Best MLB hits allowed matchups — Sunday, June 21, 2026
Every starting pitcher on the Sunday, June 21, 2026 slate, scored — ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow. His hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. Results show how each call played out.
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload9.9 BF
Expected batters faced9.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.2 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Wyatt Langford (R)23.2%1.9
2. Josh Jung (R)25.3%1.0
3. Brandon Nimmo (L)21.9%1.0
4. Jake Burger (R)24.4%1.0
5. Joc Pederson (L)20.9%1.0
6. Ezequiel Duran (R)22.9%1.0
7. Alejandro Osuna (L)22.7%1.0
8. Kyle Higashioka (R)25.1%1.0
9. Nicky Lopez (L)25.6%1.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate17.4% Hits / BF
vs LHB18.8%
vs RHB18.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)20.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.8 BF
Expected batters faced23.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.4 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Carson Benge (L)22.8%3.0
2. Bo Bichette (R)25.4%3.0
3. Juan Soto (L)23.8%3.0
4. Jared Young (L)21.0%3.0
5. A.J. Ewing (L)24.5%3.0
6. Marcus Semien (R)20.0%2.8
7. Brett Baty (L)21.4%2.0
8. Francisco Alvarez (R)23.4%2.0
9. Luis Torrens (R)20.7%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-120-110
BOVBovada-130-110
DKDraftKings-125-106
We project 4.4 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.0% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.3%
vs RHB23.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload16.1 BF
Expected batters faced16.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection3.7 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.8% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Zach Neto (R)20.3%2.0
2. Wade Meckler (L)25.4%2.0
3. Jo Adell (R)22.7%2.0
4. Nolan Schanuel (L)22.5%2.0
5. Denzer Guzman (R)24.6%2.0
6. Christian Moore (R)17.3%2.0
7. Donovan Walton (L)26.4%2.0
8. Logan O'Hoppe (R)23.0%1.1
9. Jose Siri (R)22.9%1.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-120-110
BOVBovada-145+105
DKDraftKings-140+106
We project 3.7 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.0% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.9%
vs RHB22.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.1%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload20.7 BF
Expected batters faced20.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.5 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.2% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Taylor Ward (R)20.7%3.0
2. Gunnar Henderson (L)21.7%3.0
3. Pete Alonso (R)23.1%2.7
4. Samuel Basallo (L)22.2%2.0
5. Coby Mayo (R)17.0%2.0
6. Colton Cowser (L)21.1%2.0
7. Leody Taveras (L)21.9%2.0
8. Blaze Alexander (R)26.9%2.0
9. Jeremiah Jackson (R)25.3%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada+135-175
DKDraftKings+132-176
We project 4.5 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.5%
vs RHB22.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload18.9 BF
Expected batters faced18.9
From recent starts4
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.0 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness20.9% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Ketel Marte (L)22.9%2.9
2. Geraldo Perdomo (L)22.6%2.0
3. Corbin Carroll (L)20.4%2.0
4. Gabriel Moreno (R)24.9%2.0
5. Pavin Smith (L)19.8%2.0
6. Nolan Arenado (R)20.5%2.0
7. Ildemaro Vargas (L)21.1%2.0
8. Jorge Barrosa (L)18.6%2.0
9. Tommy Troy (R)17.1%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada+115-155
DKDraftKings+114-151
We project 4.0 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate18.8% Hits / BF
vs LHB17.8%
vs RHB21.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.2%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.2 BF
Expected batters faced23.2
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.5 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.8% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Anthony Seigler (L)21.8%3.0
2. Ceddanne Rafaela (R)24.8%3.0
3. Mickey Gasper (L)22.5%3.0
4. Willson Contreras (R)23.7%3.0
5. Jarren Duran (L)20.8%3.0
6. Caleb Durbin (R)19.0%2.2
7. Marcelo Mayer (L)19.2%2.0
8. Connor Wong (R)22.6%2.0
9. Nate Eaton (R)22.3%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-120-110
BOVBovada-110-130
DKDraftKings-108-123
We project 4.5 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.1% Hits / BF
