Best MLB hits allowed matchups — Friday, June 26, 2026
Every starting pitcher on the Friday, June 26, 2026 slate, scored — ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow. His hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. Results show how each call played out.
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload11.5 BF
Expected batters faced11.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.6 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.9% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Luis Arraez (L)27.8%2.0
2. Bryce Eldridge (L)23.2%2.0
3. Casey Schmitt (R)26.6%1.6
4. Rafael Devers (L)22.9%1.0
5. Jung Hoo Lee (L)26.8%1.0
6. Willy Adames (R)22.1%1.0
7. Matt Chapman (R)20.9%1.0
8. Drew Cavanaugh (L)22.5%1.0
9. Victor Bericoto (R)22.5%1.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada+100-140
DKDraftKings+101-134
We project 2.6 H vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.8% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.8%
vs RHB21.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.6%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload9.9 BF
Expected batters faced9.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.2 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.2% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Sam Antonacci (L)25.0%1.9
2. Miguel Vargas (R)19.0%1.0
3. Kyle Teel (L)21.8%1.0
4. Andrew Benintendi (L)22.2%1.0
5. Colson Montgomery (L)19.5%1.0
6. Chase Meidroth (R)21.8%1.0
7. Braden Montgomery (L)22.5%1.0
8. Tristan Peters (L)25.1%1.0
9. Jacob Gonzalez (L)22.5%1.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.3% Hits / BF
vs LHB26.0%
vs RHB21.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload17.3 BF
Expected batters faced17.3
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection3.8 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Taylor Ward (R)23.6%2.0
2. Gunnar Henderson (L)22.6%2.0
3. Pete Alonso (R)20.8%2.0
4. Coby Mayo (R)24.2%2.0
5. Tyler O'Neill (R)19.4%2.0
6. Samuel Basallo (L)20.3%2.0
7. Leody Taveras (R)20.9%2.0
8. Jackson Holliday (L)19.7%2.0
9. Blaze Alexander (R)21.9%1.3
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-125
DKDraftKings-109-121
We project 3.8 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.4% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.0%
vs RHB19.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)23.7%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.6 BF
Expected batters faced23.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.4 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness20.9% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Blake Dunn (R)22.3%3.0
2. Elly De La Cruz (L)23.2%3.0
3. JJ Bleday (L)20.4%3.0
4. Sal Stewart (R)20.1%3.0
5. Nathaniel Lowe (L)23.3%3.0
6. Eugenio Suárez (R)20.9%2.6
7. Spencer Steer (R)19.1%2.0
8. Tyler Stephenson (R)21.6%2.0
9. Matt McLain (R)17.4%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+115-155
FANFanatics+125-180
We project 4.4 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.0%
vs RHB21.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.7%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.3 BF
Expected batters faced22.3
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.6 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.0% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Randy Arozarena (R)22.7%3.0
2. Julio Rodríguez (R)21.2%3.0
3. Cal Raleigh (R)19.6%3.0
4. Dominic Canzone (L)22.0%3.0
5. Josh Naylor (L)24.4%2.3
6. J.P. Crawford (L)20.5%2.0
7. Rob Refsnyder (R)19.1%2.0
8. Cole Young (L)21.0%2.0
9. Colt Emerson (L)18.3%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-125
BOVBovada-105-135
DKDraftKings-101-131
FANFanatics+100-140
We project 4.6 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate15.7% Hits / BF
vs LHB14.7%
vs RHB19.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.7%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.3 BF
Expected batters faced24.3
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.1 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.8% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)26.8%3.0
2. Alex Bregman (R)21.6%3.0
3. Michael Busch (L)20.9%3.0
4. Seiya Suzuki (R)23.4%3.0
5. Ian Happ (L)20.5%3.0
6. Nico Hoerner (R)20.2%3.0
7. Carson Kelly (R)22.7%2.3
8. Matt Shaw (R)21.9%2.0
