Best MLB hits allowed matchups — Monday, June 15, 2026
Every starting pitcher on the Monday, June 15, 2026 slate, scored — ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow. His hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. Results show how each call played out.
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload10.2 BF
Expected batters faced10.2
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.3 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.1% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Jeremy Peña (R)23.4%2.0
2. Yordan Alvarez (L)26.7%1.2
3. Christian Walker (R)23.2%1.0
4. Isaac Paredes (R)20.2%1.0
5. Jose Altuve (R)21.3%1.0
6. Taylor Trammell (L)23.1%1.0
7. Cam Smith (R)20.0%1.0
8. Brice Matthews (R)21.2%1.0
9. Christian Vázquez (R)19.9%1.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.3% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.0%
vs RHB21.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)7.1%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload10.4 BF
Expected batters faced10.4
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.3 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.8% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. JJ Wetherholt (L)22.9%2.0
2. Iván Herrera (R)23.4%1.4
3. Alec Burleson (L)20.2%1.0
4. Jordan Walker (R)25.1%1.0
5. Lars Nootbaar (L)21.7%1.0
6. Masyn Winn (R)22.9%1.0
7. Jimmy Crooks (L)22.7%1.0
8. Blaze Jordan (R)22.5%1.0
9. Nathan Church (L)24.0%1.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.3% Hits / BF
vs LHB19.9%
vs RHB25.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)8.9%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload10.0 BF
Expected batters faced10.0
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.4 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.9% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Blake Dunn (R)23.1%2.0
2. JJ Bleday (L)22.9%1.0
3. Sal Stewart (R)21.7%1.0
4. Spencer Steer (R)20.2%1.0
5. Eugenio Suárez (R)21.1%1.0
6. Noelvi Marte (R)23.9%1.0
7. Matt McLain (R)20.1%1.0
8. Tyler Stephenson (R)21.5%1.0
9. Edwin Arroyo (L)22.5%1.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate25.1% Hits / BF
vs LHB24.4%
vs RHB24.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.4%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload15.6 BF
Expected batters faced15.6
From recent starts4
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection3.8 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Kyle Schwarber (L)20.3%2.0
2. Trea Turner (R)22.8%2.0
3. Bryce Harper (L)22.3%2.0
4. Brandon Marsh (L)27.2%2.0
5. Bryson Stott (L)22.2%2.0
6. J.T. Realmuto (R)20.3%2.0
7. Gabriel Rincones Jr. (L)22.5%1.6
8. Justin Crawford (L)22.4%1.0
9. Edmundo Sosa (R)22.2%1.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-125-105
BOVBovada+100-140
DKDraftKings+103-137
We project 3.8 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.4% Hits / BF
vs LHB24.8%
vs RHB20.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload17.2 BF
Expected batters faced17.2
From recent starts7
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection3.8 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.9% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Lane Thomas (R)21.8%2.0
2. Bobby Witt Jr. (R)26.3%2.0
3. Jac Caglianone (L)25.9%2.0
4. Maikel Garcia (R)24.4%2.0
5. Starling Marte (R)22.0%2.0
6. Salvador Perez (R)21.8%2.0
7. Nick Loftin (R)21.5%2.0
8. Carter Jensen (L)21.7%2.0
9. Isaac Collins (R)20.3%1.2
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-125-105
DKDraftKings-141+106
FANFanatics-130-110
We project 3.8 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate18.0% Hits / BF
vs LHB18.7%
vs RHB19.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.1%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.8 BF
Expected batters faced22.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.1 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.1% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Ketel Marte (L)21.8%3.0
2. Geraldo Perdomo (L)22.3%3.0
3. Corbin Carroll (L)20.4%3.0
4. Gabriel Moreno (R)24.0%3.0
5. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (R)21.7%2.8
6. Nolan Arenado (R)20.6%2.0
7. Jordan Lawlar (R)23.3%2.0
8. Pavin Smith (L)18.1%2.0
9. Tommy Troy (R)17.9%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-120-110
BOVBovada-110-130
DKDraftKings-110-120
We project 4.1 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.9% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.6%
vs RHB20.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload18.8 BF
