Best MLB hits allowed matchups — Saturday, June 20, 2026
Every starting pitcher on the Saturday, June 20, 2026 slate, scored — ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow. His hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. Results show how each call played out.
PROJSome lineups aren't official yet — 1 starts use an opposing lineup projected from that team's last game. The strikeout projection updates automatically once the official lineup posts, ~2 hours before first pitch.
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#Pitcher · MatchupScore
Pitcher hits allowed Rate18.8% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.3%
vs RHB18.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)8.9%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload12.6 BF
Expected batters faced12.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.5 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.1% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. James Wood (L)24.0%2.0
2. Curtis Mead (R)22.7%2.0
3. Andrés Chaparro (R)19.6%2.0
4. CJ Abrams (L)24.9%1.6
5. Dylan Crews (R)21.7%1.0
6. Daylen Lile (L)23.5%1.0
7. Jacob Young (R)22.4%1.0
8. Nasim Nuñez (R)22.1%1.0
9. Keibert Ruiz (R)27.4%1.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
FANFanatics+115-165
We project 2.5 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate16.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB17.3%
vs RHB18.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.9%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.5 BF
Expected batters faced24.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.2 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Taylor Ward (R)20.7%3.0
2. Gunnar Henderson (L)21.7%3.0
3. Pete Alonso (R)23.1%3.0
4. Samuel Basallo (L)22.2%3.0
5. Leody Taveras (L)21.9%3.0
6. Colton Cowser (L)21.1%3.0
7. Coby Mayo (R)17.0%2.5
8. Jackson Holliday (L)20.5%2.0
9. Blaze Alexander (R)26.9%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-115-115
BOVBovada-105-135
DKDraftKings+100-132
We project 4.2 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.9% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.3%
vs RHB22.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.1%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload11.3 BF
Expected batters faced11.3
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.3 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Kevin McGonigle (L)23.9%2.0
2. Dillon Dingler (R)20.7%2.0
3. Matt Vierling (R)22.7%1.3
4. Riley Greene (L)21.7%1.0
5. Spencer Torkelson (R)20.1%1.0
6. Kerry Carpenter (L)21.7%1.0
7. Hao-Yu Lee (R)22.8%1.0
8. Jake Rogers (R)21.6%1.0
9. Zach McKinstry (L)19.4%1.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
FANFanatics+120-170
We project 2.3 H vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.8% Hits / BF
vs LHB18.9%
vs RHB21.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.6 BF
Expected batters faced23.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.3 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.3% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Travis Bazzana (L)23.1%3.0
2. Kyle Manzardo (L)21.0%3.0
3. Brayan Rocchio (L)22.9%3.0
4. Rhys Hoskins (R)18.6%3.0
5. Daniel Schneemann (L)20.3%3.0
6. Kahlil Watson (L)22.5%2.6
7. Steven Kwan (L)21.8%2.0
8. Patrick Bailey (L)20.0%2.0
9. Petey Halpin (L)21.3%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-170+130
DKDraftKings-172+129
We project 4.3 H vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.4%
vs RHB17.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.9%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.8 BF
Expected batters faced23.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.7 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Zach Neto (R)20.3%3.0
2. Nolan Schanuel (L)22.5%3.0
3. Vaughn Grissom (R)22.7%3.0
4. Jo Adell (R)22.7%3.0
5. Wade Meckler (L)25.4%3.0
6. Denzer Guzman (R)24.6%2.8
7. Donovan Walton (L)22.5%2.0
8. Jose Siri (R)22.9%2.0
9. Tyler Heineman (L)19.2%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+120-160
BOVBovada-120-120
DKDraftKings-116-115
