MIN @ AZ Hits Allowed matchups · Sunday, June 21, 2026

MIN

Minnesota Twins

4–2

Final

Arizona Diamondbacks

◆ Chase FieldElevation 1,086 ftCenter Field 407 ft☀ 74°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None

Mike Paredes · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.5% Hits / BF

vs LHB22.5%

vs RHB22.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload18.9 BF

Expected batters faced18.9

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.0 H

Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

BOVBovada+115-155

DKDraftKings+114-151

We project 4.0 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

AZ lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Ketel Marte (L)22.9%2.9 PA

2Geraldo Perdomo (L)22.6%2.0 PA

3Corbin Carroll (L)20.4%2.0 PA

4Gabriel Moreno (R)24.9%2.0 PA

5Pavin Smith (L)19.8%2.0 PA

6Nolan Arenado (R)20.5%2.0 PA

7Ildemaro Vargas (L)21.1%2.0 PA

8Jorge Barrosa (L)18.6%2.0 PA

9Tommy Troy (R)17.1%2.0 PA

Jose Cabrera · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.5% Hits / BF

vs LHB22.5%

vs RHB22.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0

From recent starts0

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.3 H

Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

MIN lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Trevor Larnach (L)24.3%3.0 PA

2Byron Buxton (R)24.3%3.0 PA

3Kody Clemens (L)24.2%3.0 PA

4Royce Lewis (R)20.6%3.0 PA

5Brooks Lee (L)21.1%3.0 PA

6Luke Keaschall (R)22.9%2.0 PA

7Ryan Kreidler (R)21.9%2.0 PA

8Kyler Fedko (R)22.5%2.0 PA

9Alex Jackson (R)24.6%2.0 PA