Best MLB hits allowed matchups — Sunday, June 28, 2026
Every starting pitcher on the Sunday, June 28, 2026 slate, scored — ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow. His hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. Tap any card for the full breakdown.
PROJSome lineups aren't official yet — 2 starts use an opposing lineup projected from that team's last game. The strikeout projection updates automatically once the official lineup posts, ~2 hours before first pitch.
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#Pitcher · MatchupScore
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.2% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.1%
vs RHB21.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.7%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload9.1 BF
Expected batters faced9.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection1.9 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.0% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Christian Yelich (L)22.9%1.1
2. Jackson Chourio (R)26.5%1.0
3. Brice Turang (L)20.4%1.0
4. Andrew Vaughn (R)26.9%1.0
5. Jake Bauers (L)22.4%1.0
6. Gary Sánchez (R)22.1%1.0
7. Sal Frelick (L)21.5%1.0
8. Cooper Pratt (R)22.5%1.0
9. David Hamilton (L)22.2%1.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.4% Hits / BF
vs LHB24.4%
vs RHB22.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)8.7%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload18.1 BF
Expected batters faced18.1
From recent starts7
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.1 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.3% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Henry Bolte (R)25.0%2.1
2. Joey Meneses (R)21.5%2.0
3. Shea Langeliers (R)26.5%2.0
4. Jonah Heim (R)22.6%2.0
5. Colby Thomas (R)20.6%2.0
6. Lawrence Butler (L)22.1%2.0
7. Max Muncy (R)19.5%2.0
8. Jeff McNeil (L)18.3%2.0
9. Alika Williams (R)24.4%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.2% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.3%
vs RHB22.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.2%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload10.5 BF
Expected batters faced10.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.4 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.1% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Trea Turner (R)21.5%2.0
2. Kyle Schwarber (L)23.5%1.6
3. Bryce Harper (L)22.3%1.0
4. Alec Bohm (R)20.7%1.0
5. Brandon Marsh (L)22.3%1.0
6. J.T. Realmuto (R)22.5%1.0
7. Bryson Stott (L)23.3%1.0
8. Derek Hill (R)22.5%1.0
9. Justin Crawford (L)19.9%1.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
FANFanatics+120-170
We project 2.4 H vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate17.9% Hits / BF
vs LHB19.9%
vs RHB18.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.1%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.2 BF
Expected batters faced23.2
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.5 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.8% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Mauricio Dubón (R)22.9%3.0
2. Michael Harris II (L)24.6%3.0
3. Ozzie Albies (R)26.1%3.0
4. Matt Olson (L)24.3%3.0
5. Drake Baldwin (L)22.3%3.0
6. Austin Riley (R)22.1%2.2
7. Joey Bart (R)22.5%2.0
8. Eli White (R)23.0%2.0
9. Ha-Seong Kim (R)17.8%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+120-160
BOVBovada-110-130
DKDraftKings-106-125
FANFanatics+105-150
We project 4.5 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.4% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.8%
vs RHB22.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload20.6 BF
Expected batters faced20.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.7 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.2% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)24.6%3.0
2. Samad Taylor (R)24.4%3.0
3. Jackson Merrill (L)20.6%2.6
4. Manny Machado (R)18.9%2.0
5. Gavin Sheets (L)22.0%2.0
6. Xander Bogaerts (R)20.1%2.0
7. Miguel Andujar (R)24.0%2.0
8. Sung-Mun Song (L)22.5%2.0
9. Rodolfo Durán (R)22.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-125
BOVBovada+105-145
DKDraftKings+108-143
We project 4.7 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.1% Hits / BF
vs LHB17.2%
vs RHB22.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.4 BF
Expected batters faced21.4
From recent starts4
