Best MLB hits allowed matchups — Tuesday, June 23, 2026
Every starting pitcher on the Tuesday, June 23, 2026 slate, scored — ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow. His hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. Results show how each call played out.
PROJSome lineups aren't official yet — 1 starts use an opposing lineup projected from that team's last game. The strikeout projection updates automatically once the official lineup posts, ~2 hours before first pitch.
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#Pitcher · MatchupScore
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.7% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.0%
vs RHB22.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)4.7%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload9.8 BF
Expected batters faced9.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.0 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.0% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Trea Turner (R)21.9%1.8
2. Kyle Schwarber (L)24.1%1.0
3. Bryce Harper (L)21.0%1.0
4. Brandon Marsh (L)21.6%1.0
5. Alec Bohm (R)23.3%1.0
6. Bryson Stott (L)24.2%1.0
7. J.T. Realmuto (R)19.9%1.0
8. Gabriel Rincones Jr. (L)22.5%1.0
9. Justin Crawford (L)19.4%1.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.7% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.3%
vs RHB20.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)6.6%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload9.9 BF
Expected batters faced9.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.2 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.9% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Michael Harris II (L)25.3%1.9
2. Ozzie Albies (R)27.3%1.0
3. Matt Olson (L)24.4%1.0
4. Dominic Smith (L)19.4%1.0
5. Mauricio Dubón (R)22.1%1.0
6. Drake Baldwin (L)23.0%1.0
7. Austin Riley (R)23.5%1.0
8. Rowdy Tellez (L)22.5%1.0
9. Mike Yastrzemski (L)18.3%1.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.9% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.2%
vs RHB23.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.7%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload11.6 BF
Expected batters faced11.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.7 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.3% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Jakob Marsee (L)20.8%2.0
2. Otto Lopez (R)25.9%2.0
3. Kyle Stowers (L)21.4%1.6
4. Xavier Edwards (L)23.2%1.0
5. Owen Caissie (L)20.3%1.0
6. Heriberto Hernández (R)22.9%1.0
7. Joe Mack (L)22.5%1.0
8. Connor Norby (R)22.2%1.0
9. Javier Sanoja (R)21.6%1.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.0% Hits / BF
vs LHB19.5%
vs RHB21.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.9%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload16.2 BF
Expected batters faced16.2
From recent starts5
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection3.2 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.2% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Shohei Ohtani (L)23.4%2.0
2. Andy Pages (R)20.8%2.0
3. Freddie Freeman (L)20.5%2.0
4. Mookie Betts (R)19.6%2.0
5. Tommy Edman (R)22.3%2.0
6. Max Muncy (L)21.5%2.0
7. Alex Call (R)23.0%2.0
8. Alex Freeland (R)20.1%1.3
9. Chuckie Robinson (R)20.0%1.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.1% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.8%
vs RHB21.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)6.6%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload16.1 BF
Expected batters faced16.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection3.9 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.4% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Yandy Díaz (R)27.8%2.0
2. Jonathan Aranda (L)24.9%2.0
3. Cedric Mullins (L)19.7%2.0
4. Junior Caminero (R)23.2%2.0
5. Richie Palacios (L)20.9%2.0
6. Jonny DeLuca (R)26.3%2.0
7. Chandler Simpson (L)26.0%2.0
8. Taylor Walls (L)20.2%1.1
9. Hunter Feduccia (L)21.2%1.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-115-115
BOVBovada+125-165
DKDraftKings+123-163
FANFanatics-105-135
We project 3.9 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.8% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.7%
vs RHB21.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.6%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload20.3 BF
Expected batters faced20.3
From recent starts6
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.3 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)26.9%3.0
2. Alex Bregman (R)21.8%3.0