9. Dansby Swanson (R)18.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-125
BOVBovada+115-155
DKDraftKings+115-153
We project 4.1 H vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate18.2% Hits / BF
vs LHB19.8%
vs RHB17.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)21.3%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.6 BF
Expected batters faced23.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.6 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Carson Benge (L)22.5%3.0
2. Juan Soto (L)24.5%3.0
3. Bo Bichette (R)24.5%3.0
4. Francisco Lindor (L)22.7%3.0
5. Jared Young (L)20.3%3.0
6. A.J. Ewing (L)25.0%2.6
7. Ronny Mauricio (L)23.0%2.0
8. Brett Baty (L)20.5%2.0
9. Luis Torrens (R)20.8%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-145+105
BOVBovada-135-105
DKDraftKings-132-101
FANFanatics-140+100
We project 4.6 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.9% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.6%
vs RHB21.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.7 BF
Expected batters faced23.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.8 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Kevin McGonigle (L)23.1%3.0
2. Dillon Dingler (R)26.5%3.0
3. Kerry Carpenter (L)21.2%3.0
4. Riley Greene (L)23.5%3.0
5. Spencer Torkelson (R)19.6%3.0
6. Colt Keith (L)23.5%2.7
7. Zach McKinstry (L)20.8%2.0
8. Matt Vierling (R)18.0%2.0
9. James Outman (L)17.2%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-120-110
BOVBovada-135-105
DKDraftKings-129-103
FANFanatics-140+100
We project 4.8 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.2% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.8%
vs RHB22.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.4%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.5 BF
Expected batters faced21.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.8 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.0% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Jeremy Peña (R)24.6%3.0
2. Yordan Alvarez (L)27.4%3.0
3. Isaac Paredes (R)21.8%3.0
4. Christian Walker (R)20.5%2.5
5. Jose Altuve (R)22.2%2.0
6. Joey Loperfido (L)21.0%2.0
7. Yainer Diaz (R)24.0%2.0
8. Cam Smith (R)21.9%2.0
9. Taylor Trammell (L)23.2%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada+120-160
DKDraftKings+119-158
We project 4.8 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.5%
vs RHB22.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.0 BF
Expected batters faced22.0
From recent starts1
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.8 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.0% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Trea Turner (R)21.0%3.0
2. Kyle Schwarber (L)23.9%3.0
3. Bryce Harper (L)20.7%3.0
4. Alec Bohm (R)21.7%3.0
5. Brandon Marsh (L)22.2%2.0
6. Derek Hill (R)22.1%2.0
7. J.T. Realmuto (R)19.3%2.0
8. Bryson Stott (L)23.7%2.0
9. Edmundo Sosa (R)23.7%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-140+105
BOVBovada-160+120
DKDraftKings-161+121
We project 4.8 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate24.2% Hits / BF
vs LHB24.1%
vs RHB23.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload20.5 BF
Expected batters faced20.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.9 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.1% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Travis Bazzana (L)25.9%3.0
2. Kyle Manzardo (L)21.6%3.0
3. Brayan Rocchio (L)22.9%2.5
4. Kahlil Watson (L)22.5%2.0
5. Cooper Ingle (L)22.5%2.0
6. Daniel Schneemann (L)19.2%2.0
7. Steven Kwan (L)19.9%2.0
8. Patrick Bailey (L)22.5%2.0
9. Petey Halpin (L)22.4%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+105-140
BOVBovada-115-125
DKDraftKings-109-121
We project 4.9 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB18.9%
vs RHB23.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.6 BF
Expected batters faced22.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.1 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.3% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. James Wood (L)22.7%3.0
2. Curtis Mead (R)21.8%3.0
3. Andrés Chaparro (R)20.9%3.0
4. CJ Abrams (L)24.7%3.0
5. Dylan Crews (R)25.5%2.6
6. Daylen Lile (L)22.4%2.0
7. Jacob Young (R)20.9%2.0
8. Nasim Nuñez (R)24.5%2.0
9. Keibert Ruiz (R)26.1%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-115-115
BOVBovada-110-130
DKDraftKings-106-125
FANFanatics-115-125
