MatchWiz Plays
Hits Allowed · Thursday, June 25, 2026

SEA @ PIT Hits Allowed matchups · Thursday, June 25, 2026

SEA
SEA
Seattle Mariners
15
Final
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
PIT
PNC ParkElevation 780 ftCenter Field 399 ft 75°F OvercastWind 11 mph, Out To LF

SEA Bryce Miller · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.2% Hits / BF

vs LHB19.3%
vs RHB20.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)21.4%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.0 BF

Expected batters faced21.0
From recent starts7

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.2 H

Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-150+110
BOVBovada-155+115
DKDraftKings-153+115

We project 4.2 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

PIT lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Jake Mangum (L)27.4%3.0 PA
2Brandon Lowe (L)23.0%3.0 PA
3Bryan Reynolds (L)24.1%3.0 PA
4Nick Gonzales (R)25.6%2.0 PA
5Ryan O'Hearn (L)23.8%2.0 PA
6Esmerlyn Valdez (R)22.5%2.0 PA
7Tyler Callihan (L)21.7%2.0 PA
8Jared Triolo (R)19.1%2.0 PA
9Henry Davis (R)16.3%2.0 PA

PIT Bubba Chandler · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.4% Hits / BF

vs LHB20.7%
vs RHB19.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.4%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.2 BF

Expected batters faced22.2
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.2 H

Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-115-115
BOVBovada-125-115
DKDraftKings-118-113
FANFanatics-120-120

We project 4.2 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

SEA lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1J.P. Crawford (L)20.2%3.0 PA
2Cal Raleigh (L)18.4%3.0 PA
3Julio Rodríguez (R)22.6%3.0 PA
4Josh Naylor (L)21.6%3.0 PA
5Randy Arozarena (R)23.0%2.2 PA
6Luke Raley (L)21.3%2.0 PA
7Cole Young (L)23.5%2.0 PA
8Mitch Garver (R)17.7%2.0 PA
9Colt Emerson (L)23.0%2.0 PA