3. Michael Busch (L)20.9%2.3
4. Seiya Suzuki (R)23.9%2.0
5. Ian Happ (L)20.4%2.0
6. Matt Shaw (R)21.6%2.0
7. Nico Hoerner (R)20.0%2.0
8. Carson Kelly (R)22.5%2.0
9. Dansby Swanson (R)17.6%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-165+125
BOVBovada-165+125
DKDraftKings-166+125
We project 4.3 H vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.8% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.7%
vs RHB19.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.1%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.0 BF
Expected batters faced22.0
From recent starts7
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.3 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Kevin McGonigle (L)23.0%3.0
2. Dillon Dingler (R)22.3%3.0
3. Matt Vierling (R)22.8%3.0
4. Riley Greene (L)22.1%3.0
5. Spencer Torkelson (R)21.5%2.0
6. Jahmai Jones (R)19.6%2.0
7. Hao-Yu Lee (R)22.6%2.0
8. Zach McKinstry (L)18.4%2.0
9. Ben Malgeri (R)22.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-135+100
BOVBovada-120-120
DKDraftKings-117-113
We project 4.3 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.3% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.3%
vs RHB24.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.7%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload20.8 BF
Expected batters faced20.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.4 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.0% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Ben Rice (L)23.8%3.0
2. Jasson Domínguez (L)20.7%3.0
3. Cody Bellinger (L)23.1%2.8
4. Paul Goldschmidt (R)23.4%2.0
5. Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L)19.7%2.0
6. Spencer Jones (L)22.5%2.0
7. José Caballero (R)23.4%2.0
8. Austin Wells (L)19.7%2.0
9. Anthony Volpe (R)22.0%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-118-110
BOVBovada-130-110
DKDraftKings-128-104
FANFanatics-115-125
We project 4.4 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.4% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.1%
vs RHB22.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.9%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload20.9 BF
Expected batters faced20.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.5 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.3% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Blake Dunn (R)23.7%3.0
2. Elly De La Cruz (L)24.3%3.0
3. JJ Bleday (L)21.0%2.9
4. Sal Stewart (R)20.6%2.0
5. Nathaniel Lowe (L)24.1%2.0
6. Eugenio Suárez (R)21.4%2.0
7. Noelvi Marte (R)23.9%2.0
8. Jose Trevino (R)19.3%2.0
9. Edwin Arroyo (L)22.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-115-115
BOVBovada-120-120
DKDraftKings-116-114
FANFanatics-130-110
We project 4.5 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB18.8%
vs RHB22.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.4%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.4 BF
Expected batters faced21.4
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.5 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.8% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Lane Thomas (R)21.9%3.0
2. Nick Loftin (R)21.7%3.0
3. Jac Caglianone (L)24.1%3.0
4. Salvador Perez (R)22.6%2.4
5. Carter Jensen (L)25.2%2.0
6. Starling Marte (R)24.0%2.0
7. Michael Massey (L)22.4%2.0
8. Tyler Tolbert (R)20.9%2.0
9. Kameron Misner (L)21.9%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-125
BOVBovada+100-140
DKDraftKings+103-136
We project 4.5 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.4% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.7%
vs RHB20.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.6%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.5 BF
Expected batters faced21.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.9 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.1% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Carson Benge (L)23.8%3.0
2. Bo Bichette (R)24.4%3.0
3. Juan Soto (L)24.4%3.0
4. Jared Young (L)20.9%2.5
5. A.J. Ewing (L)25.1%2.0
6. Marcus Semien (R)19.3%2.0
7. Brett Baty (L)20.4%2.0
8. MJ Melendez (L)17.6%2.0
9. Francisco Alvarez (R)22.7%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-115-115
BOVBovada-110-130
DKDraftKings-104-128
FANFanatics-105-135
We project 4.9 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate24.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB25.9%
vs RHB21.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.0 BF
Expected batters faced21.0
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.1 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Trea Turner (R)22.8%3.0