We project 5.1 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.9% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.4%
vs RHB22.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)6.1%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.0 BF
Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.1 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Konnor Griffin (R)23.7%3.0
2. Brandon Lowe (L)19.9%3.0
3. Bryan Reynolds (R)26.2%3.0
4. Marcell Ozuna (R)20.4%3.0
5. Ryan O'Hearn (L)23.5%3.0
6. Esmerlyn Valdez (R)22.5%2.0
7. Jared Triolo (R)25.7%2.0
8. Jake Mangum (R)22.9%2.0
9. Henry Davis (R)19.6%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-125
BOVBovada+105-145
DKDraftKings+109-144
We project 5.1 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.0%
vs RHB23.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.6%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.1 BF
Expected batters faced24.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.2 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.1% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Ketel Marte (L)24.6%3.0
2. Geraldo Perdomo (L)20.2%3.0
3. Corbin Carroll (L)21.1%3.0
4. Gabriel Moreno (R)24.7%3.0
5. Nolan Arenado (R)20.8%3.0
6. Max Kepler (L)20.4%3.0
7. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (R)21.9%2.1
8. Pavin Smith (L)18.6%2.0
9. Tommy Troy (R)17.7%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-110-120
BOVBovada-110-130
DKDraftKings-106-125
FANFanatics-130-110
We project 5.2 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.5%
vs RHB22.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.2 BF
Expected batters faced21.2
From recent starts3
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.7 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.3% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Carter Jensen (L)22.9%3.0
2. Bobby Witt Jr. (R)24.3%3.0
3. Jac Caglianone (L)23.3%3.0
4. Lane Thomas (R)19.9%2.2
5. Michael Massey (L)23.9%2.0
6. Salvador Perez (R)20.2%2.0
7. Josh Rojas (L)22.5%2.0
8. Nick Loftin (R)22.6%2.0
9. Isaac Collins (L)20.6%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-105-135
DKDraftKings-102-130
FANFanatics-105-135
We project 4.7 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate24.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB24.4%
vs RHB23.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.3%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.4 BF
Expected batters faced23.4
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.4 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.8% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Mickey Gasper (L)21.1%3.0
2. Ceddanne Rafaela (R)24.4%3.0
3. Wilyer Abreu (L)21.7%3.0
4. Willson Contreras (R)23.0%3.0
5. Jarren Duran (L)19.8%3.0
6. Caleb Durbin (R)22.7%2.4
7. Anthony Seigler (L)20.8%2.0
8. Connor Wong (R)22.8%2.0
9. Tsung-Che Cheng (L)20.1%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-125
BOVBovada-115-125
DKDraftKings-111-120
FANFanatics+110-155
We project 5.4 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.9% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.8%
vs RHB20.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.7%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.9 BF
Expected batters faced23.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.5 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Paul Goldschmidt (R)28.4%3.0
2. Amed Rosario (R)21.8%3.0
3. Cody Bellinger (L)24.1%3.0
4. Jasson Domínguez (R)24.0%3.0
5. José Caballero (R)21.5%3.0
6. Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L)21.6%2.9
7. Anthony Volpe (R)24.0%2.0
8. Spencer Jones (L)22.5%2.0
9. Ali Sánchez (R)25.2%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+105-140
BOVBovada+110-150
DKDraftKings+110-146
We project 5.5 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate26.3% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.2%
vs RHB27.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.2%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.4 BF
Expected batters faced21.4
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.6 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.1% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Wyatt Langford (R)22.1%3.0
2. Josh Jung (R)24.3%3.0
3. Brandon Nimmo (L)22.2%3.0
4. Jake Burger (R)22.6%2.4
5. Justin Foscue (R)24.1%2.0
6. Ezequiel Duran (R)21.2%2.0