Expected batters faced18.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.2 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Kevin McGonigle (L)22.5%2.8
2. Gleyber Torres (R)25.9%2.0
3. Kerry Carpenter (L)22.7%2.0
4. Riley Greene (L)24.8%2.0
5. Dillon Dingler (R)26.2%2.0
6. Colt Keith (L)22.3%2.0
7. Spencer Torkelson (R)19.9%2.0
8. Zach McKinstry (L)20.5%2.0
9. James Outman (L)19.0%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+110-150
BOVBovada+105-145
DKDraftKings+105-139
FANFanatics+100-140
We project 4.2 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.5%
vs RHB22.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload19.0 BF
Expected batters faced19.0
From recent starts3
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.3 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Joc Pederson (L)20.5%3.0
2. Josh Jung (R)24.5%2.0
3. Wyatt Langford (R)21.7%2.0
4. Brandon Nimmo (L)22.9%2.0
5. Jake Burger (R)21.4%2.0
6. Alejandro Osuna (L)21.3%2.0
7. Cody Freeman (R)24.0%2.0
8. Nicky Lopez (L)21.7%2.0
9. Elias Díaz (R)26.4%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.9% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.8%
vs RHB21.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.1%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.5 BF
Expected batters faced21.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.7 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.4% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Yandy Díaz (R)24.8%3.0
2. Jonathan Aranda (L)21.8%3.0
3. Junior Caminero (R)21.7%3.0
4. Ryan Vilade (R)23.8%2.5
5. Ben Williamson (R)23.6%2.0
6. Austin Slater (R)20.6%2.0
7. Cedric Mullins (L)22.5%2.0
8. Nick Fortes (R)22.4%2.0
9. Taylor Walls (R)20.0%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-155+115
DKDraftKings-154+116
We project 4.7 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.7% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.1%
vs RHB20.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.7%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.2 BF
Expected batters faced23.2
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.7 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.4% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Carson Benge (L)22.6%3.0
2. Bo Bichette (R)23.7%3.0
3. Juan Soto (L)23.3%3.0
4. Jared Young (L)22.8%3.0
5. A.J. Ewing (L)25.2%3.0
6. Marcus Semien (R)20.6%2.2
7. Brett Baty (L)22.1%2.0
8. MJ Melendez (L)18.7%2.0
9. Francisco Alvarez (R)22.4%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+105-140
BOVBovada-120-120
DKDraftKings-117-114
FANFanatics-105-135
We project 4.7 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate18.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB19.6%
vs RHB19.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)20.3%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.8 BF
Expected batters faced23.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.7 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Liam Hicks (L)24.7%3.0
2. Otto Lopez (R)27.3%3.0
3. Kyle Stowers (L)20.9%3.0
4. Xavier Edwards (L)23.3%3.0
5. Heriberto Hernández (R)23.4%3.0
6. Owen Caissie (L)19.5%2.8
7. Jakob Marsee (L)20.0%2.0
8. Joe Mack (L)22.5%2.0
9. Javier Sanoja (R)22.3%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-155+115
DKDraftKings-155+117
FANFanatics-155+110
We project 4.7 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.4% Hits / BF
vs LHB25.6%
vs RHB19.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.7%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.2 BF
Expected batters faced21.2
From recent starts3
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.8 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Nick Kurtz (L)23.1%3.0
2. Shea Langeliers (R)21.0%3.0
3. Tyler Soderstrom (L)22.4%3.0
4. Jacob Wilson (R)24.6%2.2
5. Carlos Cortes (L)23.3%2.0
6. Zack Gelof (R)23.9%2.0
7. Lawrence Butler (L)21.3%2.0
8. Henry Bolte (R)24.5%2.0
9. Jeff McNeil (L)20.4%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-140+100
DKDraftKings-137+104
We project 4.8 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.4% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.8%
vs RHB22.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.2%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.3 BF
Expected batters faced22.3
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.0 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.3% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Austin Martin (R)20.8%3.0
2. Byron Buxton (R)25.7%3.0
3. Kody Clemens (L)22.5%3.0
