Best MLB hits allowed matchups — Saturday, June 27, 2026
Every starting pitcher on the Saturday, June 27, 2026 slate, scored — ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow. His hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. Results show how each call played out.
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload9.4 BF
Expected batters faced9.4
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection1.7 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.0% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Shohei Ohtani (L)21.6%1.4
2. Andy Pages (R)21.9%1.0
3. Freddie Freeman (L)22.4%1.0
4. Mookie Betts (R)19.7%1.0
5. Max Muncy (L)21.3%1.0
6. Tommy Edman (R)22.8%1.0
7. Kyle Tucker (L)19.8%1.0
8. Dalton Rushing (L)20.4%1.0
9. Alex Freeland (R)19.5%1.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.0% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.8%
vs RHB22.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.9%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload9.1 BF
Expected batters faced9.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.0 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Carson Benge (L)23.1%1.1
2. Juan Soto (L)24.0%1.0
3. Bo Bichette (R)24.5%1.0
4. Francisco Lindor (R)20.4%1.0
5. Jared Young (L)21.9%1.0
6. Mark Vientos (R)25.8%1.0
7. A.J. Ewing (L)20.2%1.0
8. Brett Baty (L)19.6%1.0
9. Francisco Alvarez (R)23.9%1.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.3% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.8%
vs RHB21.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.7%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload17.3 BF
Expected batters faced17.3
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.0 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.4% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Zach Neto (R)21.8%2.0
2. Denzer Guzman (R)24.3%2.0
3. Nolan Schanuel (L)23.6%2.0
4. Jorge Soler (R)19.6%2.0
5. Wade Meckler (L)26.2%2.0
6. Jo Adell (R)23.1%2.0
7. Donovan Walton (L)28.6%2.0
8. Logan O'Hoppe (R)21.5%2.0
9. Josh Lowe (L)22.1%1.3
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+105-140
BOVBovada+105-145
DKDraftKings+108-143
We project 4.0 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate24.2% Hits / BF
vs LHB18.4%
vs RHB29.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.5%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload9.6 BF
Expected batters faced9.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.2 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.8% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Ketel Marte (L)23.5%1.6
2. Geraldo Perdomo (L)20.1%1.0
3. Corbin Carroll (L)22.1%1.0
4. Gabriel Moreno (R)25.6%1.0
5. Adrian Del Castillo (L)20.7%1.0
6. Nolan Arenado (R)21.0%1.0
7. Max Kepler (L)21.4%1.0
8. LuJames Groover (R)22.5%1.0
9. Tommy Troy (R)19.4%1.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate24.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.0%
vs RHB24.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.3%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload11.2 BF
Expected batters faced11.2
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.9 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Nathan Lukes (L)26.8%2.0
2. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)24.9%2.0
3. Daulton Varsho (L)22.8%1.2
4. Kazuma Okamoto (R)23.2%1.0
5. Alejandro Kirk (R)21.6%1.0
6. Sean Keys (L)22.5%1.0
7. Ernie Clement (R)26.4%1.0
8. Yohendrick Piñango (L)22.5%1.0
9. Andrés Giménez (L)23.0%1.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate18.7% Hits / BF
vs LHB17.4%
vs RHB21.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.9 BF
Expected batters faced22.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.1 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Steven Kwan (L)21.7%3.0
2. Travis Bazzana (L)25.5%3.0
3. Brayan Rocchio (L)23.7%3.0
4. Kyle Manzardo (L)21.5%3.0
5. Kahlil Watson (L)24.3%2.9
6. Cooper Ingle (L)22.5%2.0
7. Gabriel Arias (R)20.9%2.0
8. Patrick Bailey (L)21.5%2.0
9. Petey Halpin (L)21.8%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+115-155
BOVBovada+115-155
DKDraftKings+115-153
We project 4.1 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate24.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB25.4%