7. Kyle Higashioka (R)23.9%2.0
8. Alejandro Osuna (L)23.6%2.0
9. Nicky Lopez (L)24.2%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+120-160
FANFanatics+105-150
We project 5.6 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.3% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.9%
vs RHB18.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.4%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.6 BF
Expected batters faced23.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.8 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Henry Bolte (R)23.1%3.0
2. Nick Kurtz (L)23.5%3.0
3. Shea Langeliers (R)21.1%3.0
4. Tyler Soderstrom (L)22.9%3.0
5. Jonah Heim (L)21.8%3.0
6. Lawrence Butler (L)21.5%2.6
7. Max Muncy (R)23.0%2.0
8. Jeff McNeil (L)22.5%2.0
9. Alika Williams (R)23.6%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-135+100
BOVBovada-150+110
DKDraftKings-146+110
FANFanatics-135-105
We project 4.8 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.4% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.0%
vs RHB22.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.7%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.0 BF
Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.1 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.4% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Jake McCarthy (L)24.3%3.0
2. Mickey Moniak (L)24.6%3.0
3. Hunter Goodman (R)20.9%3.0
4. TJ Rumfield (L)25.9%3.0
5. Willi Castro (L)22.8%3.0
6. Troy Johnston (L)27.2%2.0
7. Cole Carrigg (L)22.5%2.0
8. Ezequiel Tovar (R)21.9%2.0
9. Edouard Julien (L)20.6%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-160+120
BOVBovada-165+125
DKDraftKings-163+123
We project 5.1 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.4% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.5%
vs RHB21.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload25.8 BF
Expected batters faced25.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection6.1 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.8% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. George Springer (R)22.2%3.0
2. Nathan Lukes (L)26.5%3.0
3. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)24.6%3.0
4. Kazuma Okamoto (R)22.7%3.0
5. Daulton Varsho (L)23.1%3.0
6. Ernie Clement (R)25.6%3.0
7. Jesús Sánchez (L)24.5%3.0
8. Brandon Valenzuela (L)22.2%2.8
9. Andrés Giménez (L)22.6%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-140+105
BOVBovada-130-110
DKDraftKings-127-105
We project 6.1 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.9% Hits / BF
vs LHB24.7%
vs RHB17.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.9%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.7 BF
Expected batters faced23.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.1 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.3% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Zach Neto (R)21.5%3.0
2. Nolan Schanuel (L)24.5%3.0
3. Jo Adell (R)23.2%3.0
4. Jorge Soler (R)20.2%3.0
5. Wade Meckler (L)24.9%3.0
6. Denzer Guzman (R)23.7%2.7
7. Donovan Walton (L)29.3%2.0
8. Logan O'Hoppe (R)22.8%2.0
9. Josh Lowe (L)19.9%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-140+105
BOVBovada-130-110
DKDraftKings-127-104
We project 5.1 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate24.1% Hits / BF
vs LHB26.5%
vs RHB20.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.4%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.7 BF
Expected batters faced22.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.4 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Christian Yelich (L)21.9%3.0
2. Jackson Chourio (R)24.1%3.0
3. Brice Turang (L)23.7%3.0
4. William Contreras (R)24.1%3.0
5. Jake Bauers (L)20.2%2.7
6. Andrew Vaughn (R)22.4%2.0
7. Garrett Mitchell (L)24.1%2.0
8. Cooper Pratt (R)22.5%2.0
9. David Hamilton (L)20.1%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+100-135
BOVBovada+105-145
DKDraftKings+106-141
FANFanatics+105-150
We project 5.4 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.2% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.0%
vs RHB23.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.9 BF
Expected batters faced22.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.2 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.2% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)25.2%3.0
2. Samad Taylor (R)26.5%3.0
