Best MLB hits allowed matchups — Monday, June 22, 2026
Every starting pitcher on the Monday, June 22, 2026 slate, scored — ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow. His hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. Results show how each call played out.
PROJSome lineups aren't official yet — 1 starts use an opposing lineup projected from that team's last game. The strikeout projection updates automatically once the official lineup posts, ~2 hours before first pitch.
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#Pitcher · MatchupScore
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.1% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.6%
vs RHB22.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.3%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload9.1 BF
Expected batters faced9.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.1 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. James Wood (L)22.8%1.1
2. Curtis Mead (R)22.7%1.0
3. Dylan Crews (R)23.1%1.0
4. CJ Abrams (L)24.9%1.0
5. Jacob Young (R)21.8%1.0
6. Daylen Lile (L)22.6%1.0
7. Keibert Ruiz (R)27.0%1.0
8. Luis García Jr. (L)24.0%1.0
9. Nasim Nuñez (R)24.2%1.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.0% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.8%
vs RHB21.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.1%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload9.5 BF
Expected batters faced9.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.3 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness24.1% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Trevor Larnach (L)25.8%1.4
2. Byron Buxton (R)25.6%1.0
3. Kody Clemens (L)22.6%1.0
4. Josh Bell (L)24.9%1.0
5. Royce Lewis (R)20.4%1.0
6. Victor Caratini (L)23.7%1.0
7. Brooks Lee (L)22.3%1.0
8. Luke Keaschall (R)24.4%1.0
9. Ryan Kreidler (R)27.4%1.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.7% Hits / BF
vs LHB24.6%
vs RHB21.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)8.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload17.8 BF
Expected batters faced17.8
From recent starts6
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection3.9 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.1% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Taylor Ward (R)22.6%2.0
2. Gunnar Henderson (L)20.7%2.0
3. Pete Alonso (R)20.7%2.0
4. Coby Mayo (R)23.9%2.0
5. Tyler O'Neill (R)20.1%2.0
6. Blaze Alexander (R)22.2%2.0
7. Colton Cowser (L)21.9%2.0
8. Jeremiah Jackson (R)22.9%2.0
9. Sam Huff (R)24.4%1.8
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.0% Hits / BF
vs LHB18.6%
vs RHB22.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.7%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.1 BF
Expected batters faced21.1
From recent starts6
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.4 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Blake Dunn (R)23.7%3.0
2. JJ Bleday (L)21.0%3.0
3. Sal Stewart (R)20.6%3.0
4. Nathaniel Lowe (L)24.1%2.1
5. Spencer Steer (R)19.2%2.0
6. Eugenio Suárez (R)21.4%2.0
7. Noelvi Marte (R)23.9%2.0
8. Tyler Stephenson (R)22.3%2.0
9. Matt McLain (R)18.7%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada+110-150
DKDraftKings+111-147
We project 4.4 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.0% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.1%
vs RHB23.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.5%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.0 BF
Expected batters faced21.0
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.5 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.8% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Mickey Gasper (L)21.9%3.0
2. Ceddanne Rafaela (R)24.9%3.0
3. Wilyer Abreu (L)22.5%3.0
4. Willson Contreras (R)22.5%2.0
5. Jarren Duran (L)20.3%2.0
6. Caleb Durbin (R)21.3%2.0
7. Masataka Yoshida (L)22.7%2.0
8. Anthony Seigler (L)20.9%2.0
9. Marcelo Mayer (L)19.4%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada+115-155
DKDraftKings+117-155
We project 4.5 H vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.8% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.1%
vs RHB21.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.9%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.8 BF
Expected batters faced21.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.7 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.9% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Trevor Larnach (L)20.8%3.0
2. Byron Buxton (R)24.8%3.0
3. Kody Clemens (L)21.3%3.0
4. Josh Bell (R)22.7%2.8
5. Royce Lewis (R)22.5%2.0
