MatchWiz Plays
Hits Allowed · Saturday, June 27, 2026

CIN @ PIT Hits Allowed matchups · Saturday, June 27, 2026

CIN
CIN
Cincinnati Reds
97
Final
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
PIT
PNC ParkElevation 780 ftCenter Field 399 ft 73°F OvercastWind 5 mph, In From RF

CIN Chase Burns · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.9% Hits / BF

vs LHB18.9%
vs RHB22.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.8%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.5 BF

Expected batters faced22.5
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.7 H

Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-110-130
DKDraftKings-105-127

We project 4.7 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

PIT lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Jake Mangum (L)26.2%3.0 PA
2Brandon Lowe (L)23.5%3.0 PA
3Bryan Reynolds (L)24.9%3.0 PA
4Nick Gonzales (R)26.0%3.0 PA
5Ryan O'Hearn (L)25.3%2.5 PA
6Marcell Ozuna (R)21.9%2.0 PA
7Endy Rodríguez (L)23.9%2.0 PA
8Tyler Callihan (L)20.5%2.0 PA
9Jared Triolo (R)19.0%2.0 PA

PIT Jared Jones · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate24.4% Hits / BF

vs LHB26.2%
vs RHB21.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.4%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload19.9 BF

Expected batters faced19.9
From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.4 H

Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
BOVBovada+115-155
DKDraftKings+117-156
FANFanatics+115-165

We project 4.4 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

CIN lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Elly De La Cruz (L)22.0%3.0 PA
2Sal Stewart (R)20.1%2.9 PA
3JJ Bleday (L)19.5%2.0 PA
4Eugenio Suárez (R)20.9%2.0 PA
5Nathaniel Lowe (L)23.6%2.0 PA
6Noelvi Marte (R)21.6%2.0 PA
7Dane Myers (R)21.2%2.0 PA
8Jose Trevino (R)20.7%2.0 PA
9Edwin Arroyo (L)22.5%2.0 PA