Best MLB hits allowed matchups — Thursday, June 25, 2026
Every starting pitcher on the Thursday, June 25, 2026 slate, scored — ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow. His hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. Results show how each call played out.
PROJSome lineups aren't official yet — 2 starts use an opposing lineup projected from that team's last game. The strikeout projection updates automatically once the official lineup posts, ~2 hours before first pitch.
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#Pitcher · MatchupScore
Pitcher hits allowed Rate24.8% Hits / BF
vs LHB19.4%
vs RHB28.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.7%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload9.8 BF
Expected batters faced9.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.3 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.9% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Carter Jensen (L)22.9%1.8
2. Nick Loftin (R)22.6%1.0
3. Jac Caglianone (L)23.3%1.0
4. Lane Thomas (R)19.9%1.0
5. Josh Rojas (L)22.5%1.0
6. Salvador Perez (R)20.2%1.0
7. Isaac Collins (L)20.6%1.0
8. Starling Marte (R)23.1%1.0
9. Tyler Tolbert (R)21.8%1.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate24.3% Hits / BF
vs LHB25.3%
vs RHB21.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.2%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.2 BF
Expected batters faced23.2
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.3 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness20.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Ketel Marte (L)24.6%3.0
2. Geraldo Perdomo (L)20.2%3.0
3. Corbin Carroll (L)21.1%3.0
4. Adrian Del Castillo (L)20.6%3.0
5. Max Kepler (L)20.4%3.0
6. Pavin Smith (L)18.6%2.2
7. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (R)21.9%2.0
8. Ildemaro Vargas (L)21.0%2.0
9. Tommy Troy (R)17.7%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada+100-140
DKDraftKings+102-135
FANFanatics+115-165
We project 5.3 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.2% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.4%
vs RHB20.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.4%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload19.4 BF
Expected batters faced19.4
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.3 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.1% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Kevin McGonigle (L)23.1%3.0
2. Kerry Carpenter (L)21.2%2.4
3. Dillon Dingler (R)26.5%2.0
4. Riley Greene (L)23.5%2.0
5. Colt Keith (L)23.5%2.0
6. Spencer Torkelson (R)19.6%2.0
7. Zach McKinstry (L)20.8%2.0
8. James Outman (L)17.2%2.0
9. Hao-Yu Lee (R)23.8%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+105-140
BOVBovada-120-120
DKDraftKings-113-117
FANFanatics-105-135
We project 4.3 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.1%
vs RHB19.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.6%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.4 BF
Expected batters faced23.4
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.4 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.4% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Masataka Yoshida (L)22.5%3.0
2. Ceddanne Rafaela (R)24.4%3.0
3. Wilyer Abreu (L)21.7%3.0
4. Willson Contreras (R)23.0%3.0
5. Jarren Duran (L)19.8%3.0
6. Caleb Durbin (R)22.7%2.4
7. Anthony Seigler (L)20.8%2.0
8. Carlos Narváez (R)18.7%2.0
9. Marcelo Mayer (L)19.3%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+110-150
BOVBovada+120-160
DKDraftKings+119-158
We project 4.4 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.4% Hits / BF
vs LHB24.2%
vs RHB20.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.7%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.9 BF
Expected batters faced22.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.5 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.4% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. George Springer (R)22.4%3.0
2. Ernie Clement (R)22.7%3.0
3. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)23.6%3.0
4. Kazuma Okamoto (R)21.3%3.0
5. Alejandro Kirk (R)22.2%2.9
6. Nathan Lukes (L)19.6%2.0
7. Davis Schneider (R)18.6%2.0
8. Myles Straw (R)21.3%2.0
9. Luis Urías (R)21.1%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+130-175
BOVBovada+110-150
DKDraftKings+112-149