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.0 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.1% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Kevin McGonigle (L)24.8%3.0
2. Colt Keith (L)22.8%3.0
3. Riley Greene (L)25.2%3.0
4. Dillon Dingler (R)25.2%2.4
5. Kerry Carpenter (L)21.5%2.0
6. Zach McKinstry (L)20.2%2.0
7. Hao-Yu Lee (R)24.1%2.0
8. James Outman (L)16.4%2.0
9. Matt Vierling (R)18.9%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-115-115
BOVBovada-120-120
DKDraftKings-117-113
We project 4.0 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.2% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.8%
vs RHB21.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.9%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.0 BF
Expected batters faced22.0
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.9 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.3% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Masataka Yoshida (L)22.7%3.0
2. Ceddanne Rafaela (R)24.9%3.0
3. Wilyer Abreu (L)26.6%3.0
4. Willson Contreras (R)22.0%3.0
5. Jarren Duran (L)20.7%2.0
6. Caleb Durbin (R)21.8%2.0
7. Anthony Seigler (R)25.8%2.0
8. Carlos Narváez (R)23.4%2.0
9. Tsung-Che Cheng (L)22.0%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-135+100
BOVBovada-130-110
DKDraftKings-126-106
FANFanatics-150+105
We project 4.9 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.8% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.3%
vs RHB21.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)7.5%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload17.5 BF
Expected batters faced17.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection3.7 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.4% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Sam Antonacci (L)25.9%2.0
2. Miguel Vargas (R)20.1%2.0
3. Kyle Teel (L)20.6%2.0
4. Andrew Benintendi (L)22.5%2.0
5. Colson Montgomery (L)19.9%2.0
6. Chase Meidroth (R)22.9%2.0
7. Braden Montgomery (L)22.5%2.0
8. Tristan Peters (L)24.9%2.0
9. Jacob Gonzalez (L)22.6%1.6
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+115-155
BOVBovada+120-160
DKDraftKings+120-159
FANFanatics+120-170
We project 3.7 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate18.4% Hits / BF
vs LHB19.0%
vs RHB20.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)20.3%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload20.9 BF
Expected batters faced20.9
From recent starts7
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection3.9 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.3% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)25.9%3.0
2. Alex Bregman (R)20.9%3.0
3. Michael Busch (L)20.1%2.9
4. Seiya Suzuki (R)22.4%2.0
5. Ian Happ (L)20.9%2.0
6. Nico Hoerner (R)20.0%2.0
7. Michael Conforto (L)21.0%2.0
8. Miguel Amaya (R)21.2%2.0
9. Dansby Swanson (R)19.0%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+115-155
BOVBovada+125-165
DKDraftKings+122-162
We project 3.9 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.9% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.3%
vs RHB18.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.4%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.1 BF
Expected batters faced23.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.6 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Ketel Marte (L)23.8%3.0
2. Geraldo Perdomo (L)21.5%3.0
3. Corbin Carroll (L)22.3%3.0
4. Adrian Del Castillo (L)20.0%3.0
5. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (R)21.8%3.0
6. Pavin Smith (L)22.5%2.1
7. Nolan Arenado (R)21.3%2.0
8. Ildemaro Vargas (L)22.5%2.0
9. Tommy Troy (R)18.8%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+105-140
BOVBovada+100-140
DKDraftKings+101-133
We project 4.6 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB24.4%
vs RHB20.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.7%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.8 BF
Expected batters faced23.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.8 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness20.8% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Elly De La Cruz (L)21.4%3.0
2. Sal Stewart (R)21.1%3.0
3. JJ Bleday (L)19.6%3.0
4. Eugenio Suárez (R)20.3%3.0
5. Spencer Steer (R)19.7%3.0
6. Noelvi Marte (R)21.2%2.8
7. Tyler Stephenson (R)22.5%2.0
8. TJ Friedl (L)18.5%2.0
9. Edwin Arroyo (L)22.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-130-110
DKDraftKings-126-105