6. Victor Caratini (R)21.1%2.0
7. Brooks Lee (R)22.0%2.0
8. Luke Keaschall (R)21.9%2.0
9. Ryan Kreidler (R)20.2%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.3% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.1%
vs RHB22.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.4%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.3 BF
Expected batters faced21.3
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.6 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.0% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)24.4%3.0
2. Jackson Merrill (L)21.0%3.0
3. Manny Machado (R)19.2%3.0
4. Gavin Sheets (L)22.0%2.3
5. Ty France (R)21.6%2.0
6. Xander Bogaerts (R)21.8%2.0
7. Will Wagner (L)22.8%2.0
8. Rodolfo Durán (R)19.3%2.0
9. Samad Taylor (R)25.6%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-110-120
BOVBovada-120-120
DKDraftKings-115-115
FANFanatics-125-115
We project 4.6 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.1% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.0%
vs RHB21.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.2%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload17.7 BF
Expected batters faced17.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.0 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness24.0% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Joc Pederson (L)19.5%2.0
2. Wyatt Langford (R)25.4%2.0
3. Josh Jung (R)25.4%2.0
4. Brandon Nimmo (L)25.0%2.0
5. Jake Burger (R)24.4%2.0
6. Ezequiel Duran (R)23.0%2.0
7. Alejandro Osuna (L)20.5%2.0
8. Elias Díaz (R)27.7%2.0
9. Nicky Lopez (L)24.8%1.7
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada+120-160
DKDraftKings+120-160
FANFanatics+110-155
We project 4.0 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.4% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.1%
vs RHB20.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.0 BF
Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.5 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness20.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Ketel Marte (L)23.7%3.0
2. Geraldo Perdomo (L)21.6%3.0
3. Corbin Carroll (L)20.8%3.0
4. Pavin Smith (L)19.9%3.0
5. Nolan Arenado (R)20.7%3.0
6. Adrian Del Castillo (L)20.5%2.0
7. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (R)21.7%2.0
8. Tommy Troy (R)17.9%2.0
9. Tim Tawa (R)19.2%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+120-160
BOVBovada-105-135
DKDraftKings+100-133
FANFanatics+110-155
We project 4.5 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.7% Hits / BF
vs LHB19.4%
vs RHB24.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)7.7%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.5 BF
Expected batters faced22.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.5 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness20.1% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Travis Bazzana (L)18.1%3.0
2. David Fry (R)18.4%3.0
3. Brayan Rocchio (R)20.1%3.0
4. Rhys Hoskins (R)16.6%3.0
5. Kyle Manzardo (L)22.0%2.5
6. Gabriel Arias (R)22.9%2.0
7. Stuart Fairchild (R)19.6%2.0
8. Austin Hedges (R)23.1%2.0
9. Petey Halpin (L)20.0%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+125-165
BOVBovada+100-140
DKDraftKings+101-134
FANFanatics-115-125
We project 4.5 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.8% Hits / BF
vs LHB19.0%
vs RHB22.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.6 BF
Expected batters faced22.6
From recent starts5
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.5 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.0% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Kevin McGonigle (L)22.9%3.0
2. Dillon Dingler (R)26.8%3.0
3. Kerry Carpenter (L)21.0%3.0
4. Riley Greene (L)23.1%3.0
5. Spencer Torkelson (R)19.1%2.6
6. Colt Keith (L)23.4%2.0
7. James Outman (L)17.7%2.0
8. Hao-Yu Lee (R)23.5%2.0
9. Zach McKinstry (L)20.7%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-135+100
BOVBovada-160+120
DKDraftKings-161+121
We project 4.5 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate24.0% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.8%
vs RHB23.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.4%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.7 BF
Expected batters faced21.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.3 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.8% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Christian Yelich (L)22.9%3.0
2. Jackson Chourio (R)24.9%3.0
3. Brice Turang (L)22.8%3.0
4. William Contreras (R)24.8%2.7
5. Jake Bauers (L)21.0%2.0