We project 4.7 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.8% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.0%
vs RHB20.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)22.2%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.8 BF
Expected batters faced23.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.8 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Jake McCarthy (L)24.1%3.0
2. Willi Castro (L)23.1%3.0
3. TJ Rumfield (L)23.3%3.0
4. Hunter Goodman (R)21.9%3.0
5. Troy Johnston (L)22.5%3.0
6. Cole Carrigg (L)22.5%2.8
7. Edouard Julien (L)21.4%2.0
8. Ezequiel Tovar (R)20.9%2.0
9. Sterlin Thompson (L)22.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-110-120
BOVBovada-110-130
DKDraftKings-108-123
We project 4.8 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.7%
vs RHB24.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.5 BF
Expected batters faced21.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.8 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.0% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Shohei Ohtani (L)23.9%3.0
2. Andy Pages (R)21.5%3.0
3. Freddie Freeman (L)21.0%3.0
4. Mookie Betts (R)19.8%2.5
5. Miguel Rojas (R)25.1%2.0
6. Tommy Edman (R)21.7%2.0
7. Kyle Tucker (L)20.2%2.0
8. Alex Call (R)23.6%2.0
9. Dalton Rushing (L)21.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-110-120
BOVBovada+110-150
DKDraftKings+111-147
FANFanatics-120-120
We project 4.8 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.3% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.6%
vs RHB18.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.1%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.8 BF
Expected batters faced23.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.8 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Nick Kurtz (L)23.6%3.0
2. Shea Langeliers (R)21.0%3.0
3. Tyler Soderstrom (L)21.0%3.0
4. Jacob Wilson (R)24.8%3.0
5. Jonah Heim (L)21.5%3.0
6. Lawrence Butler (L)21.5%2.8
7. Henry Bolte (R)24.7%2.0
8. Max Muncy (R)22.9%2.0
9. Jeff McNeil (L)21.2%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-130
BOVBovada-130-110
DKDraftKings-125-106
FANFanatics-130-110
We project 4.8 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.7% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.9%
vs RHB22.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.7 BF
Expected batters faced22.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.9 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.2% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Anthony Seigler (L)21.8%3.0
2. Masataka Yoshida (L)22.8%3.0
3. Wilyer Abreu (L)21.7%3.0
4. Willson Contreras (R)23.7%3.0
5. Jarren Duran (L)20.8%2.7
6. Caleb Durbin (R)19.0%2.0
7. Marcelo Mayer (L)19.2%2.0
8. Carlos Narváez (R)19.8%2.0
9. Nate Eaton (R)22.3%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada+120-160
DKDraftKings+120-160
We project 4.9 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.1% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.6%
vs RHB22.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.8 BF
Expected batters faced23.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.0 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.4% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Ketel Marte (L)22.9%3.0
2. Geraldo Perdomo (L)22.6%3.0
3. Corbin Carroll (L)20.4%3.0
4. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (R)21.9%3.0
5. Pavin Smith (L)22.5%3.0
6. Nolan Arenado (R)20.5%2.8
7. Adrian Del Castillo (L)22.5%2.0
8. Jorge Barrosa (L)22.5%2.0
9. Tommy Troy (R)17.1%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-160+120
DKDraftKings-163+123
We project 5.0 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate24.0% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.7%
vs RHB24.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.6%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.5 BF
Expected batters faced21.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.1 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.2% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Jeremy Peña (R)25.0%3.0
2. Yordan Alvarez (L)25.5%3.0
3. Christian Walker (R)20.2%3.0
4. Isaac Paredes (R)21.2%2.5
5. Jose Altuve (R)22.5%2.0