vs LHB26.1%
vs RHB20.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.3%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload17.3 BF
Expected batters faced17.3
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection3.7 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.1% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Yandy Díaz (R)23.8%2.0
2. Jonny DeLuca (R)23.0%2.0
3. Jonathan Aranda (L)21.6%2.0
4. Junior Caminero (R)22.9%2.0
5. Ryan Vilade (R)23.6%2.0
6. Ben Williamson (R)22.9%2.0
7. Chandler Simpson (L)20.1%2.0
8. Nick Fortes (R)21.5%2.0
9. Taylor Walls (R)19.7%1.3
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-160+120
DKDraftKings-149+112
We project 3.7 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.8% Hits / BF
vs LHB18.1%
vs RHB22.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.6%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.8 BF
Expected batters faced22.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.1 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.4% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Ben Rice (L)23.3%3.0
2. Jasson Domínguez (L)19.8%3.0
3. Cody Bellinger (L)23.1%3.0
4. Spencer Jones (L)22.5%3.0
5. Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L)18.8%2.8
6. José Caballero (R)22.9%2.0
7. Ryan McMahon (L)20.7%2.0
8. Austin Wells (L)19.7%2.0
9. Anthony Volpe (R)22.0%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+110-150
BOVBovada+130-170
DKDraftKings+128-171
We project 4.1 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate17.7% Hits / BF
vs LHB19.7%
vs RHB18.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)20.3%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.3 BF
Expected batters faced23.3
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.4 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.0% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Zack Gelof (R)23.5%3.0
2. Nick Kurtz (L)22.7%3.0
3. Jacob Wilson (R)24.0%3.0
4. Tyler Soderstrom (L)22.7%3.0
5. Jonah Heim (R)25.5%3.0
6. Joey Meneses (R)21.3%2.3
7. Colby Thomas (R)21.9%2.0
8. Henry Bolte (R)26.1%2.0
9. Max Muncy (R)19.4%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-110-120
BOVBovada-105-135
DKDraftKings-102-130
FANFanatics-135-105
We project 4.4 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.6%
vs RHB22.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.4%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.0 BF
Expected batters faced21.0
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.5 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.8% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Sam Antonacci (L)24.9%3.0
2. Andrew Benintendi (L)22.5%3.0
3. Colson Montgomery (L)21.5%3.0
4. Chase Meidroth (R)22.1%2.0
5. Braden Montgomery (L)22.5%2.0
6. Jacob Gonzalez (L)22.5%2.0
7. Edgar Quero (L)21.0%2.0
8. Tristan Peters (L)26.2%2.0
9. Luisangel Acuña (R)22.1%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada+125-165
DKDraftKings+126-167
We project 4.5 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate25.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB25.5%
vs RHB23.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.2%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload16.9 BF
Expected batters faced16.9
From recent starts5
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.5 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness24.0% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Luis Arraez (L)28.3%2.0
2. Bryce Eldridge (L)24.8%2.0
3. Casey Schmitt (R)24.2%2.0
4. Rafael Devers (L)22.8%2.0
5. Jung Hoo Lee (L)28.5%2.0
6. Willy Adames (R)21.8%2.0
7. Matt Chapman (R)23.3%2.0
8. Drew Gilbert (L)21.0%1.9
9. Daniel Susac (R)21.1%1.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+100-135
BOVBovada-115-125
DKDraftKings-112-118
We project 4.5 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB24.2%
vs RHB20.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.4%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload20.2 BF
Expected batters faced20.2
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.6 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Travis Bazzana (L)23.1%3.0
2. Kyle Manzardo (L)21.0%3.0
3. Brayan Rocchio (L)22.9%2.2
4. Gabriel Arias (R)21.6%2.0
5. Daniel Schneemann (L)20.3%2.0
6. Kahlil Watson (L)22.5%2.0
7. Steven Kwan (L)21.8%2.0
8. Patrick Bailey (L)20.0%2.0
9. Petey Halpin (L)21.3%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+105-140