6. Garrett Mitchell (L)25.1%2.0
7. Sal Frelick (L)22.8%2.0
8. Joey Ortiz (R)20.7%2.0
9. David Hamilton (L)20.4%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-120-120
DKDraftKings-115-115
FANFanatics-110-130
We project 5.3 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.3% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.8%
vs RHB17.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.2 BF
Expected batters faced23.2
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.6 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.1% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Carter Jensen (L)22.8%3.0
2. Maikel Garcia (R)23.3%3.0
3. Jac Caglianone (L)24.1%3.0
4. Salvador Perez (R)20.7%3.0
5. Michael Massey (L)24.5%3.0
6. Lane Thomas (R)20.1%2.2
7. John Rave (L)21.9%2.0
8. Nick Loftin (R)21.1%2.0
9. Isaac Collins (L)20.7%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-125
BOVBovada+105-145
DKDraftKings+106-140
FANFanatics-115-125
We project 4.6 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate18.4% Hits / BF
vs LHB18.5%
vs RHB20.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.3%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.2 BF
Expected batters faced22.2
From recent starts3
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.6 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. George Springer (R)21.8%3.0
2. Nathan Lukes (L)27.4%3.0
3. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)23.9%3.0
4. Alejandro Kirk (R)22.3%3.0
5. Daulton Varsho (L)22.3%2.2
6. Kazuma Okamoto (R)20.9%2.0
7. Jesús Sánchez (L)25.1%2.0
8. Ernie Clement (R)25.4%2.0
9. Andrés Giménez (L)23.2%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-160+120
DKDraftKings-158+119
We project 4.6 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.7% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.5%
vs RHB20.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.6%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.5 BF
Expected batters faced23.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.0 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.8% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Mauricio Dubón (R)24.2%3.0
2. Drake Baldwin (L)22.8%3.0
3. Matt Olson (L)22.3%3.0
4. Ozzie Albies (L)22.6%3.0
5. Michael Harris II (L)26.4%3.0
6. Austin Riley (R)18.9%2.5
7. Dominic Smith (L)22.5%2.0
8. Mike Yastrzemski (L)22.0%2.0
9. Jorge Mateo (R)23.0%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-155+115
DKDraftKings-152+114
We project 5.0 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.5%
vs RHB22.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.0 BF
Expected batters faced22.0
From recent starts4
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.1 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.3% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Willi Castro (R)26.2%3.0
2. Tyler Freeman (R)21.2%3.0
3. TJ Rumfield (L)22.3%3.0
4. Hunter Goodman (R)22.5%3.0
5. Cole Carrigg (R)22.5%2.0
6. Jake McCarthy (L)26.5%2.0
7. Braxton Fulford (R)22.5%2.0
8. Kyle Karros (R)23.7%2.0
9. Ezequiel Tovar (R)22.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-145+105
DKDraftKings-139+104
FANFanatics-130-110
We project 5.1 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.2% Hits / BF
vs LHB19.3%
vs RHB20.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)24.4%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.7 BF
Expected batters faced23.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.9 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.9% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Jeremy Peña (R)24.0%3.0
2. Yordan Alvarez (L)26.6%3.0
3. Christian Walker (R)22.1%3.0
4. Isaac Paredes (R)21.3%3.0
5. Jose Altuve (R)20.5%3.0
6. Yainer Diaz (R)23.9%2.7
7. Joey Loperfido (L)21.3%2.0
8. Jake Meyers (R)21.8%2.0
9. Raynel Delgado (L)25.0%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+115-155
BOVBovada+115-155
DKDraftKings+116-154
FANFanatics+105-150
We project 4.9 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.4% Hits / BF
vs LHB18.2%
vs RHB23.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.5%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.0 BF
Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.9 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.4% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Trea Turner (R)21.9%3.0
2. Kyle Schwarber (L)24.1%3.0
3. Bryce Harper (L)21.0%3.0
4. Alec Bohm (R)23.3%3.0
5. Edmundo Sosa (R)24.2%3.0
6. Brandon Marsh (L)21.6%2.0
7. Derek Hill (R)21.7%2.0
8. Bryson Stott (L)24.2%2.0