6. Yainer Diaz (R)22.8%2.0
7. Cam Smith (R)21.0%2.0
8. Jake Meyers (R)19.8%2.0
9. Brice Matthews (R)21.7%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-115-115
BOVBovada-130-110
DKDraftKings-127-104
FANFanatics-105-135
We project 5.1 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.9% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.8%
vs RHB20.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.8 BF
Expected batters faced23.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.1 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Trea Turner (R)22.4%3.0
2. Kyle Schwarber (L)20.6%3.0
3. Bryce Harper (L)21.8%3.0
4. Brandon Marsh (L)26.8%3.0
5. Alec Bohm (R)23.6%3.0
6. Bryson Stott (L)22.5%2.8
7. J.T. Realmuto (R)19.6%2.0
8. Gabriel Rincones Jr. (L)22.5%2.0
9. Justin Crawford (L)24.3%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+105-140
BOVBovada+125-165
DKDraftKings+123-164
We project 5.1 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.7% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.1%
vs RHB23.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.9%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.1 BF
Expected batters faced24.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.3 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.4% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. J.P. Crawford (L)20.6%3.0
2. Cal Raleigh (R)20.9%3.0
3. Julio Rodríguez (R)22.5%3.0
4. Josh Naylor (L)25.3%3.0
5. Rob Refsnyder (R)20.8%3.0
6. Cole Young (L)22.3%3.0
7. Mitch Garver (R)22.8%2.1
8. Connor Joe (R)18.1%2.0
9. Colt Emerson (L)19.2%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-120-110
BOVBovada-135-105
DKDraftKings-133+100
We project 5.3 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate24.9% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.4%
vs RHB25.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.9%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.8 BF
Expected batters faced22.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.5 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Spencer Horwitz (L)22.7%3.0
2. Brandon Lowe (L)22.7%3.0
3. Bryan Reynolds (L)23.0%3.0
4. Ryan O'Hearn (L)25.0%3.0
5. Nick Gonzales (R)24.6%2.8
6. Tyler Callihan (L)22.9%2.0
7. Jake Mangum (L)27.2%2.0
8. Jared Triolo (R)19.6%2.0
9. Henry Davis (R)16.4%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-115-115
BOVBovada-120-120
DKDraftKings-114-116
FANFanatics-135-105
We project 5.5 H vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.2% Hits / BF
vs LHB19.9%
vs RHB24.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.4 BF
Expected batters faced24.4
From recent starts4
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.0 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.0% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Sam Antonacci (L)24.9%3.0
2. Miguel Vargas (R)19.2%3.0
3. Andrew Benintendi (L)22.5%3.0
4. Colson Montgomery (L)21.5%3.0
5. Randal Grichuk (R)20.9%3.0
6. Jacob Gonzalez (L)22.5%3.0
7. Braden Montgomery (L)22.5%2.4
8. Tristan Peters (L)26.2%2.0
9. Drew Romo (L)17.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+125-165
BOVBovada+125-165
DKDraftKings+122-163
We project 5.0 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.4% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.1%
vs RHB21.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.2%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.8 BF
Expected batters faced21.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.1 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Mauricio Dubón (R)21.4%3.0
2. Drake Baldwin (L)24.5%3.0
3. Matt Olson (L)24.7%3.0
4. Ozzie Albies (R)26.2%2.8
5. Michael Harris II (L)25.6%2.0
6. Austin Riley (R)23.3%2.0
7. Eli White (R)23.1%2.0
8. Joey Bart (R)20.5%2.0
9. Jorge Mateo (R)23.3%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+105-145
BOVBovada+110-150
DKDraftKings+113-151
FANFanatics+110-155
We project 5.1 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.2% Hits / BF
vs LHB26.0%
vs RHB18.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.2%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.1 BF