We project 4.5 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.3% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.5%
vs RHB24.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.4%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.1 BF
Expected batters faced21.1
From recent starts5
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.7 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.4% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Carson Benge (L)23.7%3.0
2. Bo Bichette (R)24.7%3.0
3. Juan Soto (L)24.6%3.0
4. Mark Vientos (R)25.8%2.1
5. Francisco Alvarez (R)22.7%2.0
6. A.J. Ewing (L)18.8%2.0
7. Ronny Mauricio (R)20.1%2.0
8. MJ Melendez (L)21.8%2.0
9. Brett Baty (L)19.6%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+100-135
BOVBovada-110-130
DKDraftKings-104-127
FANFanatics-105-135
We project 4.7 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB19.8%
vs RHB23.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.7 BF
Expected batters faced22.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.0 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Joc Pederson (L)21.4%3.0
2. Wyatt Langford (R)24.6%3.0
3. Corey Seager (L)21.2%3.0
4. Brandon Nimmo (L)26.3%3.0
5. Jake Burger (R)23.8%2.7
6. Ezequiel Duran (R)22.9%2.0
7. Alejandro Osuna (L)21.6%2.0
8. Kyle Higashioka (R)19.3%2.0
9. Nicky Lopez (L)23.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-150+110
BOVBovada-155+115
DKDraftKings-153+115
FANFanatics-170+120
We project 5.0 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.1% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.0%
vs RHB23.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.5 BF
Expected batters faced22.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.0 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Henry Bolte (R)23.1%3.0
2. Nick Kurtz (L)23.5%3.0
3. Shea Langeliers (R)21.1%3.0
4. Tyler Soderstrom (L)22.9%3.0
5. Jonah Heim (L)21.8%2.5
6. Lawrence Butler (L)21.5%2.0
7. Max Muncy (R)23.0%2.0
8. Jeff McNeil (L)22.5%2.0
9. Alika Williams (R)23.6%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-165+125
DKDraftKings-165+124
FANFanatics-165+115
We project 5.0 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.4% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.6%
vs RHB22.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.4%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.6 BF
Expected batters faced23.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.2 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.3% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)26.8%3.0
2. Michael Conforto (L)19.0%3.0
3. Michael Busch (L)20.9%3.0
4. Alex Bregman (R)21.6%3.0
5. Ian Happ (L)20.5%3.0
6. Nico Hoerner (R)20.2%2.6
7. Pedro Ramírez (L)22.5%2.0
8. Miguel Amaya (R)21.7%2.0
9. Dansby Swanson (R)18.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-130-105
BOVBovada-125-115
DKDraftKings-117-113
We project 5.2 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.2% Hits / BF
vs LHB17.7%
vs RHB23.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.4%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.2 BF
Expected batters faced24.2
From recent starts5
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.2 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Jeremy Peña (R)24.6%3.0
2. Yordan Alvarez (L)27.4%3.0
3. Isaac Paredes (R)21.8%3.0
4. Christian Walker (R)20.5%3.0
5. Jose Altuve (R)22.2%3.0
6. Joey Loperfido (L)21.0%3.0
7. Cam Smith (R)21.9%2.3
8. Taylor Trammell (L)23.2%2.0
9. Christian Vázquez (R)19.8%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-125
BOVBovada-115-125
DKDraftKings-109-121
We project 5.2 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.9% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.1%
vs RHB24.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.3%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.4 BF
Expected batters faced22.4
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.4 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.0% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Matt Chapman (R)21.3%3.0
2. Bryce Eldridge (L)23.8%3.0
3. Casey Schmitt (R)26.7%3.0
4. Rafael Devers (L)20.4%3.0
5. Willy Adames (R)18.6%2.4
6. Jung Hoo Lee (L)25.9%2.0
7. Victor Bericoto (R)22.5%2.0
8. Daniel Susac (R)25.1%2.0
9. Jonah Cox (R)22.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+105-140
BOVBovada+120-160
DKDraftKings+119-159