vs RHB22.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.7%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload17.0 BF
Expected batters faced17.0
From recent starts6
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.2 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.8% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. JJ Wetherholt (L)23.4%2.0
2. Iván Herrera (R)22.1%2.0
3. Alec Burleson (L)26.7%2.0
4. Jordan Walker (R)22.4%2.0
5. Lars Nootbaar (L)23.8%2.0
6. Masyn Winn (R)22.7%2.0
7. Bryan Torres (L)21.8%2.0
8. Jimmy Crooks (L)18.6%2.0
9. Nathan Church (L)23.3%1.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+105-140
BOVBovada+105-145
DKDraftKings+106-141
We project 4.2 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate24.4% Hits / BF
vs LHB26.2%
vs RHB21.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.4%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload19.9 BF
Expected batters faced19.9
From recent starts5
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.4 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.3% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Elly De La Cruz (L)22.0%3.0
2. Sal Stewart (R)20.1%2.9
3. JJ Bleday (L)19.5%2.0
4. Eugenio Suárez (R)20.9%2.0
5. Nathaniel Lowe (L)23.6%2.0
6. Noelvi Marte (R)21.6%2.0
7. Dane Myers (R)21.2%2.0
8. Jose Trevino (R)20.7%2.0
9. Edwin Arroyo (L)22.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada+115-155
DKDraftKings+117-156
FANFanatics+115-165
We project 4.4 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.2% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.7%
vs RHB19.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.9%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.6 BF
Expected batters faced21.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.5 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness20.9% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Kevin McGonigle (L)24.3%3.0
2. Colt Keith (L)23.1%3.0
3. Riley Greene (L)24.2%3.0
4. Spencer Torkelson (R)18.7%2.6
5. Kerry Carpenter (L)20.3%2.0
6. Zach McKinstry (L)19.0%2.0
7. Hao-Yu Lee (R)23.9%2.0
8. James Outman (L)17.1%2.0
9. Jake Rogers (R)17.9%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-125
BOVBovada-120-120
DKDraftKings-117-114
FANFanatics-115-125
We project 4.5 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate18.1% Hits / BF
vs LHB19.0%
vs RHB18.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.3%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.6 BF
Expected batters faced24.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.5 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)24.6%3.0
2. Samad Taylor (R)25.7%3.0
3. Jackson Merrill (L)19.7%3.0
4. Manny Machado (R)19.4%3.0
5. Gavin Sheets (L)21.8%3.0
6. Xander Bogaerts (R)20.6%3.0
7. Miguel Andujar (R)23.8%2.6
8. Will Wagner (L)21.1%2.0
9. Freddy Fermin (R)17.2%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-155+115
BOVBovada-135-105
DKDraftKings-132-101
We project 4.5 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.5%
vs RHB22.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload19.4 BF
Expected batters faced19.4
From recent starts5
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.5 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.3% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Jake McCarthy (L)25.2%3.0
2. Mickey Moniak (L)24.6%2.4
3. Hunter Goodman (R)20.2%2.0
4. TJ Rumfield (L)25.9%2.0
5. Willi Castro (L)22.3%2.0
6. Tyler Freeman (R)23.2%2.0
7. Troy Johnston (L)27.2%2.0
8. Kyle Karros (R)21.9%2.0
9. Brett Sullivan (L)18.9%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-125-105
BOVBovada-155+115
DKDraftKings-152+114
We project 4.5 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.9% Hits / BF
vs LHB18.9%
vs RHB22.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.5 BF
Expected batters faced22.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.7 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Jake Mangum (L)26.2%3.0
2. Brandon Lowe (L)23.5%3.0
3. Bryan Reynolds (L)24.9%3.0
4. Nick Gonzales (R)26.0%3.0
5. Ryan O'Hearn (L)25.3%2.5
6. Marcell Ozuna (R)21.9%2.0
7. Endy Rodríguez (L)23.9%2.0
8. Tyler Callihan (L)20.5%2.0
9. Jared Triolo (R)19.0%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-110-130
DKDraftKings-105-127