Expected batters faced23.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.1 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.1% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Jakob Marsee (L)20.5%3.0
2. Otto Lopez (R)25.8%3.0
3. Kyle Stowers (L)21.8%3.0
4. Xavier Edwards (L)23.2%3.0
5. Heriberto Hernández (R)23.4%3.0
6. Owen Caissie (L)19.3%2.1
7. Leo Jiménez (R)19.7%2.0
8. Joe Mack (L)22.5%2.0
9. Esteury Ruiz (R)22.9%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada+110-150
DKDraftKings+110-146
FANFanatics+110-155
We project 5.1 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.7% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.3%
vs RHB20.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.2%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload25.9 BF
Expected batters faced25.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.2 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.9% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)24.1%3.0
2. Samad Taylor (R)25.0%3.0
3. Manny Machado (R)19.0%3.0
4. Xander Bogaerts (R)20.4%3.0
5. Jackson Merrill (L)20.5%3.0
6. Ty France (R)19.7%3.0
7. Nick Solak (R)23.3%3.0
8. Jase Bowen (R)22.5%2.9
9. Blake Hunt (R)22.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.6%
vs RHB24.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.6%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.9 BF
Expected batters faced22.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.2 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Blake Dunn (R)22.9%3.0
2. JJ Bleday (L)21.7%3.0
3. Sal Stewart (R)21.4%3.0
4. Nathaniel Lowe (L)23.3%3.0
5. Spencer Steer (R)18.9%2.9
6. Noelvi Marte (R)23.3%2.0
7. Matt McLain (R)19.4%2.0
8. Jose Trevino (R)20.2%2.0
9. Edwin Arroyo (L)22.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-110-120
BOVBovada-115-125
DKDraftKings-109-121
FANFanatics-120-120
We project 5.2 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate24.8% Hits / BF
vs LHB24.4%
vs RHB23.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.1%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.0 BF
Expected batters faced22.0
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.2 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.2% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Joc Pederson (L)20.8%3.0
2. Josh Jung (R)24.1%3.0
3. Wyatt Langford (R)22.0%3.0
4. Brandon Nimmo (L)23.8%3.0
5. Ezequiel Duran (R)23.4%2.0
6. Jarred Kelenic (L)20.3%2.0
7. Jake Burger (R)22.7%2.0
8. Nicky Lopez (L)22.4%2.0
9. Kyle Higashioka (R)20.0%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+120-160
BOVBovada+115-155
DKDraftKings+114-152
FANFanatics+105-150
We project 5.2 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.0%
vs RHB21.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)7.2%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.1 BF
Expected batters faced23.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.3 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.4% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Ben Rice (L)21.9%3.0
2. Amed Rosario (R)21.8%3.0
3. Paul Goldschmidt (R)28.0%3.0
4. Cody Bellinger (L)24.8%3.0
5. Jasson Domínguez (R)22.9%3.0
6. José Caballero (R)22.7%2.1
7. Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L)22.3%2.0
8. Anthony Volpe (R)22.7%2.0
9. Ali Sánchez (R)23.3%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-130-105
BOVBovada-135-105
DKDraftKings-133+100
We project 5.3 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate25.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.9%
vs RHB26.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.2%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.5 BF
Expected batters faced21.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.5 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.3% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)23.8%3.0
2. Nico Hoerner (R)24.9%3.0
3. Seiya Suzuki (R)23.5%3.0
4. Michael Busch (L)21.8%2.5
5. Alex Bregman (R)21.7%2.0
6. Ian Happ (R)19.2%2.0
7. Matt Shaw (R)23.6%2.0
8. Miguel Amaya (R)21.4%2.0
9. Dansby Swanson (R)20.8%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+105-140
BOVBovada-105-135
DKDraftKings-103-129
