‹ Hits Allowed · Monday, June 22, 2026
ATL @ SD Hits Allowed matchups · Monday, June 22, 2026
ATL
Atlanta Braves
0–1
Final
SD
San Diego Padres
◆ Petco ParkElevation 23 ftCenter Field 396 ft☀ 69°F ClearWind 8 mph, L To R
Grant Holmes · RHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.3% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.1%
vs RHB22.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.4%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.3 BF
Expected batters faced21.3
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.6 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-110-120
BOVBovada-120-120
DKDraftKings-115-115
FANFanatics-125-115
We project 4.6 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
SD lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)24.4%3.0 PA
2Jackson Merrill (L)21.0%3.0 PA
3Manny Machado (R)19.2%3.0 PA
4Gavin Sheets (L)22.0%2.3 PA
5Ty France (R)21.6%2.0 PA
6Xander Bogaerts (R)21.8%2.0 PA
7Will Wagner (L)22.8%2.0 PA
8Rodolfo Durán (R)19.3%2.0 PA
9Samad Taylor (R)25.6%2.0 PA
Michael King · RHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.7% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.5%
vs RHB20.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.6%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.5 BF
Expected batters faced23.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.0 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-155+115
DKDraftKings-152+114
We project 5.0 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
ATL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Mauricio Dubón (R)24.2%3.0 PA
2Drake Baldwin (L)22.8%3.0 PA
3Matt Olson (L)22.3%3.0 PA
4Ozzie Albies (L)22.6%3.0 PA
5Michael Harris II (L)26.4%3.0 PA
6Austin Riley (R)18.9%2.5 PA
7Dominic Smith (L)22.5%2.0 PA
8Mike Yastrzemski (L)22.0%2.0 PA
9Jorge Mateo (R)23.0%2.0 PA