Best MLB hits allowed matchups — Wednesday, June 24, 2026
Every starting pitcher on the Wednesday, June 24, 2026 slate, scored — ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow. His hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. Results show how each call played out.
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.4 BF
Expected batters faced23.4
From recent starts5
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.7 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Matt Chapman (R)21.3%3.0
2. Bryce Eldridge (L)23.8%3.0
3. Casey Schmitt (R)26.7%3.0
4. Rafael Devers (L)20.4%3.0
5. Willy Adames (R)18.6%3.0
6. Jung Hoo Lee (L)25.9%2.4
7. Victor Bericoto (R)22.5%2.0
8. Eric Haase (R)22.5%2.0
9. Jonah Cox (R)22.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-160+120
DKDraftKings-158+118
We project 4.7 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.0%
vs RHB19.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.5%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload18.6 BF
Expected batters faced18.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection3.9 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.4% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)25.5%2.6
2. Samad Taylor (R)25.8%2.0
3. Manny Machado (R)23.1%2.0
4. Xander Bogaerts (R)20.9%2.0
5. Jackson Merrill (L)25.6%2.0
6. Miguel Andujar (R)22.4%2.0
7. Ty France (R)22.3%2.0
8. Freddy Fermin (R)22.5%2.0
9. Jase Bowen (R)22.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada+120-160
DKDraftKings+121-161
FANFanatics+120-170
We project 3.9 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.2% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.8%
vs RHB19.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.6%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload16.0 BF
Expected batters faced16.0
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection3.4 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Carson Benge (L)22.5%2.0
2. A.J. Ewing (L)25.0%2.0
3. Bo Bichette (R)24.5%2.0
4. Jared Young (L)20.3%2.0
5. Francisco Alvarez (R)23.5%2.0
6. Brett Baty (L)20.5%2.0
7. Marcus Semien (R)18.9%2.0
8. MJ Melendez (L)17.3%1.0
9. Luis Torrens (R)20.8%1.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada+125-165
DKDraftKings+124-165
We project 3.4 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.5%
vs RHB22.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload17.8 BF
Expected batters faced17.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection3.9 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.1% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Blake Dunn (R)22.9%2.0
2. Elly De La Cruz (R)23.6%2.0
3. Dane Myers (R)22.8%2.0
4. Sal Stewart (R)23.5%2.0
5. Spencer Steer (R)22.0%2.0
6. Eugenio Suárez (R)20.8%2.0
7. Noelvi Marte (R)20.6%2.0
8. Tyler Stephenson (R)20.5%2.0
9. Matt McLain (R)22.0%1.8
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+105-140
BOVBovada-105-135
DKDraftKings-102-131
We project 3.9 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.3% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.8%
vs RHB22.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.1%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload18.0 BF
Expected batters faced18.0
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.2 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.3% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)23.0%2.0
2. Matt Shaw (R)23.6%2.0
3. Seiya Suzuki (R)24.7%2.0
4. Alex Bregman (R)22.4%2.0
5. Michael Busch (L)20.7%2.0
6. Nico Hoerner (R)25.2%2.0
7. Carson Kelly (R)24.9%2.0
8. Pedro Ramírez (R)22.5%2.0
9. Dansby Swanson (R)22.3%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-155+115
DKDraftKings-146+110
We project 4.2 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.0% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.5%
vs RHB23.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.9%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload20.2 BF
Expected batters faced20.2
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.5 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Travis Bazzana (L)25.9%3.0
2. Brayan Rocchio (L)22.9%3.0
3. David Fry (R)21.8%2.2
4. Kyle Manzardo (L)21.6%2.0
5. Rhys Hoskins (R)18.7%2.0
6. Kahlil Watson (L)22.6%2.0
7. Daniel Schneemann (L)19.2%2.0
8. Patrick Bailey (L)22.5%2.0
9. Steven Kwan (L)19.9%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB24.2%
vs RHB20.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.4%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload19.0 BF
Expected batters faced19.0