4. Royce Lewis (R)22.7%3.0
5. Josh Bell (R)21.5%2.3
6. Kyler Fedko (R)22.5%2.0
7. Luke Keaschall (R)23.0%2.0
8. Ryan Kreidler (R)21.1%2.0
9. Alex Jackson (R)20.7%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-125
BOVBovada-120-120
DKDraftKings-117-113
FANFanatics-120-120
We project 5.0 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB24.1%
vs RHB20.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.0 BF
Expected batters faced24.0
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.1 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.4% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)24.3%3.0
2. Jackson Merrill (L)20.5%3.0
3. Manny Machado (R)18.4%3.0
4. Gavin Sheets (L)21.3%3.0
5. Xander Bogaerts (R)20.3%3.0
6. Will Wagner (L)23.9%3.0
7. Ty France (R)20.5%2.0
8. Sung-Mun Song (L)20.9%2.0
9. Rodolfo Durán (R)22.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+105-140
BOVBovada+130-170
DKDraftKings+127-169
FANFanatics+110-155
We project 5.1 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.9%
vs RHB20.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.6%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.9 BF
Expected batters faced23.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.2 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.4% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Willi Castro (R)25.7%3.0
2. Tyler Freeman (R)21.6%3.0
3. TJ Rumfield (L)24.2%3.0
4. Hunter Goodman (R)23.7%3.0
5. Ezequiel Tovar (R)22.0%3.0
6. Cole Carrigg (R)22.5%2.9
7. Jake McCarthy (L)24.3%2.0
8. Kyle Karros (R)24.7%2.0
9. Braxton Fulford (R)21.7%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+120-160
BOVBovada+110-150
DKDraftKings+109-145
We project 5.2 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.8% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.6%
vs RHB22.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.4%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.5 BF
Expected batters faced22.5
From recent starts1
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.2 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.3% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. James Wood (L)23.0%3.0
2. Luis García Jr. (L)23.6%3.0
3. Curtis Mead (R)20.4%3.0
4. CJ Abrams (L)24.6%3.0
5. Dylan Crews (R)19.7%2.5
6. Daylen Lile (L)24.4%2.0
7. Jacob Young (R)22.4%2.0
8. Keibert Ruiz (L)22.8%2.0
9. Nasim Nuñez (L)19.7%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+125-165
We project 5.2 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.3% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.7%
vs RHB17.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.9%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.5 BF
Expected batters faced23.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.3 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.3% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Spencer Horwitz (L)22.7%3.0
2. Brandon Lowe (L)22.3%3.0
3. Bryan Reynolds (L)20.2%3.0
4. Ryan O'Hearn (L)23.9%3.0
5. Nick Gonzales (R)26.7%3.0
6. Endy Rodríguez (L)20.8%2.5
7. Tyler Callihan (L)22.9%2.0
8. Jake Mangum (L)28.0%2.0
9. Esmerlyn Valdez (R)22.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-110-120
BOVBovada-115-125
DKDraftKings-109-121
FANFanatics+105-150
We project 5.3 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.8% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.1%
vs RHB23.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.3%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload25.0 BF
Expected batters faced25.0
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.6 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.3% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Zach Neto (R)20.3%3.0
2. Mike Trout (R)18.3%3.0
3. Wade Meckler (L)25.9%3.0
4. Jo Adell (R)21.6%3.0
5. Nolan Schanuel (L)23.2%3.0
6. Denzer Guzman (R)23.8%3.0
7. Logan O'Hoppe (R)21.7%3.0
8. Donovan Walton (L)24.3%2.0
9. Oswald Peraza (R)21.9%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-120-110
BOVBovada-135-105
DKDraftKings-132+100
FANFanatics-145+100
We project 5.6 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate24.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.7%
vs RHB25.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.1 BF
Expected batters faced24.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.8 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.1% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Shohei Ohtani (L)24.5%3.0
2. Andy Pages (R)23.4%3.0
3. Freddie Freeman (L)25.9%3.0
4. Mookie Betts (R)21.2%3.0
5. Max Muncy (L)23.6%3.0
