MatchWiz Plays
Hits Allowed · Friday, June 26, 2026

CIN @ PIT Hits Allowed matchups · Friday, June 26, 2026

CIN
CIN
Cincinnati Reds
64
Final
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
PIT
PNC ParkElevation 780 ftCenter Field 399 ft 73°F Partly CloudyWind 6 mph, Out To LF

CIN Andrew Abbott · LHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.9% Hits / BF

vs LHB22.4%
vs RHB22.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)6.1%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.1 H

Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-125
BOVBovada+105-145
DKDraftKings+109-144

We project 5.1 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

PIT lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Konnor Griffin (R)23.7%3.0 PA
2Brandon Lowe (L)19.9%3.0 PA
3Bryan Reynolds (R)26.2%3.0 PA
4Marcell Ozuna (R)20.4%3.0 PA
5Ryan O'Hearn (L)23.5%3.0 PA
6Esmerlyn Valdez (R)22.5%2.0 PA
7Jared Triolo (R)25.7%2.0 PA
8Jake Mangum (R)22.9%2.0 PA
9Henry Davis (R)19.6%2.0 PA

PIT Paul Skenes · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.4% Hits / BF

vs LHB20.0%
vs RHB19.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)23.7%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.6 BF

Expected batters faced23.6
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.4 H

Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+115-155
FANFanatics+125-180

We project 4.4 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

CIN lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Blake Dunn (R)22.3%3.0 PA
2Elly De La Cruz (L)23.2%3.0 PA
3JJ Bleday (L)20.4%3.0 PA
4Sal Stewart (R)20.1%3.0 PA
5Nathaniel Lowe (L)23.3%3.0 PA
6Eugenio Suárez (R)20.9%2.6 PA
7Spencer Steer (R)19.1%2.0 PA
8Tyler Stephenson (R)21.6%2.0 PA
9Matt McLain (R)17.4%2.0 PA