MatchWiz Plays
Hits Allowed · Friday, June 26, 2026

ATL @ SF Hits Allowed matchups · Friday, June 26, 2026

ATL
ATL
Atlanta Braves
31
Final
SF
San Francisco Giants
SF
Oracle ParkElevation 0 ftCenter Field 391 ft 62°F OvercastWind 15 mph, Out To CF

ATL Reynaldo López · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.1% Hits / BF

vs LHB19.3%
vs RHB22.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.1%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload11.5 BF

Expected batters faced11.5
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.6 H

Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Hits Allowed Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
BOVBovada+100-140
DKDraftKings+101-134

We project 2.6 H vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

SF lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Luis Arraez (L)27.8%2.0 PA
2Bryce Eldridge (L)23.2%2.0 PA
3Casey Schmitt (R)26.6%1.6 PA
4Rafael Devers (L)22.9%1.0 PA
5Jung Hoo Lee (L)26.8%1.0 PA
6Willy Adames (R)22.1%1.0 PA
7Matt Chapman (R)20.9%1.0 PA
8Drew Cavanaugh (L)22.5%1.0 PA
9Victor Bericoto (R)22.5%1.0 PA

SF Trevor McDonald · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.6% Hits / BF

vs LHB25.5%
vs RHB17.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.2%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.4 H

Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
BOVBovada+110-150
DKDraftKings+111-147
FANFanatics+105-150

We project 5.4 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

ATL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Michael Harris II (L)26.9%3.0 PA
2Mauricio Dubón (R)24.8%3.0 PA
3Matt Olson (L)22.7%3.0 PA
4Ozzie Albies (L)22.1%3.0 PA
5Drake Baldwin (L)21.8%2.7 PA
6Austin Riley (R)20.1%2.0 PA
7Dominic Smith (L)24.8%2.0 PA
8Mike Yastrzemski (L)22.3%2.0 PA
9Ha-Seong Kim (R)18.6%2.0 PA