We project 4.7 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.2% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.6%
vs RHB20.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.7 BF
Expected batters faced21.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.6 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.1% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)23.6%3.0
2. Matt Shaw (R)22.9%3.0
3. Seiya Suzuki (R)23.4%3.0
4. Alex Bregman (R)22.0%2.7
5. Michael Busch (L)20.2%2.0
6. Nico Hoerner (R)26.7%2.0
7. Ian Happ (R)20.7%2.0
8. Carson Kelly (R)24.9%2.0
9. Dansby Swanson (R)23.4%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+100-135
BOVBovada+125-165
DKDraftKings+122-162
We project 4.6 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate18.9% Hits / BF
vs LHB18.5%
vs RHB20.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)22.6%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.4 BF
Expected batters faced23.4
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.8 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Joc Pederson (L)22.7%3.0
2. Wyatt Langford (R)25.5%3.0
3. Corey Seager (L)22.5%3.0
4. Brandon Nimmo (L)24.0%3.0
5. Josh Jung (R)23.7%3.0
6. Jake Burger (R)23.8%2.4
7. Jarred Kelenic (L)22.5%2.0
8. Elias Díaz (R)22.5%2.0
9. Nicky Lopez (L)25.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+120-160
BOVBovada+115-155
DKDraftKings+115-152
FANFanatics+100-140
We project 4.8 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.4% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.2%
vs RHB23.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.9 BF
Expected batters faced23.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.8 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.8% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. James Wood (L)22.0%3.0
2. Luis García Jr. (L)23.7%3.0
3. José Tena (L)21.6%3.0
4. CJ Abrams (L)23.3%3.0
5. Dylan Crews (R)19.1%3.0
6. Daylen Lile (L)22.2%2.9
7. Jorbit Vivas (L)22.0%2.0
8. Nasim Nuñez (L)22.3%2.0
9. Drew Millas (L)19.8%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-115-125
DKDraftKings-109-122
FANFanatics-130-110
We project 4.8 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.5%
vs RHB22.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.9 BF
Expected batters faced21.9
From recent starts5
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.0 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.4% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Paul Goldschmidt (R)29.6%3.0
2. Ben Rice (L)21.4%3.0
3. Amed Rosario (R)21.4%3.0
4. Cody Bellinger (L)23.5%2.9
5. Jasson Domínguez (R)23.5%2.0
6. José Caballero (R)21.7%2.0
7. Max Schuemann (R)20.5%2.0
8. Anthony Volpe (R)22.2%2.0
9. Austin Wells (L)18.3%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-145+105
DKDraftKings-143+107
FANFanatics-140+100
We project 5.0 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.1% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.4%
vs RHB23.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.6%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.8 BF
Expected batters faced22.8
From recent starts6
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.0 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.1% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Masataka Yoshida (L)22.1%3.0
2. Ceddanne Rafaela (R)24.5%3.0
3. Wilyer Abreu (L)21.6%3.0
4. Willson Contreras (R)23.8%3.0
5. Jarren Duran (L)19.8%2.8
6. Caleb Durbin (R)23.4%2.0
7. Anthony Seigler (L)22.1%2.0
8. Carlos Narváez (R)18.9%2.0
9. Tsung-Che Cheng (L)22.2%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-125
BOVBovada-110-130
DKDraftKings-106-125
We project 5.0 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.3%
vs RHB22.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.7%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.5 BF
Expected batters faced21.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.0 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.1% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Trea Turner (R)24.7%3.0
2. Kyle Schwarber (L)22.1%3.0
3. Bryce Harper (L)24.7%3.0
4. Brandon Marsh (L)28.6%2.5
5. Bryson Stott (L)22.0%2.0
6. Edmundo Sosa (R)22.7%2.0
7. Gabriel Rincones Jr. (L)22.5%2.0
8. Justin Crawford (L)24.3%2.0
9. Rafael Marchán (L)16.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-165+125
BOVBovada-145+105