9. Rafael Marchán (R)19.2%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+100-135
FANFanatics-115-125
We project 4.9 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.3% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.5%
vs RHB22.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.3 BF
Expected batters faced24.3
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.1 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.4% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Sam Antonacci (L)24.9%3.0
2. Miguel Vargas (R)18.7%3.0
3. Andrew Benintendi (L)21.5%3.0
4. Kyle Teel (L)24.5%3.0
5. Colson Montgomery (L)20.0%3.0
6. Chase Meidroth (R)21.5%3.0
7. Braden Montgomery (L)22.5%2.3
8. Tristan Peters (L)25.7%2.0
9. Luisangel Acuña (R)22.2%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-135+100
BOVBovada-150+110
DKDraftKings-145+110
We project 5.1 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.7% Hits / BF
vs LHB25.3%
vs RHB21.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.3%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.2 BF
Expected batters faced22.2
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.2 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.4% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Heriberto Hernández (R)22.9%3.0
2. Otto Lopez (R)25.9%3.0
3. Kyle Stowers (L)21.4%3.0
4. Xavier Edwards (L)23.2%3.0
5. Jakob Marsee (L)20.8%2.2
6. Esteury Ruiz (R)21.8%2.0
7. Griffin Conine (L)21.8%2.0
8. Javier Sanoja (R)21.6%2.0
9. Joe Mack (L)22.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.3% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.2%
vs RHB21.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.3%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.9 BF
Expected batters faced23.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.6 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Amed Rosario (R)22.0%3.0
2. Ben Rice (L)22.0%3.0
3. Paul Goldschmidt (R)28.0%3.0
4. Cody Bellinger (L)25.2%3.0
5. Anthony Volpe (R)22.9%3.0
6. Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L)21.5%2.9
7. Jasson Domínguez (R)25.0%2.0
8. José Caballero (R)22.0%2.0
9. Ali Sánchez (R)24.1%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-115-115
BOVBovada-115-125
DKDraftKings-111-119
FANFanatics-125-115
We project 5.6 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.3% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.4%
vs RHB22.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload25.2 BF
Expected batters faced25.2
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection6.2 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness24.3% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Yandy Díaz (R)27.8%3.0
2. Jonny DeLuca (R)26.3%3.0
3. Jonathan Aranda (L)24.9%3.0
4. Junior Caminero (R)23.2%3.0
5. Ryan Vilade (R)23.7%3.0
6. Chandler Simpson (L)26.0%3.0
7. Ben Williamson (R)20.8%3.0
8. Nick Fortes (R)25.1%2.2
9. Richie Palacios (L)20.9%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada+115-155
DKDraftKings+115-152
We project 6.2 H vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate24.7% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.3%
vs RHB25.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.5%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload25.5 BF
Expected batters faced25.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection6.3 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.1% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. JJ Wetherholt (L)23.4%3.0
2. Iván Herrera (R)22.4%3.0
3. Alec Burleson (L)27.5%3.0
4. Jordan Walker (R)23.8%3.0
5. Lars Nootbaar (L)23.3%3.0
6. Masyn Winn (R)22.3%3.0
7. Jimmy Crooks (L)18.8%3.0
8. Blaze Jordan (R)22.5%2.5
9. Nathan Church (L)24.1%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada+125-165
DKDraftKings+124-165
We project 6.3 H vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.9% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.1%
vs RHB24.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.5%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.9 BF
Expected batters faced23.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.9 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.9% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Zach Neto (R)20.7%3.0
2. Nolan Schanuel (L)22.8%3.0
3. Jo Adell (R)23.4%3.0
4. Jorge Soler (R)22.5%3.0
5. Wade Meckler (L)25.1%3.0
6. Denzer Guzman (R)24.3%2.9
7. Donovan Walton (L)29.0%2.0
8. Logan O'Hoppe (R)24.0%2.0
9. Jose Siri (R)23.2%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-150+110
BOVBovada-150+110
DKDraftKings-149+112
FANFanatics-140+100