BOVBovada+110-150
DKDraftKings+111-147
We project 4.6 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.2% Hits / BF
vs LHB19.3%
vs RHB20.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)24.4%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.7 BF
Expected batters faced23.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.6 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.8% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)26.3%3.0
2. Alex Bregman (R)21.8%3.0
3. Michael Busch (L)21.0%3.0
4. Seiya Suzuki (R)23.7%3.0
5. Ian Happ (L)20.9%3.0
6. Matt Shaw (R)23.4%2.7
7. Nico Hoerner (R)19.4%2.0
8. Carson Kelly (R)21.6%2.0
9. Dansby Swanson (R)17.8%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-175+130
FANFanatics-155+110
We project 4.6 H vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.5%
vs RHB22.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.0 BF
Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts0
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.3 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.9% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Trevor Larnach (L)24.3%3.0
2. Byron Buxton (R)24.3%3.0
3. Kody Clemens (L)24.2%3.0
4. Royce Lewis (R)20.6%3.0
5. Brooks Lee (L)21.1%3.0
6. Luke Keaschall (R)22.9%2.0
7. Ryan Kreidler (R)21.9%2.0
8. Kyler Fedko (R)22.5%2.0
9. Alex Jackson (R)24.6%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.7% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.9%
vs RHB21.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.3%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.5 BF
Expected batters faced23.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.8 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.9% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. George Springer (R)20.4%3.0
2. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)23.8%3.0
3. Kazuma Okamoto (R)21.1%3.0
4. Alejandro Kirk (R)22.6%3.0
5. Daulton Varsho (L)23.3%3.0
6. Ernie Clement (R)24.7%2.5
7. Davis Schneider (R)18.6%2.0
8. Jesús Sánchez (L)20.2%2.0
9. Myles Straw (R)22.1%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-150+110
We project 4.8 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.6%
vs RHB21.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.3%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.0 BF
Expected batters faced22.0
From recent starts5
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.0 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.1% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Mauricio Dubón (R)21.4%3.0
2. Drake Baldwin (L)24.5%3.0
3. Ozzie Albies (R)26.2%3.0
4. Matt Olson (L)24.7%3.0
5. Michael Harris II (L)25.6%2.0
6. Austin Riley (R)23.3%2.0
7. Joey Bart (R)20.5%2.0
8. Eli White (R)23.1%2.0
9. Ha-Seong Kim (R)18.9%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-115-115
BOVBovada-110-130
DKDraftKings-104-127
We project 5.0 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.0% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.8%
vs RHB19.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.6%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.4 BF
Expected batters faced24.4
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.0 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.1% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Carter Jensen (L)21.9%3.0
2. Maikel Garcia (R)23.7%3.0
3. Jac Caglianone (L)23.0%3.0
4. Salvador Perez (R)20.0%3.0
5. Michael Massey (L)23.7%3.0
6. Lane Thomas (R)20.0%3.0
7. Kameron Misner (L)24.9%2.4
8. Nick Loftin (R)21.4%2.0
9. Isaac Collins (L)20.0%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+105-145
We project 5.0 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.4% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.0%
vs RHB23.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.1%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.1 BF
Expected batters faced22.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.1 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.1% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Jeremy Peña (R)22.8%3.0
2. Yordan Alvarez (L)26.8%3.0
3. Christian Walker (R)23.3%3.0
4. Isaac Paredes (R)20.0%3.0
5. Jose Altuve (R)20.7%2.1
6. Joey Loperfido (L)20.8%2.0
7. Cam Smith (R)21.4%2.0
8. Raynel Delgado (L)22.5%2.0
9. Christian Vázquez (R)20.3%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+105-140
BOVBovada+115-155
DKDraftKings+115-153
FANFanatics+110-155
