (R)22.7%3.0
4. Spencer Steer (R)21.3%2.8
5. Eugenio Suárez (R)20.2%2.0
6. Noelvi Marte (R)23.0%2.0
7. Matt McLain (R)20.3%2.0
8. Tyler Stephenson (R)22.2%2.0
9. Edwin Arroyo (L)22.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-125-105
BOVBovada-125-115
DKDraftKings-120-110
FANFanatics-135-105
We project 4.5 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate18.8% Hits / BF
vs LHB19.3%
vs RHB20.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.9%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.2 BF
Expected batters faced23.2
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.5 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.2% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Taylor Ward (R)20.8%3.0
2. Gunnar Henderson (L)21.4%3.0
3. Pete Alonso (R)23.1%3.0
4. Colton Cowser (L)24.6%3.0
5. Leody Taveras (L)22.2%3.0
6. Jackson Holliday (L)22.2%2.2
7. Coby Mayo (R)17.7%2.0
8. Blaze Alexander (R)24.9%2.0
9. Samuel Basallo (L)22.8%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada+125-165
DKDraftKings+124-165
FANFanatics+110-155
We project 4.5 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.0% Hits / BF
vs LHB18.5%
vs RHB20.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.5 BF
Expected batters faced23.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.7 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.1% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Zach Neto (R)21.6%3.0
2. Mike Trout (R)18.2%3.0
3. Jose Siri (R)23.8%3.0
4. Jo Adell (R)20.7%3.0
5. Denzer Guzman (R)22.7%3.0
6. Nick Madrigal (R)27.1%2.5
7. Nolan Schanuel (L)23.0%2.0
8. Oswald Peraza (R)23.4%2.0
9. Logan O'Hoppe (R)18.8%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-135+100
BOVBovada-150+110
DKDraftKings-150+113
We project 4.7 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB19.3%
vs RHB21.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.5%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.8 BF
Expected batters faced23.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.8 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.9% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Yandy Díaz (R)26.0%3.0
2. Richie Palacios (L)23.1%3.0
3. Chandler Simpson (L)22.0%3.0
4. Victor Mesa Jr. (L)20.3%3.0
5. Jonathan Aranda (L)21.8%3.0
6. Ben Williamson (R)23.4%2.8
7. Taylor Walls (R)19.1%2.0
8. Nick Fortes (R)20.5%2.0
9. Cedric Mullins (L)20.8%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-150+110
BOVBovada-155+115
DKDraftKings-156+118
FANFanatics-165+115
We project 4.8 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.5%
vs RHB22.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload20.7 BF
Expected batters faced20.7
From recent starts3
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.8 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.4% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Cole Young (L)23.0%3.0
2. Julio Rodríguez (R)23.8%3.0
3. Josh Naylor (L)22.7%2.7
4. Randy Arozarena (R)23.6%2.0
5. Victor Robles (R)22.6%2.0
6. Dominic Canzone (L)26.2%2.0
7. Patrick Wisdom (R)21.3%2.0
8. Jhonny Pereda (R)25.6%2.0
9. Ryan Bliss (R)21.6%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.4% Hits / BF
vs LHB18.6%
vs RHB21.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.5%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload25.3 BF
Expected batters faced25.3
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.8 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Trent Grisham (L)21.9%3.0
2. Ben Rice (L)24.4%3.0
3. Max Schuemann (R)20.6%3.0
4. Cody Bellinger (L)22.4%3.0
5. Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L)21.1%3.0
6. Spencer Jones (L)22.5%3.0
7. José Caballero (R)22.3%3.0
8. Anthony Volpe (R)19.7%2.3
9. Ali Sánchez (R)19.1%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-110-120
BOVBovada-115-125
DKDraftKings-110-120
FANFanatics-135-105
We project 4.8 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.3% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.1%
vs RHB21.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)20.1%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.6 BF