We project 4.8 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.4% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.0%
vs RHB22.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.4%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.3 BF
Expected batters faced21.3
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.8 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Jeremy Peña (R)25.4%3.0
2. Yordan Alvarez (L)22.5%3.0
3. Isaac Paredes (R)22.6%3.0
4. Christian Walker (R)21.1%2.3
5. Joey Loperfido (L)20.9%2.0
6. Yainer Diaz (R)24.6%2.0
7. Taylor Trammell (L)22.5%2.0
8. Jake Meyers (R)20.7%2.0
9. Raynel Delgado (L)22.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-110-120
BOVBovada-130-110
DKDraftKings-125-106
FANFanatics-115-125
We project 4.8 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate24.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB26.5%
vs RHB21.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.5%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload20.8 BF
Expected batters faced20.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.9 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.3% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Taylor Ward (R)20.4%3.0
2. Gunnar Henderson (L)21.2%3.0
3. Adley Rutschman (L)20.7%2.8
4. Pete Alonso (R)23.7%2.0
5. Samuel Basallo (L)24.0%2.0
6. Dylan Beavers (L)21.0%2.0
7. Coby Mayo (R)17.7%2.0
8. Colton Cowser (L)22.5%2.0
9. Jackson Holliday (L)20.0%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
FANFanatics-105-135
We project 4.9 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.7% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.6%
vs RHB21.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.1%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload19.5 BF
Expected batters faced19.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.4 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.2% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. JJ Wetherholt (L)24.1%3.0
2. Iván Herrera (R)21.7%2.5
3. Alec Burleson (L)26.2%2.0
4. Lars Nootbaar (L)24.8%2.0
5. Masyn Winn (R)22.8%2.0
6. Bryan Torres (L)21.5%2.0
7. Blaze Jordan (R)22.5%2.0
8. Nathan Church (L)23.0%2.0
9. Pedro Pagés (R)22.1%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-110-120
BOVBovada-130-110
DKDraftKings-124-107
We project 4.4 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.9% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.3%
vs RHB23.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.5%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.6 BF
Expected batters faced23.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.0 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.9% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. J.P. Crawford (L)19.9%3.0
2. Julio Rodríguez (R)23.9%3.0
3. Josh Naylor (L)23.2%3.0
4. Randy Arozarena (R)23.0%3.0
5. Cal Raleigh (L)18.2%3.0
6. Cole Young (L)22.7%2.6
7. Colt Emerson (L)20.9%2.0
8. Mitch Garver (R)22.5%2.0
9. Victor Robles (R)22.7%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-135+100
BOVBovada-155+115
DKDraftKings-154+116
FANFanatics-150+105
We project 5.0 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.9% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.5%
vs RHB22.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.5%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.3 BF
Expected batters faced22.3
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.2 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.4% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Konnor Griffin (R)23.2%3.0
2. Brandon Lowe (L)23.5%3.0
3. Bryan Reynolds (L)24.9%3.0
4. Nick Gonzales (R)26.2%3.0
5. Ryan O'Hearn (L)25.0%2.3
6. Esmerlyn Valdez (R)22.5%2.0
7. Tyler Callihan (L)20.1%2.0
8. Jake Mangum (L)27.9%2.0
9. Henry Davis (R)17.7%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-155+115
DKDraftKings-156+117
FANFanatics-150+105
We project 5.2 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.9% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.4%
vs RHB21.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.3 BF
Expected batters faced22.3
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.2 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.0% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Steven Kwan (L)20.6%3.0
2. Travis Bazzana (L)26.8%3.0
3. Chase DeLauter (L)22.5%3.0
4. Kyle Manzardo (L)22.0%3.0
5. Kahlil Watson (L)24.7%2.3
