MatchWiz Plays
Hits Allowed · Friday, June 26, 2026

COL @ MIN Hits Allowed matchups · Friday, June 26, 2026

COL
COL
Colorado Rockies
89
Final
MIN
Minnesota Twins
MIN
Target FieldElevation 828 ftCenter Field 404 ft 78°F Partly CloudyWind 7 mph, R To L

COL Tomoyuki Sugano · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate24.2% Hits / BF

vs LHB23.6%
vs RHB24.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.1%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.7 H

Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-140+105
BOVBovada-135-105
DKDraftKings-129-103

We project 5.7 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

MIN lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Trevor Larnach (L)25.5%3.0 PA
2Byron Buxton (R)25.7%3.0 PA
3Kody Clemens (L)22.1%3.0 PA
4Josh Bell (L)24.1%3.0 PA
5Victor Caratini (L)23.0%3.0 PA
6Royce Lewis (R)20.9%2.0 PA
7Brooks Lee (L)22.9%2.0 PA
8Tristan Gray (L)20.9%2.0 PA
9Luke Keaschall (R)24.6%2.0 PA

MIN Taj Bradley · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.4% Hits / BF

vs LHB21.0%
vs RHB22.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.7%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.1 H

Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-160+120
BOVBovada-165+125
DKDraftKings-163+123

We project 5.1 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

COL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Jake McCarthy (L)24.3%3.0 PA
2Mickey Moniak (L)24.6%3.0 PA
3Hunter Goodman (R)20.9%3.0 PA
4TJ Rumfield (L)25.9%3.0 PA
5Willi Castro (L)22.8%3.0 PA
6Troy Johnston (L)27.2%2.0 PA
7Cole Carrigg (L)22.5%2.0 PA
8Ezequiel Tovar (R)21.9%2.0 PA
9Edouard Julien (L)20.6%2.0 PA