We project 5.1 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.0% Hits / BF
vs LHB19.6%
vs RHB26.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)8.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.2 BF
Expected batters faced22.2
From recent starts3
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.2 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.1% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Blake Dunn (R)22.9%3.0
2. JJ Bleday (L)21.7%3.0
3. Sal Stewart (R)21.4%3.0
4. Nathaniel Lowe (L)23.3%3.0
5. Spencer Steer (R)18.9%2.2
6. Eugenio Suárez (R)21.7%2.0
7. Noelvi Marte (R)23.3%2.0
8. Tyler Stephenson (R)22.7%2.0
9. Edwin Arroyo (L)22.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-120-110
BOVBovada-105-135
DKDraftKings-101-131
FANFanatics-110-130
We project 5.2 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.7% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.3%
vs RHB20.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.2%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload25.9 BF
Expected batters faced25.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.3 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.3% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Samad Taylor (R)25.0%3.0
2. Jackson Merrill (L)20.5%3.0
3. Manny Machado (R)19.0%3.0
4. Gavin Sheets (L)20.3%3.0
5. Will Wagner (L)22.6%3.0
6. Xander Bogaerts (R)20.4%3.0
7. Ty France (R)19.7%3.0
8. Sung-Mun Song (L)21.7%2.9
9. Rodolfo Durán (R)22.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+125-165
BOVBovada+105-145
DKDraftKings+107-142
FANFanatics+115-165
We project 5.3 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.2% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.6%
vs RHB23.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.7%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.8 BF
Expected batters faced23.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.3 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.9% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. James Wood (L)23.0%3.0
2. Luis García Jr. (L)24.3%3.0
3. Curtis Mead (R)19.4%3.0
4. CJ Abrams (L)22.9%3.0
5. Daylen Lile (L)23.6%3.0
6. Dylan Crews (R)19.2%2.8
7. José Tena (L)22.3%2.0
8. Drew Millas (L)20.3%2.0
9. Nasim Nuñez (L)22.4%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-125
BOVBovada-115-125
DKDraftKings-112-118
FANFanatics-115-125
We project 5.3 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate24.1% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.4%
vs RHB23.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.4%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.5 BF
Expected batters faced23.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.4 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.8% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Kevin McGonigle (L)22.4%3.0
2. Dillon Dingler (R)25.2%3.0
3. Kerry Carpenter (L)21.2%3.0
4. Riley Greene (L)23.9%3.0
5. Spencer Torkelson (R)19.3%3.0
6. Colt Keith (L)23.9%2.5
7. James Outman (L)17.9%2.0
8. Trei Cruz (L)22.5%2.0
9. Zach McKinstry (L)19.7%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+120-160
BOVBovada-115-125
DKDraftKings-111-119
FANFanatics+100-140
We project 5.4 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.3% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.7%
vs RHB20.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.9%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.7 BF
Expected batters faced24.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.4 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.1% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Jakob Marsee (L)20.5%3.0
2. Otto Lopez (R)25.8%3.0
3. Kyle Stowers (L)21.8%3.0
4. Xavier Edwards (L)23.2%3.0
5. Heriberto Hernández (R)23.4%3.0
6. Owen Caissie (L)19.3%3.0
7. Leo Jiménez (R)19.7%2.7
8. Joe Mack (L)22.5%2.0
9. Esteury Ruiz (R)22.9%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-155+115
DKDraftKings-154+116
FANFanatics-135-105
We project 5.4 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.4% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.2%
vs RHB24.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.7%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.9 BF
Expected batters faced23.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.5 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.0% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Christian Yelich (L)23.7%3.0