6. Brayan Rocchio (L)23.8%2.0
7. Cooper Ingle (L)22.5%2.0
8. Gabriel Arias (R)21.3%2.0
9. Austin Hedges (R)22.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+115-155
BOVBovada+125-165
DKDraftKings+122-163
We project 5.2 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.9%
vs RHB22.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.5%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.9 BF
Expected batters faced23.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.3 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.9% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Paul Goldschmidt (R)22.0%3.0
2. Ben Rice (L)23.7%3.0
3. Amed Rosario (R)23.5%3.0
4. Cody Bellinger (L)21.6%3.0
5. Jasson Domínguez (L)21.3%3.0
6. José Caballero (R)22.0%2.9
7. Max Schuemann (R)19.4%2.0
8. Anthony Volpe (R)24.1%2.0
9. Austin Wells (L)19.3%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-140+105
BOVBovada-165+125
DKDraftKings-162+122
We project 5.3 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.8% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.4%
vs RHB21.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.3%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.1 BF
Expected batters faced24.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.3 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. James Wood (L)21.1%3.0
2. Luis García Jr. (L)25.7%3.0
3. Curtis Mead (R)22.5%3.0
4. CJ Abrams (L)23.1%3.0
5. Dylan Crews (R)18.4%3.0
6. Daylen Lile (L)23.2%3.0
7. Jacob Young (R)22.5%2.1
8. Jorbit Vivas (L)23.6%2.0
9. Keibert Ruiz (L)22.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.5%
vs RHB21.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.2%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.0 BF
Expected batters faced24.0
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.3 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Shohei Ohtani (L)24.3%3.0
2. Andy Pages (R)23.8%3.0
3. Freddie Freeman (L)26.1%3.0
4. Mookie Betts (R)25.9%3.0
5. Max Muncy (L)22.5%3.0
6. Tommy Edman (L)25.2%3.0
7. Kyle Tucker (L)23.4%2.0
8. Alex Freeland (L)21.4%2.0
9. Chuckie Robinson (R)20.8%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-140+105
BOVBovada-145+105
DKDraftKings-141+106
FANFanatics-140+100
We project 5.3 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.8% Hits / BF
vs LHB19.6%
vs RHB21.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.5%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.9 BF
Expected batters faced24.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.3 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Matt Chapman (R)20.6%3.0
2. Luis Arraez (L)22.7%3.0
3. Casey Schmitt (R)27.0%3.0
4. Rafael Devers (L)19.9%3.0
5. Willy Adames (R)19.4%3.0
6. Heliot Ramos (R)25.2%3.0
7. Jung Hoo Lee (L)26.1%2.9
8. Victor Bericoto (R)22.5%2.0
9. Eric Haase (R)21.2%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-160+120
DKDraftKings-162+121
We project 5.3 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.9% Hits / BF
vs LHB24.8%
vs RHB21.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.3 BF
Expected batters faced22.3
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.4 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.8% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. George Springer (R)21.1%3.0
2. Nathan Lukes (L)27.4%3.0
3. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)24.2%3.0
4. Kazuma Okamoto (R)22.8%3.0
5. Daulton Varsho (L)22.1%2.3
6. Ernie Clement (R)26.9%2.0
7. Alejandro Kirk (R)21.5%2.0
8. Yohendrick Piñango (L)24.7%2.0
9. Andrés Giménez (L)23.4%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+115-155
BOVBovada+110-150
DKDraftKings+111-148
We project 5.4 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.8% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.0%
vs RHB22.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.4%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.6 BF
Expected batters faced24.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.7 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.4% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Carson Benge (L)24.6%3.0
2. Juan Soto (L)24.5%3.0
3. Bo Bichette (R)24.1%3.0
4. Eric Wagaman (R)23.5%3.0
5. Francisco Alvarez (R)23.8%3.0
6. Mark Vientos (R)25.5%3.0
7. Tyrone Taylor (R)22.5%2.6
8. Brett Baty (L)19.6%2.0
9. Luis Torrens (R)22.2%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-160+120
DKDraftKings-160+120
