MatchWiz Plays
Hits Allowed · Thursday, June 25, 2026

HOU @ DET Hits Allowed matchups · Thursday, June 25, 2026

HOU
HOU
Houston Astros
21
Final
DET
Detroit Tigers
DET
Comerica ParkElevation 600 ftCenter Field 420 ft 77°F Partly CloudyWind 9 mph, Out To LF

HOU Tatsuya Imai · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.2% Hits / BF

vs LHB23.4%
vs RHB20.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.4%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload19.4 BF

Expected batters faced19.4
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.3 H

Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+105-140
BOVBovada-120-120
DKDraftKings-113-117
FANFanatics-105-135

We project 4.3 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

DET lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Kevin McGonigle (L)23.1%3.0 PA
2Kerry Carpenter (L)21.2%2.4 PA
3Dillon Dingler (R)26.5%2.0 PA
4Riley Greene (L)23.5%2.0 PA
5Colt Keith (L)23.5%2.0 PA
6Spencer Torkelson (R)19.6%2.0 PA
7Zach McKinstry (L)20.8%2.0 PA
8James Outman (L)17.2%2.0 PA
9Hao-Yu Lee (R)23.8%2.0 PA

DET Troy Melton · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.2% Hits / BF

vs LHB17.7%
vs RHB23.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.4%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.2 BF

Expected batters faced24.2
From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.2 H

Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-125
BOVBovada-115-125
DKDraftKings-109-121

We project 5.2 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

HOU lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Jeremy Peña (R)24.6%3.0 PA
2Yordan Alvarez (L)27.4%3.0 PA
3Isaac Paredes (R)21.8%3.0 PA
4Christian Walker (R)20.5%3.0 PA
5Jose Altuve (R)22.2%3.0 PA
6Joey Loperfido (L)21.0%3.0 PA
7Cam Smith (R)21.9%2.3 PA
8Taylor Trammell (L)23.2%2.0 PA
9Christian Vázquez (R)19.8%2.0 PA