‹ Hits Allowed · Sunday, June 21, 2026
WSH @ TB Hits Allowed matchups · Sunday, June 21, 2026
WSH
Washington Nationals
3–4
Final
TB
Tampa Bay Rays
◆ Tropicana FieldElevation 15 ftCenter Field 404 ft☀ 72°F DomeWind 0 mph, None
Andrew Alvarez · LHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.1% Hits / BF
vs LHB26.1%
vs RHB20.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.3%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload17.3 BF
Expected batters faced17.3
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection3.7 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-160+120
DKDraftKings-149+112
We project 3.7 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
TB lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Yandy Díaz (R)23.8%2.0 PA
2Jonny DeLuca (R)23.0%2.0 PA
3Jonathan Aranda (L)21.6%2.0 PA
4Junior Caminero (R)22.9%2.0 PA
5Ryan Vilade (R)23.6%2.0 PA
6Ben Williamson (R)22.9%2.0 PA
7Chandler Simpson (L)20.1%2.0 PA
8Nick Fortes (R)21.5%2.0 PA
9Taylor Walls (R)19.7%1.3 PA
Nick Martinez · RHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.2% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.6%
vs RHB23.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.7%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.8 BF
Expected batters faced23.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.3 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-125
BOVBovada-115-125
DKDraftKings-112-118
FANFanatics-115-125
We project 5.3 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
WSH lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1James Wood (L)23.0%3.0 PA
2Luis García Jr. (L)24.3%3.0 PA
3Curtis Mead (R)19.4%3.0 PA
4CJ Abrams (L)22.9%3.0 PA
5Daylen Lile (L)23.6%3.0 PA
6Dylan Crews (R)19.2%2.8 PA
7José Tena (L)22.3%2.0 PA
8Drew Millas (L)20.3%2.0 PA
9Nasim Nuñez (L)22.4%2.0 PA