‹ Hits Allowed · Sunday, June 28, 2026
AZ @ TB Hits Allowed matchups · Sunday, June 28, 2026
AZ
Arizona Diamondbacks
0–1
● LIVE · End 1
TB
Tampa Bay Rays
◆ Tropicana FieldElevation 15 ftCenter Field 404 ft☀ 72°F DomeWind 0 mph, None
Merrill Kelly · RHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate25.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB24.7%
vs RHB24.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload25.5 BF
Expected batters faced25.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection6.6 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-150+110
BOVBovada-130-110
DKDraftKings-124-107
FANFanatics-135-105
We project 6.6 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
TB lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Yandy Díaz (R)27.9%3.0 PA
2Jonathan Aranda (L)26.6%3.0 PA
3Junior Caminero (R)25.0%3.0 PA
4Victor Mesa Jr. (L)19.9%3.0 PA
5Chandler Simpson (L)26.5%3.0 PA
6Cedric Mullins (L)20.8%3.0 PA
7Ben Williamson (R)22.5%3.0 PA
8Taylor Walls (L)20.5%2.5 PA
9Nick Fortes (R)22.5%2.0 PA
Drew Rasmussen · RHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.9% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.3%
vs RHB18.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.4%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.1 BF
Expected batters faced23.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.6 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+105-140
BOVBovada+100-140
DKDraftKings+101-133
We project 4.6 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
AZ lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Ketel Marte (L)23.8%3.0 PA
2Geraldo Perdomo (L)21.5%3.0 PA
3Corbin Carroll (L)22.3%3.0 PA
4Adrian Del Castillo (L)20.0%3.0 PA
5Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (R)21.8%3.0 PA
6Pavin Smith (L)22.5%2.1 PA
7Nolan Arenado (R)21.3%2.0 PA
8Ildemaro Vargas (L)22.5%2.0 PA
9Tommy Troy (R)18.8%2.0 PA