2. Kyle Schwarber (L)21.2%3.0
3. Bryce Harper (L)23.9%3.0
4. Alec Bohm (R)22.9%2.0
5. Edmundo Sosa (R)22.8%2.0
6. Brandon Marsh (L)26.3%2.0
7. Derek Hill (R)21.4%2.0
8. Bryson Stott (L)22.3%2.0
9. Rafael Marchán (L)18.8%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.7% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.0%
vs RHB23.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.3%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.8 BF
Expected batters faced22.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.5 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Travis Bazzana (L)26.3%3.0
2. Kyle Manzardo (L)21.9%3.0
3. Brayan Rocchio (L)23.0%3.0
4. Rhys Hoskins (R)18.5%3.0
5. Daniel Schneemann (L)18.4%2.8
6. Kahlil Watson (L)22.5%2.0
7. Steven Kwan (L)20.0%2.0
8. Austin Hedges (R)21.0%2.0
9. Petey Halpin (L)21.9%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada+120-160
DKDraftKings+120-159
We project 4.5 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.0% Hits / BF
vs LHB15.6%
vs RHB24.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.7%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.1 BF
Expected batters faced24.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.9 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.8% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. George Springer (R)21.8%3.0
2. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)23.9%3.0
3. Jesús Sánchez (L)25.1%3.0
4. Kazuma Okamoto (R)20.9%3.0
5. Brandon Valenzuela (L)23.4%3.0
6. Daulton Varsho (L)22.3%3.0
7. Luis Urías (R)21.8%2.1
8. Myles Straw (R)22.8%2.0
9. Andrés Giménez (L)23.2%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-110-118
BOVBovada-115-125
DKDraftKings-120-110
FANFanatics-110-130
We project 4.9 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate27.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB25.1%
vs RHB27.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.3%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload17.6 BF
Expected batters faced17.6
From recent starts5
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.4 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Taylor Ward (R)21.0%2.0
2. Gunnar Henderson (L)21.4%2.0
3. Pete Alonso (R)22.7%2.0
4. Samuel Basallo (L)22.9%2.0
5. Coby Mayo (R)16.6%2.0
6. Leody Taveras (L)22.9%2.0
7. Colton Cowser (L)20.9%2.0
8. Tyler O'Neill (R)20.9%2.0
9. Jeremiah Jackson (R)24.3%1.6
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-160+120
BOVBovada-145+105
DKDraftKings-142+107
FANFanatics-150+105
We project 4.4 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.9%
vs RHB19.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.1%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.3 BF
Expected batters faced22.3
From recent starts7
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.4 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.3% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)24.4%3.0
2. Samad Taylor (R)25.6%3.0
3. Jackson Merrill (L)21.0%3.0
4. Manny Machado (R)19.2%3.0
5. Gavin Sheets (L)22.0%2.3
6. Xander Bogaerts (R)21.8%2.0
7. Will Wagner (L)22.8%2.0
8. Rodolfo Durán (R)22.5%2.0
9. Sung-Mun Song (L)21.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-135+100
BOVBovada-105-135
DKDraftKings+100-133
FANFanatics-105-135
We project 4.4 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.5%
vs RHB22.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.1%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.5 BF
Expected batters faced23.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.2 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.1% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. J.P. Crawford (L)20.0%3.0
2. Cal Raleigh (L)18.1%3.0
3. Julio Rodríguez (R)22.5%3.0
4. Josh Naylor (L)21.9%3.0
5. Randy Arozarena (R)24.6%3.0
6. Luke Raley (L)21.1%2.5
7. Cole Young (L)23.7%2.0
8. Victor Robles (R)24.1%2.0
9. Colt Emerson (L)22.8%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-125
BOVBovada+100-140
DKDraftKings+104-138
FANFanatics-105-135
We project 5.2 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.9% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.0%
vs RHB23.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.4%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.7 BF
Expected batters faced23.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.3 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.1% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. James Wood (L)22.8%3.0