3. Jackson Merrill (L)20.4%3.0
4. Manny Machado (R)19.7%3.0
5. Gavin Sheets (L)21.2%2.9
6. Xander Bogaerts (R)20.8%2.0
7. Ty France (R)21.4%2.0
8. Will Wagner (L)22.4%2.0
9. Rodolfo Durán (R)22.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-120-110
BOVBovada-125-115
DKDraftKings-120-110
FANFanatics-125-115
We project 5.2 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate24.3% Hits / BF
vs LHB25.3%
vs RHB21.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.2%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.2 BF
Expected batters faced23.2
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.6 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.9% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Jakob Marsee (L)19.8%3.0
2. Griffin Conine (L)21.2%3.0
3. Xavier Edwards (L)24.8%3.0
4. Kyle Stowers (L)21.0%3.0
5. Otto Lopez (R)26.8%3.0
6. Owen Caissie (L)21.0%2.2
7. Joe Mack (L)22.5%2.0
8. Esteury Ruiz (R)21.9%2.0
9. Graham Pauley (L)18.4%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-145+105
DKDraftKings-142+107
We project 5.6 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.7% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.8%
vs RHB23.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.6%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.8 BF
Expected batters faced21.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.3 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.2% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Shohei Ohtani (L)22.9%3.0
2. Andy Pages (R)24.3%3.0
3. Freddie Freeman (L)25.3%3.0
4. Mookie Betts (R)23.6%2.8
5. Max Muncy (L)22.4%2.0
6. Kyle Tucker (L)22.2%2.0
7. Tommy Edman (L)25.0%2.0
8. Dalton Rushing (L)21.3%2.0
9. Alex Freeland (L)22.1%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-155+115
BOVBovada-140+100
DKDraftKings-134+101
We project 5.3 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.9% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.1%
vs RHB22.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.4%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.5 BF
Expected batters faced24.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.7 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.8% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. JJ Wetherholt (L)24.2%3.0
2. Iván Herrera (R)22.7%3.0
3. Alec Burleson (L)27.9%3.0
4. Jordan Walker (R)22.8%3.0
5. Lars Nootbaar (L)23.5%3.0
6. Masyn Winn (R)22.3%3.0
7. Nathan Church (L)24.9%2.5
8. Blaze Jordan (R)22.5%2.0
9. José Fermín (R)23.7%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-115-125
DKDraftKings-109-122
FANFanatics+105-150
We project 5.7 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB25.5%
vs RHB17.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.2%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.7 BF
Expected batters faced22.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.4 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Michael Harris II (L)26.9%3.0
2. Mauricio Dubón (R)24.8%3.0
3. Matt Olson (L)22.7%3.0
4. Ozzie Albies (L)22.1%3.0
5. Drake Baldwin (L)21.8%2.7
6. Austin Riley (R)20.1%2.0
7. Dominic Smith (L)24.8%2.0
8. Mike Yastrzemski (L)22.3%2.0
9. Ha-Seong Kim (R)18.6%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada+110-150
DKDraftKings+111-147
FANFanatics+105-150
We project 5.4 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate24.2% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.6%
vs RHB24.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.1%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.0 BF
Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.7 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.3% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Trevor Larnach (L)25.5%3.0
2. Byron Buxton (R)25.7%3.0
3. Kody Clemens (L)22.1%3.0
4. Josh Bell (L)24.1%3.0
5. Victor Caratini (L)23.0%3.0
6. Royce Lewis (R)20.9%2.0
7. Brooks Lee (L)22.9%2.0
8. Tristan Gray (L)20.9%2.0
9. Luke Keaschall (R)24.6%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-140+105
BOVBovada-135-105
DKDraftKings-129-103
We project 5.7 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate27.8% Hits / BF
vs LHB28.8%
vs RHB24.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.9 BF
Expected batters faced23.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection6.6 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Yandy Díaz (R)27.3%3.0