We project 5.7 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate28.2% Hits / BF
vs LHB25.8%
vs RHB26.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.5%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.0 BF
Expected batters faced22.0
From recent starts1
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.7 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.8% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Joc Pederson (L)21.5%3.0
2. Josh Jung (R)23.5%3.0
3. Corey Seager (L)19.9%3.0
4. Brandon Nimmo (L)24.1%3.0
5. Jake Burger (R)25.1%2.0
6. Ezequiel Duran (R)22.5%2.0
7. Evan Carter (L)22.5%2.0
8. Elias Díaz (R)24.4%2.0
9. Alejandro Osuna (L)21.3%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+100-135
BOVBovada-110-130
DKDraftKings-105-126
FANFanatics+110-155
We project 5.7 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.3% Hits / BF
vs LHB18.7%
vs RHB24.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.1 BF
Expected batters faced21.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.1 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness24.4% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Trevor Larnach (L)27.1%3.0
2. Byron Buxton (R)24.9%3.0
3. Kody Clemens (L)22.2%3.0
4. Royce Lewis (R)20.2%2.1
5. Brooks Lee (L)23.9%2.0
6. Luke Keaschall (R)24.2%2.0
7. Ryan Kreidler (R)29.3%2.0
8. Austin Martin (R)21.6%2.0
9. Alex Jackson (R)25.9%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-115-125
DKDraftKings-112-118
FANFanatics-110-130
We project 5.1 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.8% Hits / BF
vs LHB19.6%
vs RHB22.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)8.7%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.9 BF
Expected batters faced22.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.2 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.2% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Lane Thomas (R)20.5%3.0
2. Bobby Witt Jr. (R)28.0%3.0
3. Carter Jensen (L)25.4%3.0
4. Starling Marte (R)22.8%3.0
5. Salvador Perez (R)22.6%2.9
6. Michael Massey (L)23.4%2.0
7. Isaac Collins (R)21.8%2.0
8. Tyler Tolbert (R)22.4%2.0
9. Kameron Misner (L)21.6%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-150+110
BOVBovada-145+105
DKDraftKings-140+105
We project 5.2 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.8% Hits / BF
vs LHB24.2%
vs RHB23.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.6%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.5 BF
Expected batters faced22.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.4 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.3% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Jakob Marsee (L)19.9%3.0
2. Otto Lopez (R)26.6%3.0
3. Kyle Stowers (L)21.7%3.0
4. Xavier Edwards (L)25.8%3.0
5. Heriberto Hernández (R)20.8%2.5
6. Griffin Conine (L)22.2%2.0
7. Owen Caissie (L)21.9%2.0
8. Graham Pauley (L)20.0%2.0
9. Brian Navarreto (R)21.3%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-125
BOVBovada-115-125
DKDraftKings-112-119
FANFanatics-125-115
We project 5.4 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate27.4% Hits / BF
vs LHB27.1%
vs RHB25.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.1%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.9 BF
Expected batters faced21.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.8 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Zach Neto (R)21.1%3.0
2. Denzer Guzman (R)24.7%3.0
3. Nolan Schanuel (L)23.9%3.0
4. Jo Adell (R)24.0%2.9
5. Vaughn Grissom (R)22.3%2.0
6. Wade Meckler (L)25.5%2.0
7. Oswald Peraza (R)20.9%2.0
8. Josh Lowe (L)22.4%2.0
9. Tyler Heineman (L)19.4%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-125
FANFanatics+105-150
We project 5.8 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.7% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.8%
vs RHB23.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.5%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.6 BF
Expected batters faced23.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.8 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.3% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Willi Castro (R)26.1%3.0
2. Tyler Freeman (R)23.3%3.0
3. Hunter Goodman (R)25.8%3.0
4. TJ Rumfield (L)24.2%3.0
5. Cole Carrigg (R)22.5%3.0
6. Kyle Karros (R)25.1%2.6
7. Troy Johnston (L)21.0%2.0
8. Braxton Fulford (R)21.6%2.0
9. Ezequiel Tovar (R)20.3%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada+110-150