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.4 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Carter Jensen (L)22.9%3.0
2. Nick Loftin (R)22.6%2.0
3. Jac Caglianone (L)23.3%2.0
4. Salvador Perez (R)20.2%2.0
5. Michael Massey (L)23.9%2.0
6. Isaac Collins (L)22.5%2.0
7. John Rave (L)21.3%2.0
8. Kameron Misner (L)24.5%2.0
9. Tyler Tolbert (R)21.8%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada+130-170
DKDraftKings+128-171
We project 4.4 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.2% Hits / BF
vs LHB19.1%
vs RHB22.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.6%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.7 BF
Expected batters faced23.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.6 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.2% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Sam Antonacci (L)25.0%3.0
2. Miguel Vargas (R)19.0%3.0
3. Andrew Benintendi (L)22.2%3.0
4. Kyle Teel (L)21.8%3.0
5. Colson Montgomery (L)19.5%3.0
6. Chase Meidroth (R)21.8%2.7
7. Braden Montgomery (L)22.5%2.0
8. Tristan Peters (L)25.1%2.0
9. Jacob Gonzalez (L)22.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-150+110
DKDraftKings-148+111
FANFanatics-160+115
We project 4.6 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate18.0% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.5%
vs RHB17.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.6 BF
Expected batters faced23.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.3 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)26.8%3.0
2. Michael Conforto (L)19.0%3.0
3. Michael Busch (L)20.9%3.0
4. Seiya Suzuki (R)23.4%3.0
5. Ian Happ (L)20.5%3.0
6. Nico Hoerner (R)20.2%2.6
7. Pedro Ramírez (L)22.5%2.0
8. Miguel Amaya (R)21.7%2.0
9. Dansby Swanson (R)18.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-125-105
BOVBovada-105-135
DKDraftKings-112-118
We project 4.3 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.3% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.2%
vs RHB21.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.1 BF
Expected batters faced21.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.6 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Christian Yelich (L)21.9%3.0
2. Jackson Chourio (R)24.1%3.0
3. Brice Turang (L)23.7%3.0
4. William Contreras (R)24.1%2.1
5. Jake Bauers (L)20.2%2.0
6. Garrett Mitchell (L)24.1%2.0
7. Sal Frelick (L)22.5%2.0
8. Cooper Pratt (R)22.5%2.0
9. David Hamilton (L)20.1%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+115-155
BOVBovada+115-155
DKDraftKings+116-154
FANFanatics+110-155
We project 4.6 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.5%
vs RHB19.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.7%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.5 BF
Expected batters faced22.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.8 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Willi Castro (R)25.3%3.0
2. Tyler Freeman (R)22.7%3.0
3. TJ Rumfield (L)22.7%3.0
4. Hunter Goodman (R)24.9%3.0
5. Cole Carrigg (R)22.5%2.5
6. Jake McCarthy (L)26.6%2.0
7. Braxton Fulford (R)22.4%2.0
8. Ezequiel Tovar (R)21.1%2.0
9. Kyle Karros (R)24.6%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+105-140
BOVBovada+110-150
DKDraftKings+110-146
We project 4.8 H vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate18.7% Hits / BF
vs LHB19.3%
vs RHB19.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.6%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.0 BF
Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.7 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.3% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Jose Altuve (R)22.2%3.0
2. Yordan Alvarez (L)27.4%3.0
3. Jeremy Peña (R)24.6%3.0
4. Isaac Paredes (R)21.8%3.0
5. Joey Loperfido (L)21.0%3.0
6. Yainer Diaz (R)24.0%2.0
7. Cam Smith (R)21.9%2.0
8. Brice Matthews (R)20.7%2.0
9. Raynel Delgado (L)25.8%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-118-110
BOVBovada-120-120
DKDraftKings-117-113
FANFanatics-125-115
We project 4.7 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.4% Hits / BF
vs LHB19.3%
vs RHB20.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.9%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.1 BF
Expected batters faced22.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.7 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness24.0% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Joc Pederson (L)21.4%3.0
2. Wyatt Langford (R)24.6%3.0
3. Josh Jung (R)24.4%3.0
4. Brandon Nimmo (L)26.3%3.0
5. Jake Burger (R)23.8%2.1
6. Ezequiel Duran (R)22.9%2.0
7. Alejandro Osuna (L)21.6%2.0