Expected batters faced23.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.9 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.3% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Travis Bazzana (L)26.2%3.0
2. José Ramírez (L)19.8%3.0
3. Chase DeLauter (L)18.5%3.0
4. Rhys Hoskins (R)19.5%3.0
5. Stuart Fairchild (R)21.3%3.0
6. Angel Martínez (L)20.7%2.6
7. Steven Kwan (L)24.0%2.0
8. Patrick Bailey (L)18.8%2.0
9. Brayan Rocchio (L)22.8%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-155+115
DKDraftKings-155+117
We project 4.9 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.9% Hits / BF
vs LHB24.9%
vs RHB21.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.6%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.1 BF
Expected batters faced22.1
From recent starts4
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.9 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.2% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Jeremy Peña (R)26.0%3.0
2. Yordan Alvarez (L)24.7%3.0
3. Shay Whitcomb (R)20.9%3.0
4. Isaac Paredes (R)20.6%3.0
5. Jose Altuve (R)22.9%2.1
6. Brice Matthews (R)20.7%2.0
7. Cam Smith (R)19.7%2.0
8. Jake Meyers (R)21.9%2.0
9. Collin Price (R)22.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada+105-145
DKDraftKings+105-139
FANFanatics+110-155
We project 4.9 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate24.0% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.3%
vs RHB24.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.2 BF
Expected batters faced22.2
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.0 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.8% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Kyle Schwarber (L)23.9%3.0
2. Trea Turner (R)20.8%3.0
3. Bryce Harper (L)21.8%3.0
4. Brandon Marsh (L)24.1%3.0
5. Alec Bohm (R)22.1%2.2
6. J.T. Realmuto (R)19.0%2.0
7. Bryson Stott (L)22.1%2.0
8. Adolis García (R)22.0%2.0
9. Justin Crawford (L)20.4%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada+110-150
DKDraftKings+113-149
FANFanatics+120-165
We project 5.0 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.5%
vs RHB19.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.5%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.5 BF
Expected batters faced24.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.1 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. James Wood (L)21.6%3.0
2. Luis García Jr. (L)23.7%3.0
3. Andrés Chaparro (R)21.9%3.0
4. CJ Abrams (L)24.0%3.0
5. Dylan Crews (R)20.5%3.0
6. Jacob Young (R)21.2%3.0
7. Keibert Ruiz (L)23.0%2.5
8. Jorbit Vivas (L)19.9%2.0
9. Nasim Nuñez (L)18.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-140+105
BOVBovada-140+100
DKDraftKings-135+102
FANFanatics-140+100
We project 5.1 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.4% Hits / BF
vs LHB24.4%
vs RHB21.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)5.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.0 BF
Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.2 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.9% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)26.9%3.0
2. Jackson Merrill (L)22.5%3.0
3. Ty France (R)25.2%3.0
4. Manny Machado (R)21.9%3.0
5. Xander Bogaerts (R)22.5%3.0
6. Gavin Sheets (L)19.6%2.0
7. Jase Bowen (R)22.5%2.0
8. Samad Taylor (R)23.0%2.0
9. Freddy Fermin (R)21.9%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+100-135
BOVBovada-110-130
DKDraftKings-107-124
We project 5.2 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.8% Hits / BF
vs LHB24.8%
vs RHB22.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.2%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.5 BF
Expected batters faced22.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.4 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.1% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Christian Yelich (L)25.4%3.0
2. Jackson Chourio (R)26.8%3.0
3. Brice Turang (L)19.5%3.0
4. William Contreras (R)23.6%3.0
5. Blake Perkins (R)20.0%2.5
6. Andrew Vaughn (R)29.0%2.0
7. Garrett Mitchell (L)22.3%2.0
8. Luis Rengifo (R)19.2%2.0
9. David Hamilton (L)22.1%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-130-110
DKDraftKings-128-104
FANFanatics-140+100
We project 5.4 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB19.8%
