‹ Hits Allowed · Wednesday, June 24, 2026
ATL @ SD Hits Allowed matchups · Wednesday, June 24, 2026
ATL
Atlanta Braves
2–5
Final
SD
San Diego Padres
◆ Petco ParkElevation 23 ftCenter Field 396 ft☀ 71°F Partly CloudyWind 10 mph, L To R
Martín Pérez · LHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.0%
vs RHB19.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.5%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload18.6 BF
Expected batters faced18.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection3.9 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada+120-160
DKDraftKings+121-161
FANFanatics+120-170
We project 3.9 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
SD lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)25.5%2.6 PA
2Samad Taylor (R)25.8%2.0 PA
3Manny Machado (R)23.1%2.0 PA
4Xander Bogaerts (R)20.9%2.0 PA
5Jackson Merrill (L)25.6%2.0 PA
6Miguel Andujar (R)22.4%2.0 PA
7Ty France (R)22.3%2.0 PA
8Freddy Fermin (R)22.5%2.0 PA
9Jase Bowen (R)22.5%2.0 PA
JP Sears · LHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB24.1%
vs RHB23.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.4%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.0 BF
Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts0
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.7 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-155+115
DKDraftKings-152+114
We project 5.7 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
ATL lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Mauricio Dubón (R)22.6%3.0 PA
2Michael Harris II (L)25.7%3.0 PA
3Ozzie Albies (R)27.0%3.0 PA
4Matt Olson (L)23.6%3.0 PA
5Austin Riley (R)23.2%3.0 PA
6Eli White (R)23.8%2.0 PA
7Joey Bart (R)22.5%2.0 PA
8Jorge Mateo (R)22.8%2.0 PA
9Ha-Seong Kim (R)18.4%2.0 PA