8. Elias Díaz (R)27.2%2.0
9. Nicky Lopez (L)23.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-165+125
DKDraftKings-163+123
We project 4.7 H vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.2% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.5%
vs RHB22.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.4%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.8 BF
Expected batters faced22.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.8 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.2% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Xavier Edwards (L)24.8%3.0
2. Otto Lopez (R)26.8%3.0
3. Kyle Stowers (L)21.0%3.0
4. Heriberto Hernández (R)23.1%3.0
5. Griffin Conine (L)21.2%2.8
6. Jakob Marsee (L)19.8%2.0
7. Owen Caissie (L)21.0%2.0
8. Leo Jiménez (R)19.1%2.0
9. Brian Navarreto (R)22.8%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-130-105
BOVBovada-120-120
DKDraftKings-115-115
FANFanatics-120-120
We project 4.8 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.3% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.3%
vs RHB20.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.5 BF
Expected batters faced23.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.9 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.3% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Carson Benge (L)23.7%3.0
2. Francisco Lindor (R)20.9%3.0
3. Bo Bichette (R)24.7%3.0
4. Mark Vientos (R)25.8%3.0
5. Marcus Semien (R)22.3%3.0
6. Francisco Alvarez (R)22.7%2.5
7. Eric Wagaman (R)22.5%2.0
8. A.J. Ewing (L)18.8%2.0
9. Brett Baty (L)19.6%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-110-130
DKDraftKings-104-128
FANFanatics-120-120
We project 4.9 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.3% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.6%
vs RHB19.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.6%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.3 BF
Expected batters faced24.3
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.9 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.2% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Taylor Ward (R)20.1%3.0
2. Gunnar Henderson (L)21.7%3.0
3. Leody Taveras (L)23.7%3.0
4. Pete Alonso (R)22.9%3.0
5. Samuel Basallo (L)22.8%3.0
6. Colton Cowser (L)20.3%3.0
7. Coby Mayo (R)16.4%2.3
8. Jeremiah Jackson (R)24.4%2.0
9. Blaze Alexander (R)27.6%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-150+110
BOVBovada-150+110
DKDraftKings-145+109
We project 4.9 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.4% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.3%
vs RHB21.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)7.2%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.2 BF
Expected batters faced21.2
From recent starts6
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.9 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.8% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Nolan Schanuel (L)24.5%3.0
2. Denzer Guzman (R)23.7%3.0
3. Wade Meckler (L)24.9%3.0
4. Jorge Soler (R)20.2%2.2
5. Christian Moore (R)20.6%2.0
6. Donovan Walton (L)29.3%2.0
7. Oswald Peraza (R)21.7%2.0
8. Josh Lowe (L)19.9%2.0
9. Tyler Heineman (L)20.0%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+115-155
FANFanatics+110-155
We project 4.9 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.5%
vs RHB22.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.0 BF
Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts0
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.0 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Trea Turner (R)21.0%3.0
2. Brandon Marsh (L)22.2%3.0
3. Bryce Harper (L)20.7%3.0
4. Alec Bohm (R)21.7%3.0
5. Bryson Stott (L)23.7%3.0
6. J.T. Realmuto (R)19.3%2.0
7. Gabriel Rincones Jr. (L)22.5%2.0
8. Edmundo Sosa (R)23.7%2.0
9. Justin Crawford (L)19.4%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.3% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.2%
vs RHB21.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.9%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.5 BF
Expected batters faced23.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.0 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.9% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Kevin McGonigle (L)22.0%3.0
2. Dillon Dingler (R)24.4%3.0
3. Matt Vierling (R)22.8%3.0
4. Riley Greene (L)21.2%3.0
5. Spencer Torkelson (R)20.8%3.0
6. Hao-Yu Lee (R)23.0%2.5
7. Ben Malgeri (R)22.5%2.0
8. Zach McKinstry (L)18.7%2.0
9. Jake Rogers (R)21.8%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada+115-155
DKDraftKings+115-152
