‹ Hits Allowed · Sunday, June 21, 2026
PIT @ COL Hits Allowed matchups · Sunday, June 21, 2026
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
8–6
Final
COL
Colorado Rockies
◆ Coors FieldElevation 5,190 ftCenter Field 415 ft☀ 88°F Partly CloudyWind 17 mph, In From LF
Jared Jones · RHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate24.9% Hits / BF
vs LHB28.9%
vs RHB19.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.5%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.0 BF
Expected batters faced21.0
From recent starts4
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.8 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-115-115
BOVBovada-130-110
DKDraftKings-124-107
We project 5.8 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
COL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Jake McCarthy (L)24.1%3.0 PA
2Willi Castro (L)23.1%3.0 PA
3TJ Rumfield (L)23.3%3.0 PA
4Tyler Freeman (R)23.5%2.0 PA
5Cole Carrigg (L)22.5%2.0 PA
6Edouard Julien (L)21.4%2.0 PA
7Sterlin Thompson (L)22.5%2.0 PA
8Kyle Karros (R)23.3%2.0 PA
9Brett Sullivan (L)21.2%2.0 PA
Michael Lorenzen · RHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate25.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB27.4%
vs RHB23.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.6%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.5 BF
Expected batters faced22.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection6.2 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+105-140
BOVBovada+100-140
DKDraftKings+104-138
FANFanatics-115-125
We project 6.2 H vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
PIT lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Spencer Horwitz (L)22.7%3.0 PA
2Brandon Lowe (L)22.7%3.0 PA
3Bryan Reynolds (L)23.0%3.0 PA
4Ryan O'Hearn (L)25.0%3.0 PA
5Nick Gonzales (R)24.6%2.5 PA
6Endy Rodríguez (L)22.6%2.0 PA
7Tyler Callihan (L)22.9%2.0 PA
8Jake Mangum (L)27.2%2.0 PA
9Jared Triolo (R)19.6%2.0 PA