2. Curtis Mead (R)22.7%3.0
3. Andrés Chaparro (R)20.4%3.0
4. Dylan Crews (R)23.1%3.0
5. Jorbit Vivas (L)24.7%3.0
6. Jacob Young (R)21.8%2.7
7. Nasim Nuñez (R)24.2%2.0
8. José Tena (L)21.1%2.0
9. Keibert Ruiz (R)27.0%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+110-150
BOVBovada+120-160
DKDraftKings+120-159
FANFanatics+100-140
We project 5.3 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.4% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.2%
vs RHB19.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.7%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.5 BF
Expected batters faced23.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.9 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Miguel Vargas (R)23.6%3.0
2. Randal Grichuk (R)24.7%3.0
3. Chase Meidroth (R)26.1%3.0
4. Colson Montgomery (L)21.6%3.0
5. Junior Perez (R)22.5%3.0
6. Braden Montgomery (R)22.5%2.5
7. Luisangel Acuña (R)22.3%2.0
8. Sam Antonacci (L)21.0%2.0
9. Drew Romo (R)19.4%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-120-110
BOVBovada-125-115
DKDraftKings-119-111
FANFanatics-125-115
We project 4.9 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB17.9%
vs RHB25.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.6%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.0 BF
Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts0
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.4 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Jose Altuve (R)20.5%3.0
2. Yordan Alvarez (L)26.6%3.0
3. Christian Walker (R)22.1%3.0
4. Isaac Paredes (R)21.3%3.0
5. Yainer Diaz (R)23.9%3.0
6. Cam Smith (R)22.0%2.0
7. Taylor Trammell (L)22.6%2.0
8. Brice Matthews (R)20.9%2.0
9. Raynel Delgado (L)22.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-160+120
BOVBovada-135-105
DKDraftKings-131-101
We project 5.4 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.5%
vs RHB22.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload20.8 BF
Expected batters faced20.8
From recent starts2
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.8 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.1% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Nate Eaton (R)22.3%3.0
2. Ceddanne Rafaela (R)24.8%3.0
3. Wilyer Abreu (L)26.1%2.8
4. Willson Contreras (R)22.5%2.0
5. Jarren Duran (L)20.7%2.0
6. Caleb Durbin (R)23.4%2.0
7. Andruw Monasterio (R)22.5%2.0
8. Connor Wong (R)20.8%2.0
9. Anthony Seigler (R)24.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
FANFanatics-130-110
We project 4.8 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.3% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.6%
vs RHB21.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.2 BF
Expected batters faced24.2
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.1 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.0% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Austin Martin (R)20.6%3.0
2. Byron Buxton (R)24.8%3.0
3. Josh Bell (R)22.7%3.0
4. Royce Lewis (R)22.5%3.0
5. Brooks Lee (R)22.0%3.0
6. Victor Caratini (R)21.1%3.0
7. Luke Keaschall (R)21.9%2.2
8. Ryan Kreidler (R)20.2%2.0
9. Kyler Fedko (R)22.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-135-105
DKDraftKings-130-102
FANFanatics-125-115
We project 5.1 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.4% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.4%
vs RHB21.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)8.1%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.9 BF
Expected batters faced23.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.3 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. JJ Wetherholt (L)24.0%3.0
2. Iván Herrera (R)21.7%3.0
3. Jordan Walker (R)24.6%3.0
4. Lars Nootbaar (L)21.1%3.0
5. Nelson Velázquez (R)24.6%3.0
6. José Fermín (R)24.7%2.9
7. Alec Burleson (L)19.1%2.0
8. Blaze Jordan (R)22.5%2.0
9. Pedro Pagés (R)21.9%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-130-105
BOVBovada-140+100
DKDraftKings-134+101
FANFanatics-130-110
We project 5.3 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.5%
vs RHB22.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.4 BF
Expected batters faced22.4
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.0 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Luis Arraez (L)22.5%3.0
2. Bryce Eldridge (L)22.5%3.0
3. Casey Schmitt (R)22.5%3.0
4. Rafael Devers (L)22.5%3.0
5. Jung Hoo Lee (L)22.5%2.4
6. Willy Adames (R)22.5%2.0
7. Matt Chapman (R)22.5%2.0
8. Drew Gilbert (L)22.5%2.0
9. Daniel Susac (R)22.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-110-120
