MatchWiz Plays
Hits Allowed · Monday, June 22, 2026

AZ @ STL Hits Allowed matchups · Monday, June 22, 2026

AZ
AZ
Arizona Diamondbacks
23
Final
STL
St. Louis Cardinals
STL
Busch StadiumElevation 460 ftCenter Field 400 ft 71°F CloudyWind 6 mph, In From LF

AZ Merrill Kelly · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate24.7% Hits / BF

vs LHB23.3%
vs RHB25.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.5%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload25.5 BF

Expected batters faced25.5
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection6.3 H

Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Hits Allowed Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
BOVBovada+125-165
DKDraftKings+124-165

We project 6.3 H vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

STL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1JJ Wetherholt (L)23.4%3.0 PA
2Iván Herrera (R)22.4%3.0 PA
3Alec Burleson (L)27.5%3.0 PA
4Jordan Walker (R)23.8%3.0 PA
5Lars Nootbaar (L)23.3%3.0 PA
6Masyn Winn (R)22.3%3.0 PA
7Jimmy Crooks (L)18.8%3.0 PA
8Blaze Jordan (R)22.5%2.5 PA
9Nathan Church (L)24.1%2.0 PA

STL Andre Pallante · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.4% Hits / BF

vs LHB21.1%
vs RHB20.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.8%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.5 H

Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+120-160
BOVBovada-105-135
DKDraftKings+100-133
FANFanatics+110-155

We project 4.5 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

AZ lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Ketel Marte (L)23.7%3.0 PA
2Geraldo Perdomo (L)21.6%3.0 PA
3Corbin Carroll (L)20.8%3.0 PA
4Pavin Smith (L)19.9%3.0 PA
5Nolan Arenado (R)20.7%3.0 PA
6Adrian Del Castillo (L)20.5%2.0 PA
7Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (R)21.7%2.0 PA
8Tommy Troy (R)17.9%2.0 PA
9Tim Tawa (R)19.2%2.0 PA