We project 5.0 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.5%
vs RHB21.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.1%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.0 BF
Expected batters faced24.0
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.1 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.9% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Shohei Ohtani (L)22.9%3.0
2. Andy Pages (R)24.3%3.0
3. Freddie Freeman (L)25.3%3.0
4. Mookie Betts (R)23.6%3.0
5. Max Muncy (L)22.4%3.0
6. Alex Call (R)22.8%3.0
7. Ryan Ward (L)21.2%2.0
8. Dalton Rushing (L)21.3%2.0
9. Alex Freeland (L)22.1%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada+125-165
DKDraftKings+122-162
We project 5.1 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.0% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.9%
vs RHB21.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.4%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.4 BF
Expected batters faced23.4
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.2 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Spencer Horwitz (L)23.7%3.0
2. Brandon Lowe (L)23.0%3.0
3. Bryan Reynolds (L)24.1%3.0
4. Nick Gonzales (R)25.6%3.0
5. Ryan O'Hearn (L)23.8%3.0
6. Endy Rodríguez (L)23.0%2.4
7. Tyler Callihan (L)21.7%2.0
8. Jake Mangum (L)27.4%2.0
9. Jared Triolo (R)19.1%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-115-115
BOVBovada-125-115
DKDraftKings-118-113
FANFanatics-135-105
We project 5.2 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate25.4% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.7%
vs RHB26.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.1%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.9 BF
Expected batters faced21.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.2 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.2% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. James Wood (L)22.6%3.0
2. Luis García Jr. (L)24.3%3.0
3. José Tena (L)22.2%3.0
4. CJ Abrams (L)23.4%2.9
5. Daylen Lile (L)22.5%2.0
6. Dylan Crews (R)19.6%2.0
7. Jorbit Vivas (L)22.3%2.0
8. Drew Millas (L)20.1%2.0
9. Nasim Nuñez (L)23.1%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-125-105
BOVBovada-105-135
DKDraftKings-101-131
FANFanatics-110-130
We project 5.2 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate24.3% Hits / BF
vs LHB24.1%
vs RHB23.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.5 BF
Expected batters faced22.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.2 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.1% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Yandy Díaz (R)23.6%3.0
2. Jonny DeLuca (R)22.0%3.0
3. Junior Caminero (R)24.2%3.0
4. Ryan Vilade (R)23.0%3.0
5. Jonathan Aranda (L)21.5%2.5
6. Ben Williamson (R)22.5%2.0
7. Taylor Walls (R)20.5%2.0
8. Chandler Simpson (L)19.4%2.0
9. Nick Fortes (R)22.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-125-105
BOVBovada-130-110
DKDraftKings-125-106
FANFanatics-120-120
We project 5.2 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.2% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.5%
vs RHB20.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.1%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.8 BF
Expected batters faced24.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.3 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.0% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. J.P. Crawford (L)20.2%3.0
2. Cal Raleigh (L)18.4%3.0
3. Julio Rodríguez (R)22.6%3.0
4. Josh Naylor (L)21.6%3.0
5. Randy Arozarena (R)23.0%3.0
6. Dominic Canzone (L)24.2%3.0
7. Luke Raley (L)21.3%2.8
8. Cole Young (L)23.5%2.0
9. Colt Emerson (L)23.0%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-135+100
BOVBovada-160+120
DKDraftKings-158+119
We project 5.3 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.5%
vs RHB22.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.0 BF
Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts0
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.3 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.9% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. JJ Wetherholt (L)23.4%3.0
2. Iván Herrera (R)21.2%3.0
3. Jordan Walker (R)25.9%3.0
4. Nelson Velázquez (R)23.0%3.0
5. José Fermín (R)23.5%3.0
6. Masyn Winn (R)23.5%2.0
7. Lars Nootbaar (L)21.7%2.0
8. Blaze Jordan (R)22.5%2.0
9. Pedro Pagés (R)21.4%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.4% Hits / BF
vs LHB25.7%
vs RHB20.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)20.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.5 BF