BOVBovada+110-150
DKDraftKings+109-145
FANFanatics+100-140
We project 5.0 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.0% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.0%
vs RHB24.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.7%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload25.7 BF
Expected batters faced25.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection6.0 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Joc Pederson (L)19.5%3.0
2. Wyatt Langford (R)25.4%3.0
3. Brandon Nimmo (L)25.0%3.0
4. Josh Jung (R)25.4%3.0
5. Ezequiel Duran (R)23.0%3.0
6. Alejandro Osuna (L)20.5%3.0
7. Jarred Kelenic (L)21.1%3.0
8. Kyle Higashioka (R)19.1%2.7
9. Nicky Lopez (L)24.8%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-150+110
BOVBovada-160+120
DKDraftKings-159+120
We project 6.0 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.5%
vs RHB22.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.6 BF
Expected batters faced22.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.1 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Zack Gelof (R)22.5%3.0
2. Nick Kurtz (L)22.5%3.0
3. Shea Langeliers (R)22.5%3.0
4. Tyler Soderstrom (L)22.5%3.0
5. Jacob Wilson (R)22.5%2.6
6. Joey Meneses (R)22.5%2.0
7. Henry Bolte (R)22.5%2.0
8. Colby Thomas (R)22.5%2.0
9. Max Muncy (R)22.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-140+105
BOVBovada-140+100
DKDraftKings-134+101
We project 5.1 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate25.3% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.6%
vs RHB26.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.7%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.2 BF
Expected batters faced24.2
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection6.1 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.3% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Spencer Horwitz (L)24.0%3.0
2. Brandon Lowe (L)22.7%3.0
3. Bryan Reynolds (L)23.6%3.0
4. Nick Gonzales (R)24.6%3.0
5. Ryan O'Hearn (L)23.4%3.0
6. Endy Rodríguez (L)23.2%3.0
7. Marcell Ozuna (R)21.2%2.2
8. Jake Mangum (L)28.1%2.0
9. Jared Triolo (R)19.2%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada+120-160
DKDraftKings+119-159
We project 6.1 H vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.5%
vs RHB21.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.5%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload25.1 BF
Expected batters faced25.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.3 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.1% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Zach Neto (R)20.7%3.0
2. Vaughn Grissom (R)22.5%3.0
3. Nolan Schanuel (L)22.8%3.0
4. Jorge Soler (R)20.0%3.0
5. Jo Adell (R)23.4%3.0
6. Oswald Peraza (R)22.0%3.0
7. Christian Moore (R)20.1%3.0
8. Logan O'Hoppe (R)24.0%2.1
9. Jose Siri (R)23.2%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada+120-160
DKDraftKings+119-159
We project 5.3 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.9% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.4%
vs RHB23.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.9%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.0 BF
Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.3 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Jake McCarthy (L)24.5%3.0
2. Mickey Moniak (L)22.5%3.0
3. Hunter Goodman (R)21.2%3.0
4. TJ Rumfield (L)25.1%3.0
5. Tyler Freeman (R)23.7%3.0
6. Willi Castro (L)22.6%2.0
7. Troy Johnston (L)22.5%2.0
8. Ezequiel Tovar (R)21.7%2.0
9. Edouard Julien (L)20.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-155+115
BOVBovada-130-110
DKDraftKings-127-105
We project 5.3 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate26.1% Hits / BF
vs LHB26.0%
vs RHB24.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.9%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.7 BF
Expected batters faced22.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.5 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Ketel Marte (L)23.7%3.0
2. Geraldo Perdomo (L)21.6%3.0
3. Corbin Carroll (L)20.8%3.0
4. Gabriel Moreno (R)25.1%3.0
5. Pavin Smith (L)19.9%2.7
6. Nolan Arenado (R)20.7%2.0
7. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (R)21.7%2.0
8. LuJames Groover (R)22.5%2.0
9. Tommy Troy (R)17.9%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada+115-155
DKDraftKings+117-156
We project 5.5 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate25.3% Hits / BF
vs LHB26.2%
vs RHB23.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.1 BF