FANFanatics+100-140
We project 5.5 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.1% Hits / BF
vs LHB19.9%
vs RHB22.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.4 BF
Expected batters faced24.4
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.5 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness24.0% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Luis Arraez (L)28.3%3.0
2. Bryce Eldridge (L)24.8%3.0
3. Matt Chapman (R)23.3%3.0
4. Rafael Devers (L)22.8%3.0
5. Jung Hoo Lee (L)28.5%3.0
6. Willy Adames (R)21.8%3.0
7. Casey Schmitt (R)24.2%2.4
8. Drew Gilbert (L)21.0%2.0
9. Eric Haase (R)21.1%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-160+120
BOVBovada-165+125
DKDraftKings-166+125
We project 5.5 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate24.0% Hits / BF
vs LHB24.3%
vs RHB22.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.1%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.5 BF
Expected batters faced23.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.6 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.3% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Yandy Díaz (R)27.6%3.0
2. Jonathan Aranda (L)24.4%3.0
3. Cedric Mullins (L)19.0%3.0
4. Junior Caminero (R)22.9%3.0
5. Richie Palacios (L)20.3%3.0
6. Chandler Simpson (L)24.1%2.5
7. Victor Mesa Jr. (L)19.8%2.0
8. Hunter Feduccia (L)22.0%2.0
9. Taylor Walls (L)20.3%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-160+120
BOVBovada-160+120
DKDraftKings-160+120
We project 5.6 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate24.9% Hits / BF
vs LHB26.6%
vs RHB21.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.1%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.2 BF
Expected batters faced23.2
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.7 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.1% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. George Springer (R)21.7%3.0
2. Nathan Lukes (L)27.5%3.0
3. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)23.1%3.0
4. Brandon Valenzuela (L)24.7%3.0
5. Kazuma Okamoto (R)22.5%3.0
6. Daulton Varsho (L)21.9%2.2
7. Davis Schneider (R)21.4%2.0
8. Andrés Giménez (L)22.8%2.0
9. Myles Straw (R)22.4%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada+110-150
DKDraftKings+109-145
We project 5.7 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.1% Hits / BF
vs LHB19.8%
vs RHB23.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.8 BF
Expected batters faced24.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.8 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Jackson Chourio (R)28.4%3.0
2. Brice Turang (L)19.1%3.0
3. William Contreras (R)26.2%3.0
4. Gary Sánchez (R)22.7%3.0
5. Andrew Vaughn (R)29.0%3.0
6. Blake Perkins (R)22.4%3.0
7. Garrett Mitchell (L)19.3%2.8
8. Cooper Pratt (R)22.5%2.0
9. Joey Ortiz (R)21.7%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-150+110
BOVBovada-145+105
DKDraftKings-139+105
We project 5.8 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate25.8% Hits / BF
vs LHB25.7%
vs RHB24.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.9%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.1 BF
Expected batters faced24.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection6.2 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.9% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Trevor Larnach (L)24.3%3.0
2. Byron Buxton (R)24.3%3.0
3. Kody Clemens (L)24.2%3.0
4. Josh Bell (L)23.5%3.0
5. Royce Lewis (R)20.6%3.0
6. Brooks Lee (L)21.1%3.0
7. Victor Caratini (L)23.2%2.1
8. Luke Keaschall (R)22.9%2.0
9. Ryan Kreidler (R)21.9%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-150+110
BOVBovada-135-105
DKDraftKings-131-101
FANFanatics-155+110
We project 6.2 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB18.9%
vs RHB24.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.5%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload26.3 BF
Expected batters faced26.3
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection6.3 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Carson Benge (L)25.2%3.0
2. Bo Bichette (R)24.3%3.0
3. Juan Soto (L)24.0%3.0
4. Marcus Semien (R)23.8%3.0