vs RHB22.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.4%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload26.8 BF
Expected batters faced26.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.7 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.2% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. George Springer (R)21.4%3.0
2. Nathan Lukes (L)20.6%3.0
3. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)25.3%3.0
4. Kazuma Okamoto (R)24.1%3.0
5. Ernie Clement (R)24.5%3.0
6. Andrés Giménez (L)19.2%3.0
7. Jesús Sánchez (L)20.7%3.0
8. Brandon Valenzuela (R)21.3%3.0
9. Yohendrick Piñango (L)22.5%2.8
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-135+100
BOVBovada-110-130
DKDraftKings-107-124
We project 5.7 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
16 with a HLive count — updates as games play
1
Kyle HarrisonP
MIL@ATH· proj #3
8HFinal
T1
Walker BuehlerP
SDvsCIN· proj #4
8HFinal
T1
Jeffrey SpringsP
ATHvsMIL· proj #15
8HFinal
4
Grayson RodriguezP
LAAvsHOU· proj #11
6HFinal
5
Connelly EarlyP
BOS@TB· proj #7
5HFinal
T5
Trey GibsonP
BALvsSEA· proj #8
5HFinal
T5
Logan WebbP
SFvsWSH· proj #13
5HFinal
8
Spencer ArrighettiP
HOU@LAA· proj #6
4HFinal
T8
Gavin WilliamsP
CLEvsNYY· proj #9
4HFinal
T8
Will WarrenP
NYY@CLE· proj #10
4HFinal
T8
Patrick CorbinP
TORvsPHI· proj #12
4HFinal
T8
Andrew AbbottP
CIN@SD· proj #14
4HFinal
T8
Cristopher SánchezP
PHI@TOR· proj #16
4HFinal
14
Emerson HancockP
SEA@BAL· proj #5
3HFinal
15
Richard LoveladyP
WSH@SF· proj #1
2HFinal
16
Ian SeymourP
TBvsBOS· proj #2
1HFinal
How the board graded
Share of our top-ranked hitters that hit the mark, next to the season-to-date rate.
Top 5
1/333%
season 43%-10 pts-26% ROI
Top 10
2/729%
season 46%-17 pts-21% ROI
Top 20
5/1338%
season building
Top 50
5/1338%
season building
Full slate
5/1338%
season 48%-10 pts-15% ROI
“Hit” is the green check on the card — the mark. Pools are our pre-game top-ranked matchups; only settled (final) outcomes count. Season-to-date is every graded day this season.
Best MLB Hits Allowed Matchups — Monday, June 8, 2026
Richard Lovelady (WSH) is the top hits allowed spot on the Monday, June 8, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 2.2 H, with Ian Seymour (TB) right behind. Every starter is ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow — his hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. It's the read DFS and pitcher-prop players make before lock.
Top spot: Richard Lovelady
Richard Lovelady (WSH) tops the Monday, June 8, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 2.2 H vs SF. His hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes.
The rest of the top of the board
Ian Seymour (TB) (98) — about 2.3 H vs BOS.
Kyle Harrison (MIL) (34) — about 4.5 H vs ATH.
Walker Buehler (SD) (34) — about 4.5 H vs CIN.
Emerson Hancock (SEA) (33) — about 4.5 H vs BAL.
Spencer Arrighetti (HOU) (27) — about 4.7 H vs LAA.
How it played out
The top 10 starts averaged 4.4 H. Richard Lovelady finished with 2. Every projection is graded against the box score.
How to read the hits allowed board
Each starter's score (0–100) ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow — his hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. We project a hits allowed count for the start and grade it against what actually happened.
Which pitcher has the best hits allowed matchup today (Monday, June 8, 2026)?
Richard Lovelady (WSH) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 2.2 H against SF.
What are the best pitcher hits allowed props today?
The top projected starts on Monday, June 8, 2026: Richard Lovelady (~2.2 H), Ian Seymour (~2.3 H), Kyle Harrison (~4.5 H), Walker Buehler (~4.5 H), Emerson Hancock (~4.5 H). The full board ranks every starter.
How is the hits allowed score calculated?
Ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow — his hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected hits allowed count alongside, and graded against the box score.
Can I use this for pitcher props or DFS?
Yes — the board surfaces the best hits allowed spots and projects a number. Where there's a posted line we show the over/under and which side our projection leans. We show the data and grade it, not picks.
