‹ Hits Allowed · Tuesday, June 23, 2026
ATL @ SD Hits Allowed matchups · Tuesday, June 23, 2026
ATL
Atlanta Braves
6–7
Final
SD
San Diego Padres
◆ Petco ParkElevation 23 ftCenter Field 396 ft☀ 70°F Partly CloudyWind 7 mph, L To R
JR Ritchie · RHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.9%
vs RHB19.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.1%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.3 BF
Expected batters faced22.3
From recent starts7
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.4 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-135+100
BOVBovada-105-135
DKDraftKings+100-133
FANFanatics-105-135
We project 4.4 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
SD lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)24.4%3.0 PA
2Samad Taylor (R)25.6%3.0 PA
3Jackson Merrill (L)21.0%3.0 PA
4Manny Machado (R)19.2%3.0 PA
5Gavin Sheets (L)22.0%2.3 PA
6Xander Bogaerts (R)21.8%2.0 PA
7Will Wagner (L)22.8%2.0 PA
8Rodolfo Durán (R)22.5%2.0 PA
9Sung-Mun Song (L)21.5%2.0 PA
Wandy Peralta · LHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.7% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.3%
vs RHB20.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)6.6%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload9.9 BF
Expected batters faced9.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.2 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
ATL lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Michael Harris II (L)25.3%1.9 PA
2Ozzie Albies (R)27.3%1.0 PA
3Matt Olson (L)24.4%1.0 PA
4Dominic Smith (L)19.4%1.0 PA
5Mauricio Dubón (R)22.1%1.0 PA
6Drake Baldwin (L)23.0%1.0 PA
7Austin Riley (R)23.5%1.0 PA
8Rowdy Tellez (L)22.5%1.0 PA
9Mike Yastrzemski (L)18.3%1.0 PA