5. Eric Wagaman (R)24.1%3.0
6. Francisco Alvarez (R)22.6%3.0
7. Mark Vientos (R)25.1%3.0
8. Luis Torrens (R)22.3%3.0
9. Zack Short (R)20.7%2.3
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-130
BOVBovada+105-145
DKDraftKings+105-139
FANFanatics-130-110
We project 6.3 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
26 with a HLive count — updates as games play
1
Zac GallenP
AZvsMIN· proj #27
12HFinal
2
Freddy PeraltaP
NYM@PHI· proj #12
10HFinal
3
Will WarrenP
NYYvsCIN· proj #19
8HFinal
4
Ian SeymourP
TBvsWSH· proj #1
7HFinal
T4
J.T. GinnP
ATHvsLAA· proj #5
7HFinal
T4
Max MeyerP
MIAvsSF· proj #23
7HFinal
7
Yoshinobu YamamotoP
LADvsBAL· proj #2
6HFinal
T7
Spencer ArrighettiP
HOUvsCLE· proj #4
6HFinal
T7
Patrick CorbinP
TOR@CHC· proj #22
6HFinal
T7
Cade CavalliP
WSH@TB· proj #24
6HFinal
11
Walker BuehlerP
SD@TEX· proj #20
5HFinal
T11
Andrew AbbottP
CIN@NYY· proj #21
5HFinal
T11
Chris SaleP
ATLvsMIL· proj #26
5HFinal
T11
Cristopher SánchezP
PHIvsNYM· proj #28
5HFinal
15
Paul SkenesP
PIT@COL· proj #6
4HFinal
T15
Walbert UreñaP
LAA@ATH· proj #8
4HFinal
T15
Emerson HancockP
SEAvsBOS· proj #9
4HFinal
T15
Joey CantilloP
CLE@HOU· proj #11
4HFinal
T15
Tomoyuki SuganoP
COLvsPIT· proj #14
4HFinal
T15
Kyle HarrisonP
MIL@ATL· proj #16
4HFinal
21
Taj BradleyP
MIN@AZ· proj #10
3HFinal
T21
Trevor McDonaldP
SF@MIA· proj #17
3HFinal
T21
Colin ReaP
CHCvsTOR· proj #25
3HFinal
24
Connelly EarlyP
BOS@SEA· proj #13
2HFinal
25
Trevor RogersP
BAL@LAD· proj #7
1HFinal
T25
Troy MeltonP
DETvsCWS· proj #15
1HFinal
How the board graded
Share of our top-ranked hitters that hit the mark, next to the season-to-date rate.
Top 5
1/520%
season 43%-23 pts-26% ROI
Top 10
5/1050%
season 46%+4 pts-21% ROI
Top 20
11/1958%
season building
Top 50
16/2759%
season building
Full slate
16/2759%
season 48%+11 pts-15% ROI
“Hit” is the green check on the card — the mark. Pools are our pre-game top-ranked matchups; only settled (final) outcomes count. Season-to-date is every graded day this season.
Best MLB Hits Allowed Matchups — Saturday, June 20, 2026
Ian Seymour (TB) is the top hits allowed spot on the Saturday, June 20, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 2.5 H, with Yoshinobu Yamamoto (LAD) right behind. Every starter is ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow — his hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. It's the read DFS and pitcher-prop players make before lock.
Top spot: Ian Seymour
Ian Seymour (TB) tops the Saturday, June 20, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 2.5 H vs WSH. His hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes.
The rest of the top of the board
Yoshinobu Yamamoto (LAD) (100) — about 4.2 H vs BAL.
Sean Newcomb (CWS) (100) — about 2.3 H vs DET.
Spencer Arrighetti (HOU) (95) — about 4.3 H vs CLE.
J.T. Ginn (ATH) (72) — about 4.7 H vs LAA.
Paul Skenes (PIT) (69) — about 4.8 H vs COL.
How it played out
The top 10 starts averaged 4.2 H. Ian Seymour finished with 7. Every projection is graded against the box score.
How to read the hits allowed board
Each starter's score (0–100) ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow — his hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. We project a hits allowed count for the start and grade it against what actually happened.
Which pitcher has the best hits allowed matchup today (Saturday, June 20, 2026)?
Ian Seymour (TB) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 2.5 H against WSH.
What are the best pitcher hits allowed props today?
The top projected starts on Saturday, June 20, 2026: Ian Seymour (~2.5 H), Yoshinobu Yamamoto (~4.2 H), Sean Newcomb (~2.3 H), Spencer Arrighetti (~4.3 H), J.T. Ginn (~4.7 H). The full board ranks every starter.
How is the hits allowed score calculated?
Ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow — his hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected hits allowed count alongside, and graded against the box score.
Can I use this for pitcher props or DFS?
Yes — the board surfaces the best hits allowed spots and projects a number. Where there's a posted line we show the over/under and which side our projection leans. We show the data and grade it, not picks.