DKDraftKings-141+106
We project 5.0 H vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.3% Hits / BF
vs LHB18.2%
vs RHB22.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.2%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.0 BF
Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.9 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.1% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Taylor Ward (R)25.8%3.0
2. Gunnar Henderson (L)21.8%3.0
3. Pete Alonso (R)20.3%3.0
4. Coby Mayo (R)24.3%3.0
5. Tyler O'Neill (R)19.4%3.0
6. Blaze Alexander (R)22.4%2.0
7. Leody Taveras (R)20.1%2.0
8. Jeremiah Jackson (R)22.7%2.0
9. Chadwick Tromp (R)21.9%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada+100-140
DKDraftKings+103-137
We project 4.9 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.3% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.3%
vs RHB21.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.2%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.1 BF
Expected batters faced24.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.1 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.8% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Jeremy Peña (R)24.8%3.0
2. Isaac Paredes (R)22.3%3.0
3. Jose Altuve (R)24.0%3.0
4. Christian Walker (R)20.3%3.0
5. Cam Smith (R)20.8%3.0
6. Yainer Diaz (R)23.3%3.0
7. Jake Meyers (R)20.2%2.1
8. Brice Matthews (R)19.6%2.0
9. Christian Vázquez (R)20.4%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-130
BOVBovada-130-110
DKDraftKings-123-107
We project 5.1 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.2%
vs RHB21.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.1%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.7 BF
Expected batters faced22.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.0 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.4% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Xavier Edwards (L)24.7%3.0
2. Otto Lopez (R)26.0%3.0
3. Kyle Stowers (L)21.4%3.0
4. Heriberto Hernández (R)21.8%3.0
5. Owen Caissie (L)22.3%2.7
6. Jakob Marsee (L)19.3%2.0
7. Griffin Conine (L)21.8%2.0
8. Javier Sanoja (R)21.9%2.0
9. Joe Mack (L)22.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-110-118
BOVBovada-135-105
DKDraftKings-132-101
FANFanatics-130-110
We project 5.0 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.5%
vs RHB22.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.8 BF
Expected batters faced21.8
From recent starts1
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.1 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.9% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Yandy Díaz (R)28.0%3.0
2. Jonathan Aranda (L)26.7%3.0
3. Junior Caminero (R)24.9%3.0
4. Victor Mesa Jr. (L)18.6%2.8
5. Chandler Simpson (L)25.8%2.0
6. Cedric Mullins (L)20.6%2.0
7. Taylor Walls (L)20.2%2.0
8. Richie Palacios (L)21.1%2.0
9. Hunter Feduccia (L)20.2%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
DKDraftKings-157+118
FANFanatics-140+100
We project 5.1 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate24.1% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.7%
vs RHB23.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)6.5%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload20.8 BF
Expected batters faced20.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.1 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.2% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Jackson Chourio (R)26.0%3.0
2. Brice Turang (L)20.8%3.0
3. William Contreras (R)25.0%2.8
4. Andrew Vaughn (R)27.3%2.0
5. Gary Sánchez (R)21.5%2.0
6. Blake Perkins (R)23.3%2.0
7. Sal Frelick (L)20.8%2.0
8. Cooper Pratt (R)22.5%2.0
9. Joey Ortiz (R)21.0%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.4% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.3%
vs RHB23.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.5%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.3 BF
Expected batters faced22.3
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.1 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.0% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. J.P. Crawford (L)20.5%3.0
2. Julio Rodríguez (R)23.4%3.0
3. Dominic Canzone (L)23.5%3.0
4. Randy Arozarena (R)22.6%3.0
5. Josh Naylor (L)23.2%2.3
6. Cal Raleigh (L)18.8%2.0
7. Luke Raley (L)21.3%2.0
8. Cole Young (L)23.0%2.0