2. Jackson Chourio (R)24.7%3.0
3. Brice Turang (L)23.6%3.0
4. William Contreras (R)23.0%3.0
5. Jake Bauers (L)21.5%3.0
6. Garrett Mitchell (L)25.3%2.9
7. Sal Frelick (L)22.5%2.0
8. Cooper Pratt (R)22.5%2.0
9. David Hamilton (L)20.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-125
BOVBovada-115-125
DKDraftKings-112-118
FANFanatics-110-130
We project 5.5 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate24.9% Hits / BF
vs LHB28.9%
vs RHB19.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.5%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.0 BF
Expected batters faced21.0
From recent starts4
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.8 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.8% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Jake McCarthy (L)24.1%3.0
2. Willi Castro (L)23.1%3.0
3. TJ Rumfield (L)23.3%3.0
4. Tyler Freeman (R)23.5%2.0
5. Cole Carrigg (L)22.5%2.0
6. Edouard Julien (L)21.4%2.0
7. Sterlin Thompson (L)22.5%2.0
8. Kyle Karros (R)23.3%2.0
9. Brett Sullivan (L)21.2%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-115-115
BOVBovada-130-110
DKDraftKings-124-107
We project 5.8 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.6%
vs RHB22.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)8.3%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.3 BF
Expected batters faced24.3
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.5 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.8% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. JJ Wetherholt (L)22.7%3.0
2. Iván Herrera (R)21.4%3.0
3. Alec Burleson (L)27.5%3.0
4. Jordan Walker (R)24.5%3.0
5. Lars Nootbaar (L)22.2%3.0
6. Masyn Winn (R)21.6%3.0
7. Jimmy Crooks (L)18.8%2.3
8. Blaze Jordan (R)22.5%2.0
9. Nathan Church (L)24.0%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+105-140
FANFanatics-115-125
We project 5.5 H vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.9% Hits / BF
vs LHB19.9%
vs RHB23.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.4%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.2 BF
Expected batters faced24.2
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.1 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Shohei Ohtani (L)22.8%3.0
2. Andy Pages (R)24.1%3.0
3. Freddie Freeman (L)25.5%3.0
4. Mookie Betts (R)22.2%3.0
5. Max Muncy (L)22.9%3.0
6. Kyle Tucker (L)22.6%3.0
7. Ryan Ward (L)23.9%2.2
8. Alex Freeland (L)19.5%2.0
9. Chuckie Robinson (R)20.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+100-135
FANFanatics-110-130
We project 5.1 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate24.4% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.2%
vs RHB25.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)5.7%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload20.4 BF
Expected batters faced20.4
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.8 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.3% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Trea Turner (R)21.1%3.0
2. Kyle Schwarber (L)23.4%3.0
3. Bryce Harper (L)19.9%2.4
4. Alec Bohm (R)23.5%2.0
5. Edmundo Sosa (R)23.4%2.0
6. Brandon Marsh (L)22.7%2.0
7. J.T. Realmuto (R)20.3%2.0
8. Derek Hill (R)22.3%2.0
9. Bryson Stott (L)23.9%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-125
BOVBovada-115-125
DKDraftKings-111-119
FANFanatics-125-115
We project 4.8 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.8% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.4%
vs RHB20.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.4%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.9 BF
Expected batters faced23.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.2 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.2% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. J.P. Crawford (L)20.6%3.0
2. Cal Raleigh (R)20.9%3.0
3. Julio Rodríguez (R)22.5%3.0
4. Josh Naylor (L)25.3%3.0
5. Rob Refsnyder (R)20.8%3.0
6. Dominic Canzone (L)22.2%2.9
7. Victor Robles (R)22.6%2.0
8. Weston Wilson (R)22.2%2.0
9. Cole Young (L)22.3%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-120-110
BOVBovada-115-125
DKDraftKings-109-122
FANFanatics-110-130
We project 5.2 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate25.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB27.4%
vs RHB23.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.6%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.5 BF
