MatchWiz Plays
Hits Allowed · Sunday, June 28, 2026

ATL @ SF Hits Allowed matchups · Sunday, June 28, 2026

ATL
ATL
Atlanta Braves
vs
4:05 PM EDT
SF
San Francisco Giants
SF
Oracle ParkElevation 0 ftCenter Field 391 ft 65°F SunnyWind 10 mph, Out To CF

ATL Chris Sale · LHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.8% Hits / BF

vs LHB19.6%
vs RHB21.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.5%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.9 BF

Expected batters faced24.9
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.2 H

Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-155+115
DKDraftKings-154+116

We project 5.2 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

SF lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Matt Chapman (R)20.6%3.0 PA
2Luis Arraez (L)22.7%3.0 PA
3Casey Schmitt (R)27.0%3.0 PA
4Rafael Devers (L)19.9%3.0 PA
5Willy Adames (R)19.4%3.0 PA
6Heliot Ramos (R)22.5%3.0 PA
7Jung Hoo Lee (L)26.1%2.9 PA
8Victor Bericoto (R)22.5%2.0 PA
9Eric Haase (R)22.5%2.0 PA

SF Robbie Ray · LHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate17.9% Hits / BF

vs LHB19.9%
vs RHB18.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.1%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.2 BF

Expected batters faced23.2
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.4 H

Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-110-130
DKDraftKings-106-125
FANFanatics+105-150

We project 4.4 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

ATL lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Michael Harris II (L)24.6%3.0 PA
2Ozzie Albies (R)26.1%3.0 PA
3Matt Olson (L)24.3%3.0 PA
4Drake Baldwin (L)22.3%3.0 PA
5Dominic Smith (L)19.1%3.0 PA
6Mauricio Dubón (R)22.9%2.2 PA
7Austin Riley (R)22.1%2.0 PA
8Mike Yastrzemski (L)17.8%2.0 PA
9Ha-Seong Kim (R)17.8%2.0 PA