DKDraftKings+111-147
We project 5.8 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate25.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB24.7%
vs RHB24.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload25.5 BF
Expected batters faced25.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection6.6 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Yandy Díaz (R)27.9%3.0
2. Jonathan Aranda (L)26.6%3.0
3. Junior Caminero (R)25.0%3.0
4. Victor Mesa Jr. (L)19.9%3.0
5. Chandler Simpson (L)26.5%3.0
6. Cedric Mullins (L)20.8%3.0
7. Ben Williamson (R)22.5%3.0
8. Taylor Walls (L)20.5%2.5
9. Nick Fortes (R)22.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-150+110
BOVBovada-130-110
DKDraftKings-124-107
FANFanatics-135-105
We project 6.6 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
20 with a HLive count — updates as games play
1
Brady SingerP
CIN@PIT· proj #16
7H live
2
Gavin WilliamsP
CLEvsSEA· proj #15
6H live
3
Hunter BrownP
HOU@DET· proj #6
5H live
T3
Luinder AvilaP
KC@CWS· proj #8
5H live
T3
Mitch KellerP
PITvsCIN· proj #11
5H live
T3
Merrill KellyP
AZ@TB· proj #30
5H live
7
Shane BieberP
TORvsTEX· proj #24
4H live
T7
Anthony KayP
CWSvsKC· proj #26
4H live
9
Drew RasmussenP
TBvsAZ· proj #10
3H live
T9
Tyler PhillipsP
MIA@STL· proj #14
3H live
T9
Kumar RockerP
TEX@TOR· proj #22
3H live
12
Ryan RolisonP
CHC@MIL· proj #1
2H live
T12
Jack FlahertyP
DETvsHOU· proj #12
2H live
T12
Zack LittellP
WSH@BAL· proj #13
2H live
T12
Emerson HancockP
SEA@CLE· proj #17
2H live
T12
Jesús LuzardoP
PHI@NYM· proj #23
2H live
T12
Ryan FeltnerP
COL@MIN· proj #25
2H live
T12
Connor PrielippP
MINvsCOL· proj #29
2H live
19
Brandon WoodruffP
MILvsCHC· proj #9
1H live
T19
Kyle BradishP
BALvsWSH· proj #19
1H live
How the board graded
Share of our top-ranked hitters that hit the mark, next to the season-to-date rate. Updating live — 11 games in progress.
Top 5
0/10%
season 43%-43 pts-26% ROI
Top 10
0/30%
season 46%-46 pts-21% ROI
Top 20
1/520%
season building
Top 50
1/520%
season building
Full slate
1/520%
season 48%-28 pts-15% ROI
“Hit” is the green check on the card — the mark. Pools are our pre-game top-ranked matchups; only settled (final) outcomes count. Season-to-date is every graded day this season.
Best MLB Hits Allowed Matchups — Sunday, June 28, 2026
Ryan Rolison (CHC) is the top hits allowed spot on the Sunday, June 28, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 1.9 H, with Sam Aldegheri (LAA) right behind. Every starter is ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow — his hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. It's the read DFS and pitcher-prop players make before lock.
Top spot: Ryan Rolison
Ryan Rolison (CHC) tops the Sunday, June 28, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 1.9 H vs MIL. His hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes.
The rest of the top of the board
Sam Aldegheri (LAA) (100) — about 4.1 H vs ATH.
Cionel Pérez (NYM) (91) — about 2.4 H vs PHI.
Robbie Ray (SF) (75) — about 4.5 H vs ATL.
Emmet Sheehan (LAD) (66) — about 4.7 H vs SD.
Hunter Brown (HOU) (55) — about 4.0 H vs DET.
How it played out
The top 10 starts averaged 2.7 H. Ryan Rolison finished with 2. Every projection is graded against the box score.
How to read the hits allowed board
Each starter's score (0–100) ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow — his hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. We project a hits allowed count for the start and grade it against what actually happened.
Which pitcher has the best hits allowed matchup today (Sunday, June 28, 2026)?
Ryan Rolison (CHC) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 1.9 H against MIL.
What are the best pitcher hits allowed props today?
The top projected starts on Sunday, June 28, 2026: Ryan Rolison (~1.9 H), Sam Aldegheri (~4.1 H), Cionel Pérez (~2.4 H), Robbie Ray (~4.5 H), Emmet Sheehan (~4.7 H). The full board ranks every starter.
How is the hits allowed score calculated?
Ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow — his hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected hits allowed count alongside, and graded against the box score.
Can I use this for pitcher props or DFS?
Yes — the board surfaces the best hits allowed spots and projects a number. Where there's a posted line we show the over/under and which side our projection leans. We show the data and grade it, not picks.