9. Colt Emerson (L)21.8%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+115-155
BOVBovada+120-160
DKDraftKings+119-158
FANFanatics+115-165
We project 5.1 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.8% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.1%
vs RHB23.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.1%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.5 BF
Expected batters faced23.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.4 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.9% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Carter Jensen (L)23.1%3.0
2. Bobby Witt Jr. (R)24.4%3.0
3. Jac Caglianone (L)22.1%3.0
4. Lane Thomas (R)19.1%3.0
5. Michael Massey (L)24.5%3.0
6. Salvador Perez (R)19.9%2.5
7. John Rave (L)21.8%2.0
8. Nick Loftin (R)21.2%2.0
9. Isaac Collins (L)20.7%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+115-155
BOVBovada+125-165
DKDraftKings+122-162
FANFanatics+105-150
We project 5.4 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.0% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.1%
vs RHB22.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.5%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.9 BF
Expected batters faced24.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.6 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Michael Harris II (L)26.4%3.0
2. Ozzie Albies (L)21.9%3.0
3. Matt Olson (L)22.6%3.0
4. Drake Baldwin (L)20.8%3.0
5. Dominic Smith (L)25.2%3.0
6. Mauricio Dubón (R)25.3%3.0
7. Austin Riley (R)20.6%2.9
8. Mike Yastrzemski (L)21.8%2.0
9. Ha-Seong Kim (R)17.6%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-150+110
BOVBovada-135-105
DKDraftKings-133+100
FANFanatics-140+100
We project 5.6 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.9%
vs RHB21.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload25.2 BF
Expected batters faced25.2
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.8 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.2% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Sam Antonacci (L)25.8%3.0
2. Miguel Vargas (R)20.8%3.0
3. Andrew Benintendi (L)22.3%3.0
4. Colson Montgomery (L)19.2%3.0
5. Chase Meidroth (R)23.6%3.0
6. Braden Montgomery (L)22.5%3.0
7. Tristan Peters (L)25.4%3.0
8. Jacob Gonzalez (L)22.1%2.2
9. Drew Romo (L)17.9%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-115-115
BOVBovada-125-115
DKDraftKings-121-110
We project 5.8 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate27.0% Hits / BF
vs LHB27.6%
vs RHB25.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.2%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.3 BF
Expected batters faced22.3
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection6.3 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Trevor Larnach (L)25.7%3.0
2. Byron Buxton (R)26.3%3.0
3. Kody Clemens (L)22.0%3.0
4. Josh Bell (L)23.5%3.0
5. Victor Caratini (L)23.0%2.3
6. Royce Lewis (R)21.1%2.0
7. Brooks Lee (L)23.3%2.0
8. Tristan Gray (L)22.7%2.0
9. Luke Keaschall (R)23.8%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-140+105
BOVBovada-140+100
DKDraftKings-138+104
FANFanatics-130-110
We project 6.3 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.2% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.1%
vs RHB20.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.9 BF
Expected batters faced23.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.0 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.8% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Henry Bolte (R)25.8%3.0
2. Nick Kurtz (L)22.5%3.0
3. Shea Langeliers (R)27.0%3.0
4. Tyler Soderstrom (L)20.7%3.0
5. Jonah Heim (R)22.8%3.0
6. Colby Thomas (R)22.5%2.9
7. Max Muncy (R)19.8%2.0
8. Jeff McNeil (L)18.7%2.0
9. Alika Williams (R)25.2%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-155+115
BOVBovada-150+110
DKDraftKings-147+111
FANFanatics-150+105
We project 5.0 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate25.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.9%
vs RHB27.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.1%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.7 BF
Expected batters faced24.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection6.3 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Luis Arraez (L)27.8%3.0
2. Casey Schmitt (R)25.6%3.0