We project 5.4 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.1% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.2%
vs RHB23.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.2%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.5 BF
Expected batters faced24.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.5 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.9% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Paul Goldschmidt (R)28.4%3.0
2. Ben Rice (L)21.4%3.0
3. Amed Rosario (R)21.8%3.0
4. Cody Bellinger (L)24.1%3.0
5. Jasson Domínguez (R)24.0%3.0
6. Anthony Volpe (R)24.0%3.0
7. Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L)21.6%2.5
8. José Caballero (R)21.5%2.0
9. Austin Wells (L)19.2%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+115-155
BOVBovada+100-140
DKDraftKings+102-136
FANFanatics+115-165
We project 5.5 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.4% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.7%
vs RHB19.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.4%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.2 BF
Expected batters faced22.2
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.2 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.3% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. J.P. Crawford (L)20.2%3.0
2. Cal Raleigh (L)18.4%3.0
3. Julio Rodríguez (R)22.6%3.0
4. Josh Naylor (L)21.6%3.0
5. Randy Arozarena (R)23.0%2.2
6. Luke Raley (L)21.3%2.0
7. Cole Young (L)23.5%2.0
8. Mitch Garver (R)17.7%2.0
9. Colt Emerson (L)23.0%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-115-115
BOVBovada-125-115
DKDraftKings-118-113
FANFanatics-120-120
We project 4.2 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.2% Hits / BF
vs LHB19.3%
vs RHB20.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)21.4%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.0 BF
Expected batters faced21.0
From recent starts7
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.2 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Jake Mangum (L)27.4%3.0
2. Brandon Lowe (L)23.0%3.0
3. Bryan Reynolds (L)24.1%3.0
4. Nick Gonzales (R)25.6%2.0
5. Ryan O'Hearn (L)23.8%2.0
6. Esmerlyn Valdez (R)22.5%2.0
7. Tyler Callihan (L)21.7%2.0
8. Jared Triolo (R)19.1%2.0
9. Henry Davis (R)16.3%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-150+110
BOVBovada-155+115
DKDraftKings-153+115
We project 4.2 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate24.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB24.3%
vs RHB23.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.1%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.0 BF
Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.8 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Trea Turner (R)23.4%3.0
2. Kyle Schwarber (L)21.3%3.0
3. Bryce Harper (L)24.7%3.0
4. Brandon Marsh (L)27.1%3.0
5. Alec Bohm (R)23.2%3.0
6. Bryson Stott (L)23.3%2.0
7. J.T. Realmuto (R)21.4%2.0
8. Gabriel Rincones Jr. (L)22.5%2.0
9. Justin Crawford (L)24.6%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+110-150
BOVBovada-115-125
DKDraftKings-109-122
FANFanatics+100-140
We project 5.8 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.0% Hits / BF
vs LHB19.1%
vs RHB24.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.7%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload25.8 BF
Expected batters faced25.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection6.0 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.3% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. James Wood (L)22.7%3.0
2. Curtis Mead (R)21.8%3.0
3. Andrés Chaparro (R)20.9%3.0
4. Dylan Crews (R)25.5%3.0
5. Daylen Lile (L)22.4%3.0
6. Jacob Young (R)20.9%3.0
7. Nasim Nuñez (R)24.5%3.0
8. Jorbit Vivas (L)25.1%2.8
9. Keibert Ruiz (R)26.1%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-130-105
BOVBovada-140+100
DKDraftKings-137+104
We project 6.0 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.2% Hits / BF
vs LHB24.6%
vs RHB21.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.1%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.9 BF
Expected batters faced22.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.6 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Yandy Díaz (R)27.3%3.0
2. Jonathan Aranda (L)25.6%3.0
3. Junior Caminero (R)23.8%3.0
4. Richie Palacios (L)21.1%3.0
5. Chandler Simpson (L)26.0%2.9
6. Cedric Mullins (L)20.0%2.0
