‹ Hits Allowed · Saturday, June 27, 2026
COL @ MIN Hits Allowed matchups · Saturday, June 27, 2026
COL
Colorado Rockies
8–5
Final
MIN
Minnesota Twins
◆ Target FieldElevation 828 ftCenter Field 404 ft☀ 83°F Partly CloudyWind 12 mph, In From LF
Michael Lorenzen · RHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate27.0% Hits / BF
vs LHB27.6%
vs RHB25.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.2%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.3 BF
Expected batters faced22.3
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection6.3 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-140+105
BOVBovada-140+100
DKDraftKings-138+104
FANFanatics-130-110
We project 6.3 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
MIN lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Trevor Larnach (L)25.7%3.0 PA
2Byron Buxton (R)26.3%3.0 PA
3Kody Clemens (L)22.0%3.0 PA
4Josh Bell (L)23.5%3.0 PA
5Victor Caratini (L)23.0%2.3 PA
6Royce Lewis (R)21.1%2.0 PA
7Brooks Lee (L)23.3%2.0 PA
8Tristan Gray (L)22.7%2.0 PA
9Luke Keaschall (R)23.8%2.0 PA
Mike Paredes · RHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.5%
vs RHB22.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload19.4 BF
Expected batters faced19.4
From recent starts5
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.5 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-125-105
BOVBovada-155+115
DKDraftKings-152+114
We project 4.5 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
COL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Jake McCarthy (L)25.2%3.0 PA
2Mickey Moniak (L)24.6%2.4 PA
3Hunter Goodman (R)20.2%2.0 PA
4TJ Rumfield (L)25.9%2.0 PA
5Willi Castro (L)22.3%2.0 PA
6Tyler Freeman (R)23.2%2.0 PA
7Troy Johnston (L)27.2%2.0 PA
8Kyle Karros (R)21.9%2.0 PA
9Brett Sullivan (L)18.9%2.0 PA