2. Jonathan Aranda (L)25.6%3.0
3. Junior Caminero (R)23.8%3.0
4. Richie Palacios (L)21.1%3.0
5. Jonny DeLuca (R)25.5%3.0
6. Cedric Mullins (L)20.0%2.9
7. Victor Mesa Jr. (L)18.7%2.0
8. Taylor Walls (L)20.9%2.0
9. Hunter Feduccia (L)20.4%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-135+100
BOVBovada-110-130
DKDraftKings-106-125
We project 6.6 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
29 with a HLive count — updates as games play
1
J.T. GinnP
ATH@LAA· proj #22
8HFinal
T1
Tomoyuki SuganoP
COL@MIN· proj #29
8HFinal
3
Will WarrenP
NYY@BOS· proj #16
7HFinal
T3
Patrick CorbinP
TORvsTEX· proj #18
7HFinal
T3
Trevor McDonaldP
SFvsATL· proj #28
7HFinal
6
Andrew AlvarezP
WSH@BAL· proj #3
6HFinal
T6
Paul SkenesP
PITvsCIN· proj #4
6HFinal
T6
Andrew AbbottP
CIN@PIT· proj #13
6HFinal
T6
Nick MartinezP
TBvsAZ· proj #14
6HFinal
T6
Walbert UreñaP
LAAvsATH· proj #19
6HFinal
11
Spencer ArrighettiP
HOU@DET· proj #8
5HFinal
T11
Keider MonteroP
DETvsHOU· proj #9
5HFinal
T11
Zach ThorntonP
NYMvsPHI· proj #10
5HFinal
T11
Trevor RogersP
BALvsWSH· proj #12
5HFinal
T11
Nathan EovaldiP
TEX@TOR· proj #21
5HFinal
T11
Colin ReaP
CHC@MIL· proj #23
5HFinal
T11
Michael McGreevyP
STLvsMIA· proj #25
5HFinal
18
Reynaldo LópezP
ATL@SF· proj #1
4HFinal
T18
Zack WheelerP
PHI@NYM· proj #7
4HFinal
T18
Luis CastilloP
SEA@CLE· proj #11
4HFinal
T18
Zac GallenP
AZ@TB· proj #30
4HFinal
22
David SandlinP
CWSvsKC· proj #15
3HFinal
T22
Taj BradleyP
MINvsCOL· proj #20
3HFinal
T22
Roki SasakiP
LAD@SD· proj #24
3HFinal
T22
Walker BuehlerP
SDvsLAD· proj #26
3HFinal
26
Joey CantilloP
CLEvsSEA· proj #5
2HFinal
T26
Jacob MisiorowskiP
MILvsCHC· proj #6
2HFinal
T26
Max MeyerP
MIA@STL· proj #27
2HFinal
29
Payton TolleP
BOSvsNYY· proj #17
1HFinal
How the board graded
Share of our top-ranked hitters that hit the mark, next to the season-to-date rate.
Top 5
1/425%
season 43%-18 pts-26% ROI
Top 10
4/944%
season 46%-2 pts-21% ROI
Top 20
8/1942%
season building
Top 50
11/2938%
season building
Full slate
11/2938%
season 48%-10 pts-15% ROI
“Hit” is the green check on the card — the mark. Pools are our pre-game top-ranked matchups; only settled (final) outcomes count. Season-to-date is every graded day this season.
Best MLB Hits Allowed Matchups — Friday, June 26, 2026
Reynaldo López (ATL) is the top hits allowed spot on the Friday, June 26, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 2.6 H, with Steven Cruz (KC) right behind. Every starter is ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow — his hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. It's the read DFS and pitcher-prop players make before lock.
Top spot: Reynaldo López
Reynaldo López (ATL) tops the Friday, June 26, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 2.6 H vs SF. His hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes.
The rest of the top of the board
Steven Cruz (KC) (100) — about 2.2 H vs CWS.
Andrew Alvarez (WSH) (65) — about 3.8 H vs BAL.
Paul Skenes (PIT) (51) — about 4.4 H vs CIN.
Joey Cantillo (CLE) (47) — about 4.6 H vs SEA.
Jacob Misiorowski (MIL) (45) — about 4.1 H vs CHC.
How it played out
The top 10 starts averaged 3.9 H. Reynaldo López finished with 4. Every projection is graded against the box score.
How to read the hits allowed board
Each starter's score (0–100) ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow — his hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. We project a hits allowed count for the start and grade it against what actually happened.
Which pitcher has the best hits allowed matchup today (Friday, June 26, 2026)?
Reynaldo López (ATL) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 2.6 H against SF.
What are the best pitcher hits allowed props today?
The top projected starts on Friday, June 26, 2026: Reynaldo López (~2.6 H), Steven Cruz (~2.2 H), Andrew Alvarez (~3.8 H), Paul Skenes (~4.4 H), Joey Cantillo (~4.6 H). The full board ranks every starter.
How is the hits allowed score calculated?
Ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow — his hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected hits allowed count alongside, and graded against the box score.
Can I use this for pitcher props or DFS?
Yes — the board surfaces the best hits allowed spots and projects a number. Where there's a posted line we show the over/under and which side our projection leans. We show the data and grade it, not picks.