We project 5.9 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate25.1% Hits / BF
vs LHB25.4%
vs RHB23.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.1%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.7 BF
Expected batters faced24.7
From recent starts7
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection6.4 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.4% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Shohei Ohtani (L)23.3%3.0
2. Andy Pages (R)24.3%3.0
3. Freddie Freeman (L)24.5%3.0
4. Mookie Betts (R)24.3%3.0
5. Max Muncy (L)22.6%3.0
6. Kyle Tucker (L)22.1%3.0
7. Tommy Edman (L)25.1%2.7
8. Dalton Rushing (L)22.9%2.0
9. Ryan Ward (L)21.7%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-125-105
BOVBovada-130-110
DKDraftKings-128-104
FANFanatics-130-110
We project 6.4 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
24 with a HLive count — updates as games play
1
Gerrit ColeP
NYY@DET· proj #11
9HFinal
2
Merrill KellyP
AZ@STL· proj #23
7HFinal
3
Andre PallanteP
STLvsAZ· proj #9
6HFinal
T3
Michael KingP
SDvsATL· proj #15
6HFinal
T3
Michael WachaP
KC@TB· proj #22
6HFinal
T3
Kyle BradishP
BAL@LAA· proj #24
6HFinal
T3
Zebby MatthewsP
MINvsLAD· proj #25
6HFinal
8
Sam AldegheriP
LAAvsBAL· proj #3
5HFinal
T8
Tyler PhillipsP
MIAvsTEX· proj #8
5HFinal
T8
Gavin WilliamsP
CLE@CWS· proj #19
5HFinal
T8
Kumar RockerP
TEX@MIA· proj #20
5HFinal
12
Ryan FeltnerP
COLvsBOS· proj #5
4HFinal
T12
Drew RasmussenP
TBvsKC· proj #13
4HFinal
T12
Hunter BrownP
HOU@TOR· proj #14
4HFinal
T12
Jake BennettP
BOS@COL· proj #16
4HFinal
T12
Foster GriffinP
WSHvsPHI· proj #18
4HFinal
T12
Framber ValdezP
DETvsNYY· proj #21
4HFinal
18
Grant HolmesP
ATL@SD· proj #7
3HFinal
T18
Anthony KayP
CWSvsCLE· proj #10
3HFinal
T18
Dylan CeaseP
TORvsHOU· proj #17
3HFinal
21
Tim MayzaP
PHI@WSH· proj #1
2HFinal
T21
Will KleinP
LAD@MIN· proj #2
2HFinal
T21
Brady SingerP
CINvsMIL· proj #12
2HFinal
24
Brandon WoodruffP
MIL@CIN· proj #4
1HFinal
How the board graded
Share of our top-ranked hitters that hit the mark, next to the season-to-date rate.
Top 5
2/2100%
season 43%+57 pts-26% ROI
Top 10
4/667%
season 46%+21 pts-21% ROI
Top 20
10/1567%
season building
Top 50
13/2065%
season building
Full slate
13/2065%
season 48%+17 pts-15% ROI
“Hit” is the green check on the card — the mark. Pools are our pre-game top-ranked matchups; only settled (final) outcomes count. Season-to-date is every graded day this season.
Best MLB Hits Allowed Matchups — Monday, June 22, 2026
Tim Mayza (PHI) is the top hits allowed spot on the Monday, June 22, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 2.1 H, with Will Klein (LAD) right behind. Every starter is ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow — his hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. It's the read DFS and pitcher-prop players make before lock.
Top spot: Tim Mayza
Tim Mayza (PHI) tops the Monday, June 22, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 2.1 H vs WSH. His hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes.
The rest of the top of the board
Will Klein (LAD) (100) — about 2.3 H vs MIN.
Sam Aldegheri (LAA) (100) — about 3.9 H vs BAL.
Brandon Woodruff (MIL) (79) — about 4.4 H vs CIN.
Ryan Feltner (COL) (69) — about 4.5 H vs BOS.
Eric Lauer (LAD) (68) — about 4.7 H vs MIN.
How it played out
The top 10 starts averaged 3.1 H. Tim Mayza finished with 2. Every projection is graded against the box score.
How to read the hits allowed board
Each starter's score (0–100) ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow — his hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. We project a hits allowed count for the start and grade it against what actually happened.
Which pitcher has the best hits allowed matchup today (Monday, June 22, 2026)?
Tim Mayza (PHI) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 2.1 H against WSH.
What are the best pitcher hits allowed props today?
The top projected starts on Monday, June 22, 2026: Tim Mayza (~2.1 H), Will Klein (~2.3 H), Sam Aldegheri (~3.9 H), Brandon Woodruff (~4.4 H), Ryan Feltner (~4.5 H). The full board ranks every starter.
How is the hits allowed score calculated?
Ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow — his hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected hits allowed count alongside, and graded against the box score.
Can I use this for pitcher props or DFS?
Yes — the board surfaces the best hits allowed spots and projects a number. Where there's a posted line we show the over/under and which side our projection leans. We show the data and grade it, not picks.
