MatchWiz Plays
Hits Allowed · Tuesday, June 23, 2026

SEA @ PIT Hits Allowed matchups · Tuesday, June 23, 2026

SEA
SEA
Seattle Mariners
32
Final
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
PIT
PNC ParkElevation 780 ftCenter Field 399 ft 73°F ClearWind 11 mph, Calm

SEA George Kirby · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate25.3% Hits / BF

vs LHB23.6%
vs RHB26.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.7%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.2 BF

Expected batters faced24.2
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection6.1 H

Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Hits Allowed Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
BOVBovada+120-160
DKDraftKings+119-159

We project 6.1 H vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

PIT lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Spencer Horwitz (L)24.0%3.0 PA
2Brandon Lowe (L)22.7%3.0 PA
3Bryan Reynolds (L)23.6%3.0 PA
4Nick Gonzales (R)24.6%3.0 PA
5Ryan O'Hearn (L)23.4%3.0 PA
6Endy Rodríguez (L)23.2%3.0 PA
7Marcell Ozuna (R)21.2%2.2 PA
8Jake Mangum (L)28.1%2.0 PA
9Jared Triolo (R)19.2%2.0 PA

PIT Mitch Keller · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.5% Hits / BF

vs LHB22.5%
vs RHB22.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.1%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.5 BF

Expected batters faced23.5
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.2 H

Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-125
BOVBovada+100-140
DKDraftKings+104-138
FANFanatics-105-135

We project 5.2 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

SEA lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1J.P. Crawford (L)20.0%3.0 PA
2Cal Raleigh (L)18.1%3.0 PA
3Julio Rodríguez (R)22.5%3.0 PA
4Josh Naylor (L)21.9%3.0 PA
5Randy Arozarena (R)24.6%3.0 PA
6Luke Raley (L)21.1%2.5 PA
7Cole Young (L)23.7%2.0 PA
8Victor Robles (R)24.1%2.0 PA
9Colt Emerson (L)22.8%2.0 PA