‹ Hits Allowed · Saturday, June 20, 2026
BOS @ SEA Hits Allowed matchups · Saturday, June 20, 2026
BOS
Boston Red Sox
5–1
Final
SEA
Seattle Mariners
◆ T-Mobile ParkElevation 10 ftCenter Field 405 ft☀ 70°F ClearWind 8 mph, Out To CF
Connelly Early · LHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.7% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.1%
vs RHB23.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.9%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.1 BF
Expected batters faced24.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.3 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-120-110
BOVBovada-135-105
DKDraftKings-133+100
We project 5.3 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
SEA lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1J.P. Crawford (L)20.6%3.0 PA
2Cal Raleigh (R)20.9%3.0 PA
3Julio Rodríguez (R)22.5%3.0 PA
4Josh Naylor (L)25.3%3.0 PA
5Rob Refsnyder (R)20.8%3.0 PA
6Cole Young (L)22.3%3.0 PA
7Mitch Garver (R)22.8%2.1 PA
8Connor Joe (R)18.1%2.0 PA
9Colt Emerson (L)19.2%2.0 PA
Emerson Hancock · RHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.7% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.9%
vs RHB22.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.7 BF
Expected batters faced22.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.9 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada+120-160
DKDraftKings+120-160
We project 4.9 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
BOS lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Anthony Seigler (L)21.8%3.0 PA
2Masataka Yoshida (L)22.8%3.0 PA
3Wilyer Abreu (L)21.7%3.0 PA
4Willson Contreras (R)23.7%3.0 PA
5Jarren Duran (L)20.8%2.7 PA
6Caleb Durbin (R)19.0%2.0 PA
7Marcelo Mayer (L)19.2%2.0 PA
8Carlos Narváez (R)19.8%2.0 PA
9Nate Eaton (R)22.3%2.0 PA