‹ Hits Allowed · Thursday, June 25, 2026
CHC @ NYM Hits Allowed matchups · Thursday, June 25, 2026
CHC
Chicago Cubs
4–3
Final
NYM
New York Mets
◆ Citi FieldElevation 10 ftCenter Field 408 ft☀ 76°F Partly CloudyWind 12 mph, Out To LF
Matthew Boyd · LHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.3% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.5%
vs RHB24.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.4%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.1 BF
Expected batters faced21.1
From recent starts5
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.7 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+100-135
BOVBovada-110-130
DKDraftKings-104-127
FANFanatics-105-135
We project 4.7 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
NYM lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Carson Benge (L)23.7%3.0 PA
2Bo Bichette (R)24.7%3.0 PA
3Juan Soto (L)24.6%3.0 PA
4Mark Vientos (R)25.8%2.1 PA
5Francisco Alvarez (R)22.7%2.0 PA
6A.J. Ewing (L)18.8%2.0 PA
7Ronny Mauricio (R)20.1%2.0 PA
8MJ Melendez (L)21.8%2.0 PA
9Brett Baty (L)19.6%2.0 PA
Freddy Peralta · RHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.4% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.6%
vs RHB22.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.4%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.6 BF
Expected batters faced23.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.2 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-130-105
BOVBovada-125-115
DKDraftKings-117-113
We project 5.2 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
CHC lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)26.8%3.0 PA
2Michael Conforto (L)19.0%3.0 PA
3Michael Busch (L)20.9%3.0 PA
4Alex Bregman (R)21.6%3.0 PA
5Ian Happ (L)20.5%3.0 PA
6Nico Hoerner (R)20.2%2.6 PA
7Pedro Ramírez (L)22.5%2.0 PA
8Miguel Amaya (R)21.7%2.0 PA
9Dansby Swanson (R)18.5%2.0 PA