‹ Hits Allowed · Sunday, June 21, 2026
BOS @ SEA Hits Allowed matchups · Sunday, June 21, 2026
BOS
Boston Red Sox
1–3
Final
SEA
Seattle Mariners
◆ T-Mobile ParkElevation 10 ftCenter Field 405 ft☀ 70°F SunnyWind 5 mph, Out To RF
Payton Tolle · LHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.8% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.4%
vs RHB20.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.4%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.9 BF
Expected batters faced23.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.2 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-120-110
BOVBovada-115-125
DKDraftKings-109-122
FANFanatics-110-130
We project 5.2 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
SEA lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1J.P. Crawford (L)20.6%3.0 PA
2Cal Raleigh (R)20.9%3.0 PA
3Julio Rodríguez (R)22.5%3.0 PA
4Josh Naylor (L)25.3%3.0 PA
5Rob Refsnyder (R)20.8%3.0 PA
6Dominic Canzone (L)22.2%2.9 PA
7Victor Robles (R)22.6%2.0 PA
8Weston Wilson (R)22.2%2.0 PA
9Cole Young (L)22.3%2.0 PA
Logan Gilbert · RHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate18.8% Hits / BF
vs LHB17.8%
vs RHB21.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.2%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.2 BF
Expected batters faced23.2
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.5 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-120-110
BOVBovada-110-130
DKDraftKings-108-123
We project 4.5 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
BOS lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Anthony Seigler (L)21.8%3.0 PA
2Ceddanne Rafaela (R)24.8%3.0 PA
3Mickey Gasper (L)22.5%3.0 PA
4Willson Contreras (R)23.7%3.0 PA
5Jarren Duran (L)20.8%3.0 PA
6Caleb Durbin (R)19.0%2.2 PA
7Marcelo Mayer (L)19.2%2.0 PA
8Connor Wong (R)22.6%2.0 PA
9Nate Eaton (R)22.3%2.0 PA