Expected batters faced22.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection6.2 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.4% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Spencer Horwitz (L)22.7%3.0
2. Brandon Lowe (L)22.7%3.0
3. Bryan Reynolds (L)23.0%3.0
4. Ryan O'Hearn (L)25.0%3.0
5. Nick Gonzales (R)24.6%2.5
6. Endy Rodríguez (L)22.6%2.0
7. Tyler Callihan (L)22.9%2.0
8. Jake Mangum (L)27.2%2.0
9. Jared Triolo (R)19.6%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+105-140
BOVBovada+100-140
DKDraftKings+104-138
FANFanatics-115-125
We project 6.2 H vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
28 with a HLive count — updates as games play
1
Bryce ElderP
ATLvsMIL· proj #24
12HFinal
2
Stephen KolekP
KCvsSTL· proj #26
9HFinal
3
Emmet SheehanP
LADvsBAL· proj #4
8HFinal
4
Nathan EovaldiP
TEXvsSD· proj #20
7HFinal
T4
Michael LorenzenP
COLvsPIT· proj #30
7HFinal
6
Mike ParedesP
MIN@AZ· proj #5
6HFinal
T6
Reid DetmersP
LAA@ATH· proj #9
6HFinal
T6
Keider MonteroP
DETvsCWS· proj #10
6HFinal
T6
Dustin MayP
STL@KC· proj #17
6HFinal
T6
Slade CecconiP
CLE@HOU· proj #18
6HFinal
T6
David PetersonP
NYM@PHI· proj #28
6HFinal
T6
Payton TolleP
BOS@SEA· proj #29
6HFinal
13
Chase BurnsP
CIN@NYY· proj #8
5HFinal
T13
Davis MartinP
CWS@DET· proj #22
5HFinal
T13
Logan WebbP
SF@MIA· proj #23
5HFinal
T13
Brandon YoungP
BAL@LAD· proj #27
5HFinal
17
Zack WheelerP
PHIvsNYM· proj #2
4HFinal
T17
Jack PerkinsP
ATHvsLAA· proj #3
4HFinal
T17
Andrew AlvarezP
WSH@TB· proj #7
4HFinal
T17
Kai-Wei TengP
HOUvsCLE· proj #12
4HFinal
T17
Robert GasserP
MIL@ATL· proj #16
4HFinal
T17
Elmer RodríguezP
NYYvsCIN· proj #19
4HFinal
T17
Nick MartinezP
TBvsWSH· proj #21
4HFinal
24
Logan GilbertP
SEAvsBOS· proj #6
3HFinal
T24
Ryan GustoP
MIAvsSF· proj #11
3HFinal
T24
Jose CabreraP
AZvsMIN· proj #14
3HFinal
27
Wandy PeraltaP
SD@TEX· proj #1
1HFinal
T27
Jared JonesP
PIT@COL· proj #25
1HFinal
How the board graded
Share of our top-ranked hitters that hit the mark, next to the season-to-date rate.
Top 5
2/450%
season 43%+7 pts-26% ROI
Top 10
3/933%
season 46%-13 pts-21% ROI
Top 20
5/1631%
season building
Top 50
10/2638%
season building
Full slate
10/2638%
season 48%-10 pts-15% ROI
“Hit” is the green check on the card — the mark. Pools are our pre-game top-ranked matchups; only settled (final) outcomes count. Season-to-date is every graded day this season.
Best MLB Hits Allowed Matchups — Sunday, June 21, 2026
Wandy Peralta (SD) is the top hits allowed spot on the Sunday, June 21, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 2.2 H, with Zack Wheeler (PHI) right behind. Every starter is ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow — his hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. It's the read DFS and pitcher-prop players make before lock.
Top spot: Wandy Peralta
Wandy Peralta (SD) tops the Sunday, June 21, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 2.2 H vs TEX. His hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes.
The rest of the top of the board
Zack Wheeler (PHI) (100) — about 4.4 H vs NYM.
Jack Perkins (ATH) (100) — about 3.7 H vs LAA.
Emmet Sheehan (LAD) (93) — about 4.5 H vs BAL.
Mike Paredes (MIN) (91) — about 4.0 H vs AZ.
Logan Gilbert (SEA) (90) — about 4.5 H vs BOS.
How it played out
The top 10 starts averaged 4.7 H. Wandy Peralta finished with 1. Every projection is graded against the box score.
How to read the hits allowed board
Each starter's score (0–100) ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow — his hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. We project a hits allowed count for the start and grade it against what actually happened.
Which pitcher has the best hits allowed matchup today (Sunday, June 21, 2026)?
Wandy Peralta (SD) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 2.2 H against TEX.
What are the best pitcher hits allowed props today?
The top projected starts on Sunday, June 21, 2026: Wandy Peralta (~2.2 H), Zack Wheeler (~4.4 H), Jack Perkins (~3.7 H), Emmet Sheehan (~4.5 H), Mike Paredes (~4.0 H). The full board ranks every starter.
How is the hits allowed score calculated?
Ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow — his hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected hits allowed count alongside, and graded against the box score.
Can I use this for pitcher props or DFS?
Yes — the board surfaces the best hits allowed spots and projects a number. Where there's a posted line we show the over/under and which side our projection leans. We show the data and grade it, not picks.