3. Jung Hoo Lee (L)26.1%3.0
4. Rafael Devers (L)23.5%3.0
5. Willy Adames (R)22.4%3.0
6. Bryce Eldridge (L)22.9%3.0
7. Matt Chapman (R)19.3%2.7
8. Drew Gilbert (L)21.9%2.0
9. Drew Cavanaugh (L)22.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-125-105
BOVBovada-150+110
DKDraftKings-151+113
We project 6.3 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
30 with a HLive count — updates as games play
1
Andre PallanteP
STLvsMIA· proj #21
11HFinal
2
Chase BurnsP
CIN@PIT· proj #12
9HFinal
3
Kai-Wei TengP
HOU@DET· proj #9
8HFinal
T3
Mike ParedesP
MINvsCOL· proj #11
8HFinal
T3
Framber ValdezP
DETvsHOU· proj #20
8HFinal
6
Logan GilbertP
SEA@CLE· proj #6
7HFinal
T6
Brandon YoungP
BALvsWSH· proj #15
7HFinal
T6
Gerrit ColeP
NYY@BOS· proj #17
7HFinal
T6
Jose CabreraP
AZ@TB· proj #22
7HFinal
T6
Michael LorenzenP
COL@MIN· proj #28
7HFinal
11
Michael WachaP
KC@CWS· proj #27
6HFinal
12
Yoshinobu YamamotoP
LAD@SD· proj #10
5HFinal
T12
David PetersonP
CHC@MIL· proj #23
5HFinal
T12
Bryce ElderP
ATL@SF· proj #30
5HFinal
15
Jack PerkinsP
ATH@LAA· proj #3
4HFinal
T15
Jared JonesP
PITvsCIN· proj #8
4HFinal
T15
Dylan CeaseP
TORvsTEX· proj #14
4HFinal
T15
Davis MartinP
CWSvsKC· proj #25
4HFinal
T15
Reid DetmersP
LAAvsATH· proj #29
4HFinal
20
Ryan GustoP
MIA@STL· proj #7
3HFinal
T20
Kyle HarrisonP
MILvsCHC· proj #13
3HFinal
T20
Jake BennettP
BOSvsNYY· proj #16
3HFinal
T20
Christian ScottP
NYMvsPHI· proj #18
3HFinal
T20
Foster GriffinP
WSH@BAL· proj #19
3HFinal
T20
Slade CecconiP
CLEvsSEA· proj #24
3HFinal
26
Kyle HartP
SDvsLAD· proj #1
2HFinal
T26
Cole SulserP
TBvsAZ· proj #4
2HFinal
T26
Cal QuantrillP
TEX@TOR· proj #5
2HFinal
29
Tim MayzaP
PHI@NYM· proj #2
1HFinal
T29
Logan WebbP
SFvsATL· proj #26
1HFinal
How the board graded
Share of our top-ranked hitters that hit the mark, next to the season-to-date rate.
Top 5
1/1100%
season 43%+57 pts-26% ROI
Top 10
3/650%
season 46%+4 pts-21% ROI
Top 20
6/1638%
season building
Top 50
11/2544%
season building
Full slate
11/2544%
season 48%-4 pts-15% ROI
“Hit” is the green check on the card — the mark. Pools are our pre-game top-ranked matchups; only settled (final) outcomes count. Season-to-date is every graded day this season.
Best MLB Hits Allowed Matchups — Saturday, June 27, 2026
Kyle Hart (SD) is the top hits allowed spot on the Saturday, June 27, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 1.7 H, with Tim Mayza (PHI) right behind. Every starter is ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow — his hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. It's the read DFS and pitcher-prop players make before lock.
Top spot: Kyle Hart
Kyle Hart (SD) tops the Saturday, June 27, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 1.7 H vs LAD. His hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes.
The rest of the top of the board
Tim Mayza (PHI) (100) — about 2.0 H vs NYM.
Jack Perkins (ATH) (100) — about 4.0 H vs LAA.
Cole Sulser (TB) (90) — about 2.2 H vs AZ.
Cal Quantrill (TEX) (81) — about 2.9 H vs TOR.
Logan Gilbert (SEA) (48) — about 4.1 H vs CLE.
How it played out
The top 10 starts averaged 3.8 H. Kyle Hart finished with 2. Every projection is graded against the box score.
How to read the hits allowed board
Each starter's score (0–100) ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow — his hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. We project a hits allowed count for the start and grade it against what actually happened.
Which pitcher has the best hits allowed matchup today (Saturday, June 27, 2026)?
Kyle Hart (SD) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 1.7 H against LAD.
What are the best pitcher hits allowed props today?
The top projected starts on Saturday, June 27, 2026: Kyle Hart (~1.7 H), Tim Mayza (~2.0 H), Jack Perkins (~4.0 H), Cole Sulser (~2.2 H), Cal Quantrill (~2.9 H). The full board ranks every starter.
How is the hits allowed score calculated?
Ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow — his hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected hits allowed count alongside, and graded against the box score.
Can I use this for pitcher props or DFS?
Yes — the board surfaces the best hits allowed spots and projects a number. Where there's a posted line we show the over/under and which side our projection leans. We show the data and grade it, not picks.