Expected batters faced24.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection6.3 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.8% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Jackson Chourio (R)27.8%3.0
2. Brice Turang (L)19.1%3.0
3. William Contreras (R)26.3%3.0
4. Andrew Vaughn (R)29.0%3.0
5. Jake Bauers (L)22.8%3.0
6. Gary Sánchez (R)22.0%3.0
7. Blake Perkins (R)23.4%2.1
8. Cooper Pratt (R)22.5%2.0
9. Joey Ortiz (R)21.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-110-120
BOVBovada-145+105
DKDraftKings-141+106
We project 6.3 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
29 with a HLive count — updates as games play
1
Shane BieberP
TORvsHOU· proj #20
9HFinal
2
Casey MizeP
DETvsNYY· proj #8
8HFinal
T2
George KirbyP
SEA@PIT· proj #27
8HFinal
T2
Shane BazP
BAL@LAA· proj #28
8HFinal
5
Mitch KellerP
PITvsSEA· proj #17
7HFinal
6
Carlos RodónP
NYY@DET· proj #7
6HFinal
T6
Shane McClanahanP
TBvsKC· proj #10
6HFinal
T6
Sean BurkeP
CWSvsCLE· proj #13
6HFinal
T6
Peter LambertP
HOU@TOR· proj #14
6HFinal
T6
Jesús LuzardoP
PHI@WSH· proj #18
6HFinal
T6
Aaron CivaleP
ATH@SF· proj #24
6HFinal
T6
Sonny GrayP
BOS@COL· proj #29
6HFinal
13
Zack LittellP
WSHvsPHI· proj #12
5HFinal
T13
JR RitchieP
ATL@SD· proj #16
5HFinal
T13
Sean SullivanP
COLvsBOS· proj #21
5HFinal
T13
Justin WrobleskiP
LAD@MIN· proj #22
5HFinal
T13
Sandy AlcantaraP
MIAvsTEX· proj #25
5HFinal
18
Cal QuantrillP
TEX@MIA· proj #3
3HFinal
T18
Luinder AvilaP
KC@TB· proj #5
3HFinal
T18
Kodai SengaP
NYMvsCHC· proj #6
3HFinal
T18
Edward CabreraP
CHC@NYM· proj #11
3HFinal
T18
Parker MessickP
CLE@CWS· proj #19
3HFinal
T18
Eduardo RodriguezP
AZ@STL· proj #23
3HFinal
T18
Kyle LeahyP
STLvsAZ· proj #30
3HFinal
25
Robbie RayP
SFvsATH· proj #26
2HFinal
T25
Nick LodoloP
CINvsMIL· proj #31
2HFinal
27
Kendry RojasP
MINvsLAD· proj #4
1HFinal
T27
Brandon SproatP
MIL@CIN· proj #9
1HFinal
T27
Ryan JohnsonP
LAAvsBAL· proj #15
1HFinal
How the board graded
Share of our top-ranked hitters that hit the mark, next to the season-to-date rate.
Top 5
1/1100%
season 43%+57 pts-26% ROI
Top 10
2/633%
season 46%-13 pts-21% ROI
Top 20
5/1533%
season building
Top 50
8/2631%
season building
Full slate
8/2631%
season 48%-17 pts-15% ROI
“Hit” is the green check on the card — the mark. Pools are our pre-game top-ranked matchups; only settled (final) outcomes count. Season-to-date is every graded day this season.
Best MLB Hits Allowed Matchups — Tuesday, June 23, 2026
PJ Poulin (WSH) is the top hits allowed spot on the Tuesday, June 23, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 2.0 H, with Wandy Peralta (SD) right behind. Every starter is ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow — his hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. It's the read DFS and pitcher-prop players make before lock.
Top spot: PJ Poulin
PJ Poulin (WSH) tops the Tuesday, June 23, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 2.0 H vs PHI. His hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes.
The rest of the top of the board
Wandy Peralta (SD) (100) — about 2.2 H vs ATL.
Cal Quantrill (TEX) (83) — about 2.7 H vs MIA.
Kendry Rojas (MIN) (68) — about 3.2 H vs LAD.
Luinder Avila (KC) (56) — about 3.9 H vs TB.
Kodai Senga (NYM) (47) — about 4.3 H vs CHC.
How it played out
The top 10 starts averaged 3.1 H. PJ Poulin finished with 0. Every projection is graded against the box score.
How to read the hits allowed board
Each starter's score (0–100) ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow — his hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. We project a hits allowed count for the start and grade it against what actually happened.
Which pitcher has the best hits allowed matchup today (Tuesday, June 23, 2026)?
PJ Poulin (WSH) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 2.0 H against PHI.
What are the best pitcher hits allowed props today?
The top projected starts on Tuesday, June 23, 2026: PJ Poulin (~2.0 H), Wandy Peralta (~2.2 H), Cal Quantrill (~2.7 H), Kendry Rojas (~3.2 H), Luinder Avila (~3.9 H). The full board ranks every starter.
How is the hits allowed score calculated?
Ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow — his hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected hits allowed count alongside, and graded against the box score.
Can I use this for pitcher props or DFS?
Yes — the board surfaces the best hits allowed spots and projects a number. Where there's a posted line we show the over/under and which side our projection leans. We show the data and grade it, not picks.