7. Taylor Walls (L)20.9%2.0
8. Victor Mesa Jr. (L)18.7%2.0
9. Hunter Feduccia (L)20.4%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+100-135
BOVBovada-110-130
DKDraftKings-108-123
FANFanatics-115-125
We project 5.6 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate27.8% Hits / BF
vs LHB28.8%
vs RHB24.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.9 BF
Expected batters faced23.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection6.7 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.8% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. JJ Wetherholt (L)24.2%3.0
2. Iván Herrera (R)22.7%3.0
3. Alec Burleson (L)27.9%3.0
4. Jordan Walker (R)22.8%3.0
5. Lars Nootbaar (L)23.5%3.0
6. Masyn Winn (R)22.3%2.9
7. Nathan Church (L)24.9%2.0
8. Blaze Jordan (R)22.5%2.0
9. José Fermín (R)23.7%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 6.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada+115-155
DKDraftKings+117-156
We project 6.7 H vs the 6.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
15 with a HLive count — updates as games play
1
Kevin GausmanP
TORvsTEX· proj #7
10HFinal
2
Cristopher SánchezP
PHI@WSH· proj #16
7HFinal
T2
Seth LugoP
KC@TB· proj #17
7HFinal
4
Landen RouppP
SFvsATH· proj #8
6HFinal
5
Cam SchlittlerP
NYY@BOS· proj #4
5HFinal
T5
Freddy PeraltaP
NYMvsCHC· proj #9
5HFinal
T5
Connelly EarlyP
BOSvsNYY· proj #12
5HFinal
T5
Bubba ChandlerP
PITvsSEA· proj #13
5HFinal
T5
Bryce MillerP
SEA@PIT· proj #14
5HFinal
T5
Cade CavalliP
WSHvsPHI· proj #15
5HFinal
11
MacKenzie GoreP
TEX@TOR· proj #5
4HFinal
T11
Matthew BoydP
CHC@NYM· proj #6
4HFinal
13
Jeffrey SpringsP
ATH@SF· proj #11
3HFinal
14
Tatsuya ImaiP
HOU@DET· proj #3
2HFinal
T14
Troy MeltonP
DETvsHOU· proj #10
2HFinal
How the board graded
Share of our top-ranked hitters that hit the mark, next to the season-to-date rate.
Top 5
3/3100%
season 43%+57 pts-26% ROI
Top 10
7/888%
season 46%+42 pts-21% ROI
Top 20
10/1567%
season building
Top 50
10/1567%
season building
Full slate
10/1567%
season 48%+19 pts-15% ROI
“Hit” is the green check on the card — the mark. Pools are our pre-game top-ranked matchups; only settled (final) outcomes count. Season-to-date is every graded day this season.
Best MLB Hits Allowed Matchups — Thursday, June 25, 2026
Casey Legumina (TB) is the top hits allowed spot on the Thursday, June 25, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 2.3 H, with Michael McGreevy (STL) right behind. Every starter is ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow — his hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. It's the read DFS and pitcher-prop players make before lock.
Top spot: Casey Legumina
Casey Legumina (TB) tops the Thursday, June 25, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 2.3 H vs KC. His hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes.
The rest of the top of the board
Michael McGreevy (STL) (100) — about 5.3 H vs AZ.
Tatsuya Imai (HOU) (100) — about 4.3 H vs DET.
Cam Schlittler (NYY) (100) — about 4.4 H vs BOS.
MacKenzie Gore (TEX) (97) — about 4.5 H vs TOR.
Matthew Boyd (CHC) (87) — about 4.7 H vs NYM.
How it played out
The top 10 starts averaged 4.2 H. Casey Legumina finished with 0. Every projection is graded against the box score.
How to read the hits allowed board
Each starter's score (0–100) ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow — his hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. We project a hits allowed count for the start and grade it against what actually happened.
Which pitcher has the best hits allowed matchup today (Thursday, June 25, 2026)?
Casey Legumina (TB) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 2.3 H against KC.
What are the best pitcher hits allowed props today?
The top projected starts on Thursday, June 25, 2026: Casey Legumina (~2.3 H), Michael McGreevy (~5.3 H), Tatsuya Imai (~4.3 H), Cam Schlittler (~4.4 H), MacKenzie Gore (~4.5 H). The full board ranks every starter.
How is the hits allowed score calculated?
Ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow — his hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected hits allowed count alongside, and graded against the box score.
Can I use this for pitcher props or DFS?
Yes — the board surfaces the best hits allowed spots and projects a number. Where there's a posted line we show the over/under and which side our projection leans. We show the data and grade it, not picks.