Expected batters faced23.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.5 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.8% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Paul Goldschmidt (R)28.4%3.0
2. Ben Rice (L)21.4%3.0
3. Jasson Domínguez (R)24.0%3.0
4. Cody Bellinger (L)24.1%3.0
5. Anthony Volpe (R)24.0%3.0
6. Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L)21.6%2.5
7. José Caballero (R)21.5%2.0
8. Austin Wells (L)19.2%2.0
9. Max Schuemann (R)21.3%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-135+100
DKDraftKings-158+119
FANFanatics-150+105
We project 5.5 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.5%
vs RHB22.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.2 BF
Expected batters faced24.2
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.7 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Trevor Larnach (L)25.5%3.0
2. Byron Buxton (R)25.7%3.0
3. Kody Clemens (L)22.1%3.0
4. Josh Bell (L)24.1%3.0
5. Royce Lewis (R)20.9%3.0
6. Brooks Lee (L)22.9%3.0
7. Victor Caratini (L)23.0%2.2
8. Tristan Gray (L)20.9%2.0
9. Ryan Kreidler (R)28.3%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+105-140
BOVBovada-125-115
DKDraftKings-118-113
FANFanatics-125-115
We project 5.7 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate24.1% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.2%
vs RHB26.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)7.5%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.1 BF
Expected batters faced23.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.6 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Henry Bolte (R)23.1%3.0
2. Nick Kurtz (L)23.5%3.0
3. Shea Langeliers (R)21.1%3.0
4. Tyler Soderstrom (L)22.9%3.0
5. Jacob Wilson (R)24.8%3.0
6. Joey Meneses (R)20.1%2.1
7. Lawrence Butler (L)21.5%2.0
8. Max Muncy (R)23.0%2.0
9. Jeff McNeil (L)22.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-115-115
BOVBovada+105-145
DKDraftKings+106-141
FANFanatics-115-125
We project 5.6 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB24.1%
vs RHB23.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.4%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.0 BF
Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts0
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.7 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.3% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Mauricio Dubón (R)22.6%3.0
2. Michael Harris II (L)25.7%3.0
3. Ozzie Albies (R)27.0%3.0
4. Matt Olson (L)23.6%3.0
5. Austin Riley (R)23.2%3.0
6. Eli White (R)23.8%2.0
7. Joey Bart (R)22.5%2.0
8. Jorge Mateo (R)22.8%2.0
9. Ha-Seong Kim (R)18.4%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-155+115
DKDraftKings-152+114
We project 5.7 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate26.8% Hits / BF
vs LHB25.0%
vs RHB26.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.6%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.0 BF
Expected batters faced21.0
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.8 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Ketel Marte (R)24.6%3.0
2. Geraldo Perdomo (R)21.0%3.0
3. Corbin Carroll (L)27.1%3.0
4. Gabriel Moreno (R)23.2%2.0
5. Nolan Arenado (R)22.0%2.0
6. Tommy Troy (R)27.4%2.0
7. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (R)21.1%2.0
8. Ildemaro Vargas (R)22.9%2.0
9. LuJames Groover (R)22.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-110-120
BOVBovada-115-125
DKDraftKings-110-121
We project 5.8 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate25.3% Hits / BF
vs LHB25.3%
vs RHB24.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.5%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.1 BF
Expected batters faced23.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.9 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.2% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. George Springer (R)22.2%3.0
2. Nathan Lukes (L)26.5%3.0
3. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)24.6%3.0
4. Kazuma Okamoto (R)22.7%3.0
5. Daulton Varsho (L)23.1%3.0
6. Alejandro Kirk (R)22.3%2.1
7. Davis Schneider (R)20.5%2.0
8. Andrés Giménez (L)22.6%2.0
9. Luis Urías (R)24.4%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-110-120
BOVBovada-110-130
DKDraftKings-105-126
We project 5.9 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate26.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.1%
vs RHB27.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.1%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.9 BF
Expected batters faced23.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection6.7 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.3% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Nate Eaton (R)24.5%3.0
