MatchWiz Plays
Hits Allowed · Saturday, June 27, 2026

ATL @ SF Hits Allowed matchups · Saturday, June 27, 2026

ATL
ATL
Atlanta Braves
05
Final
SF
San Francisco Giants
SF
Oracle ParkElevation 0 ftCenter Field 391 ft 63°F ClearWind 19 mph, Out To CF

ATL Bryce Elder · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate25.5% Hits / BF

vs LHB22.9%
vs RHB27.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.1%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.7 BF

Expected batters faced24.7
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection6.3 H

Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-125-105
BOVBovada-150+110
DKDraftKings-151+113

We project 6.3 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

SF lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Luis Arraez (L)27.8%3.0 PA
2Casey Schmitt (R)25.6%3.0 PA
3Jung Hoo Lee (L)26.1%3.0 PA
4Rafael Devers (L)23.5%3.0 PA
5Willy Adames (R)22.4%3.0 PA
6Bryce Eldridge (L)22.9%3.0 PA
7Matt Chapman (R)19.3%2.7 PA
8Drew Gilbert (L)21.9%2.0 PA
9Drew Cavanaugh (L)22.5%2.0 PA

SF Logan Webb · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.0% Hits / BF

vs LHB22.1%
vs RHB22.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.5%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.9 BF

Expected batters faced24.9
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.6 H

Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-150+110
BOVBovada-135-105
DKDraftKings-133+100
FANFanatics-140+100

We project 5.6 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

ATL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Michael Harris II (L)26.4%3.0 PA
2Ozzie Albies (L)21.9%3.0 PA
3Matt Olson (L)22.6%3.0 PA
4Drake Baldwin (L)20.8%3.0 PA
5Dominic Smith (L)25.2%3.0 PA
6Mauricio Dubón (R)25.3%3.0 PA
7Austin Riley (R)20.6%2.9 PA
8Mike Yastrzemski (L)21.8%2.0 PA
9Ha-Seong Kim (R)17.6%2.0 PA