6. Kyle Tucker (L)22.0%3.0
7. Ryan Ward (L)22.8%2.1
8. Dalton Rushing (L)22.8%2.0
9. Alex Freeland (L)21.8%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-110-118
BOVBovada-115-125
DKDraftKings-112-119
FANFanatics-135-105
We project 5.8 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate27.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB28.1%
vs RHB25.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.7%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.5 BF
Expected batters faced22.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection6.0 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.0% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)25.4%3.0
2. Alex Bregman (R)22.1%3.0
3. Michael Busch (L)22.6%3.0
4. Seiya Suzuki (R)23.9%3.0
5. Ian Happ (L)21.1%2.5
6. Nico Hoerner (R)20.3%2.0
7. Moisés Ballesteros (L)22.5%2.0
8. Matt Shaw (R)21.7%2.0
9. Dansby Swanson (R)18.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+100-135
BOVBovada-120-120
DKDraftKings-113-117
FANFanatics-125-115
We project 6.0 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
19 with a HLive count — updates as games play
1
Ryne NelsonP
AZvsLAA· proj #18
9HFinal
2
Ryan GustoP
MIA@PHI· proj #4
8HFinal
T2
Jared JonesP
PIT@ATH· proj #12
8HFinal
4
Walbert UreñaP
LAA@AZ· proj #6
7HFinal
T4
Mitch SpenceP
KC@WSH· proj #16
7HFinal
6
Kai-Wei TengP
HOUvsDET· proj #7
6HFinal
T6
Eric LauerP
LADvsTB· proj #9
6HFinal
T6
J.T. GinnP
ATHvsPIT· proj #17
6HFinal
9
Andrew AlvarezP
WSHvsKC· proj #5
5HFinal
T9
Shota ImanagaP
CHCvsCOL· proj #15
5HFinal
T9
Nick MartinezP
TB@LAD· proj #19
5HFinal
T9
Michael LorenzenP
COL@CHC· proj #20
5HFinal
13
Tobias MyersP
NYM@CIN· proj #3
4HFinal
T13
Mike ParedesP
MIN@TEX· proj #8
4HFinal
T13
Chase BurnsP
CINvsNYM· proj #10
4HFinal
T13
MacKenzie GoreP
TEXvsMIN· proj #13
4HFinal
17
Drew AndersonP
DET@HOU· proj #1
2HFinal
T17
Zack WheelerP
PHIvsMIA· proj #11
2HFinal
19
Dustin MayP
STLvsSD· proj #14
1HFinal
How the board graded
Share of our top-ranked hitters that hit the mark, next to the season-to-date rate.
Top 5
0/20%
season 43%-43 pts-26% ROI
Top 10
1/617%
season 46%-29 pts-21% ROI
Top 20
5/1631%
season building
Top 50
5/1631%
season building
Full slate
5/1631%
season 48%-17 pts-15% ROI
“Hit” is the green check on the card — the mark. Pools are our pre-game top-ranked matchups; only settled (final) outcomes count. Season-to-date is every graded day this season.
Best MLB Hits Allowed Matchups — Monday, June 15, 2026
Drew Anderson (DET) is the top hits allowed spot on the Monday, June 15, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 2.3 H, with Wandy Peralta (SD) right behind. Every starter is ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow — his hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. It's the read DFS and pitcher-prop players make before lock.
Top spot: Drew Anderson
Drew Anderson (DET) tops the Monday, June 15, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 2.3 H vs HOU. His hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes.
The rest of the top of the board
Wandy Peralta (SD) (99) — about 2.3 H vs STL.
Tobias Myers (NYM) (97) — about 2.4 H vs CIN.
Ryan Gusto (MIA) (59) — about 3.8 H vs PHI.
Andrew Alvarez (WSH) (58) — about 3.8 H vs KC.
Walbert Ureña (LAA) (50) — about 4.1 H vs AZ.
How it played out
The top 10 starts averaged 4.6 H. Drew Anderson finished with 2. Every projection is graded against the box score.
How to read the hits allowed board
Each starter's score (0–100) ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow — his hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. We project a hits allowed count for the start and grade it against what actually happened.
Which pitcher has the best hits allowed matchup today (Monday, June 15, 2026)?
Drew Anderson (DET) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 2.3 H against HOU.
What are the best pitcher hits allowed props today?
The top projected starts on Monday, June 15, 2026: Drew Anderson (~2.3 H), Wandy Peralta (~2.3 H), Tobias Myers (~2.4 H), Ryan Gusto (~3.8 H), Andrew Alvarez (~3.8 H). The full board ranks every starter.
How is the hits allowed score calculated?
Ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow — his hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected hits allowed count alongside, and graded against the box score.
Can I use this for pitcher props or DFS?
Yes — the board surfaces the best hits allowed spots and projects a number. Where there's a posted line we show the over/under and which side our projection leans. We show the data and grade it, not picks.
