MatchWiz Plays
Hits Allowed · Monday, June 15, 2026

KC @ WSH Hits Allowed matchups · Monday, June 15, 2026

KC
KC
Kansas City Royals
37
Final
WSH
Washington Nationals
WSH
Nationals ParkElevation 35 ftCenter Field 402 ft 76°F Partly CloudyWind 11 mph, In From LF

KC Mitch Spence · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.8% Hits / BF

vs LHB23.6%
vs RHB22.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.4%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.5 BF

Expected batters faced22.5
From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.2 H

Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+125-165

We project 5.2 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

WSH lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1James Wood (L)23.0%3.0 PA
2Luis García Jr. (L)23.6%3.0 PA
3Curtis Mead (R)20.4%3.0 PA
4CJ Abrams (L)24.6%3.0 PA
5Dylan Crews (R)19.7%2.5 PA
6Daylen Lile (L)24.4%2.0 PA
7Jacob Young (R)22.4%2.0 PA
8Keibert Ruiz (L)22.8%2.0 PA
9Nasim Nuñez (L)19.7%2.0 PA

WSH Andrew Alvarez · LHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.4% Hits / BF

vs LHB24.8%
vs RHB20.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.8%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload17.2 BF

Expected batters faced17.2
From recent starts7

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.8 H

Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-125-105
DKDraftKings-141+106
FANFanatics-130-110

We project 3.8 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

KC lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Lane Thomas (R)21.8%2.0 PA
2Bobby Witt Jr. (R)26.3%2.0 PA
3Jac Caglianone (L)25.9%2.0 PA
4Maikel Garcia (R)24.4%2.0 PA
5Starling Marte (R)22.0%2.0 PA
6Salvador Perez (R)21.8%2.0 PA
7Nick Loftin (R)21.5%2.0 PA
8Carter Jensen (L)21.7%2.0 PA
9Isaac Collins (R)20.3%1.2 PA