2. Ceddanne Rafaela (R)23.7%3.0
3. Wilyer Abreu (L)27.9%3.0
4. Willson Contreras (R)22.0%3.0
5. Caleb Durbin (R)22.7%3.0
6. Anthony Seigler (R)23.9%2.9
7. Andruw Monasterio (R)20.9%2.0
8. Connor Wong (R)20.5%2.0
9. Carlos Narváez (R)23.7%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 6.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-145+105
DKDraftKings-143+107
FANFanatics-135-105
We project 6.7 H vs the 6.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
32 with a HLive count — updates as games play
1
Kyle FreelandP
COLvsBOS· proj #32
11HFinal
2
Rhett LowderP
CINvsMIL· proj #10
8HFinal
T2
Joe RyanP
MINvsLAD· proj #20
8HFinal
T2
Noah CameronP
KC@TB· proj #23
8HFinal
T2
Matthew LiberatoreP
STLvsAZ· proj #30
8HFinal
6
Nolan McLeanP
NYMvsCHC· proj #9
7HFinal
T6
Ranger SuarezP
BOS@COL· proj #11
7HFinal
8
Sean ManaeaP
NYMvsCHC· proj #5
6HFinal
T8
José SorianoP
LAAvsBAL· proj #16
6HFinal
T8
Ryan WeathersP
NYY@DET· proj #19
6HFinal
T8
Bryan WooP
SEA@PIT· proj #21
6HFinal
12
Javier AssadP
CHC@NYM· proj #3
5HFinal
T12
Shane DrohanP
MIL@CIN· proj #4
5HFinal
T12
Erick FeddeP
CWSvsCLE· proj #6
5HFinal
T12
Griffin JaxP
TBvsKC· proj #7
5HFinal
T12
Braxton AshcraftP
PITvsSEA· proj #24
5HFinal
T12
Shohei OhtaniTWP
LAD@MIN· 2-for-5· proj #27
5HFinal
T12
JP SearsP
SDvsATL· proj #29
5HFinal
19
Martín PérezP
ATL@SD· proj #2
4HFinal
T19
Jacob deGromP
TEX@MIA· proj #14
4HFinal
T19
Shota ImanagaP
CHC@NYM· proj #15
4HFinal
T19
Tarik SkubalP
DETvsNYY· proj #26
4HFinal
23
Gage JumpP
ATH@SF· proj #1
3HFinal
T23
Tanner BibeeP
CLE@CWS· proj #8
3HFinal
T23
Eury PérezP
MIAvsTEX· proj #13
3HFinal
T23
Trey GibsonP
BAL@LAA· proj #17
3HFinal
T23
Aaron NolaP
PHI@WSH· proj #22
3HFinal
28
Trey YesavageP
TORvsHOU· proj #12
2HFinal
T28
Carson PalmquistP
WSHvsPHI· proj #18
2HFinal
T28
Mitch BrattP
AZ@STL· proj #25
2HFinal
T28
Tyler MahleP
SFvsATH· proj #28
2HFinal
T28
Mike BurrowsP
HOU@TOR· proj #31
2HFinal
How the board graded
Share of our top-ranked hitters that hit the mark, next to the season-to-date rate.
Top 5
2/540%
season 43%-3 pts-26% ROI
Top 10
2/922%
season 46%-24 pts-21% ROI
Top 20
6/1833%
season building
Top 50
12/2941%
season building
Full slate
12/2941%
season 48%-7 pts-15% ROI
“Hit” is the green check on the card — the mark. Pools are our pre-game top-ranked matchups; only settled (final) outcomes count. Season-to-date is every graded day this season.
Best MLB Hits Allowed Matchups — Wednesday, June 24, 2026
Gage Jump (ATH) is the top hits allowed spot on the Wednesday, June 24, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 4.7 H, with Martín Pérez (ATL) right behind. Every starter is ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow — his hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. It's the read DFS and pitcher-prop players make before lock.
Top spot: Gage Jump
Gage Jump (ATH) tops the Wednesday, June 24, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 4.7 H vs SF. His hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes.
The rest of the top of the board
Martín Pérez (ATL) (100) — about 3.9 H vs SD.
Javier Assad (CHC) (100) — about 3.4 H vs NYM.
Shane Drohan (MIL) (100) — about 3.9 H vs CIN.
Sean Manaea (NYM) (86) — about 4.2 H vs CHC.
Erick Fedde (CWS) (79) — about 4.5 H vs CLE.
How it played out
The top 10 starts averaged 5.1 H. Gage Jump finished with 3. Every projection is graded against the box score.
How to read the hits allowed board
Each starter's score (0–100) ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow — his hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. We project a hits allowed count for the start and grade it against what actually happened.
Which pitcher has the best hits allowed matchup today (Wednesday, June 24, 2026)?
Gage Jump (ATH) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 4.7 H against SF.
What are the best pitcher hits allowed props today?
The top projected starts on Wednesday, June 24, 2026: Gage Jump (~4.7 H), Martín Pérez (~3.9 H), Javier Assad (~3.4 H), Shane Drohan (~3.9 H), Sean Manaea (~4.2 H). The full board ranks every starter.
How is the hits allowed score calculated?
Ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow — his hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected hits allowed count alongside, and graded against the box score.
Can I use this for pitcher props or DFS?
Yes — the board surfaces the best hits allowed spots and projects a number. Where there's a posted line we show the over/under and which side our projection leans. We show the data and grade it, not picks.
