MatchWiz Plays
Hits Allowed · Friday, June 26, 2026

CHC @ MIL Hits Allowed matchups · Friday, June 26, 2026

CHC
CHC
Chicago Cubs
26
Final
MIL
Milwaukee Brewers
MIL
American Family FieldElevation 597 ftCenter Field 400 ft 71°F Roof ClosedWind 6 mph, Calm

CHC Colin Rea · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate24.1% Hits / BF

vs LHB26.5%
vs RHB20.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.4%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.4 H

Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+100-135
BOVBovada+105-145
DKDraftKings+106-141
FANFanatics+105-150

We project 5.4 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

MIL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Christian Yelich (L)21.9%3.0 PA
2Jackson Chourio (R)24.1%3.0 PA
3Brice Turang (L)23.7%3.0 PA
4William Contreras (R)24.1%3.0 PA
5Jake Bauers (L)20.2%2.7 PA
6Andrew Vaughn (R)22.4%2.0 PA
7Garrett Mitchell (L)24.1%2.0 PA
8Cooper Pratt (R)22.5%2.0 PA
9David Hamilton (L)20.1%2.0 PA

MIL Jacob Misiorowski · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate15.7% Hits / BF

vs LHB14.7%
vs RHB19.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.7%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.3 BF

Expected batters faced24.3
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.1 H

Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Hits Allowed Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-125
BOVBovada+115-155
DKDraftKings+115-153

We project 4.1 H vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

CHC lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)26.8%3.0 PA
2Alex Bregman (R)21.6%3.0 PA
3Michael Busch (L)20.9%3.0 PA
4Seiya Suzuki (R)23.4%3.0 PA
5Ian Happ (L)20.5%3.0 PA
6Nico Hoerner (R)20.2%3.0 PA
7Carson Kelly (R)22.7%2.3 PA
8Matt Shaw (R)21.9%2.0 PA
9Dansby Swanson (R)18.5%2.0 PA