MatchWiz Plays
Walks Allowed · Thursday, May 21, 2026

PIT @ STL Walks Allowed matchups · Thursday, May 21, 2026

PIT
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
62
Final
STL
St. Louis Cardinals
STL
Busch StadiumElevation 460 ftCenter Field 400 ft 67°F Partly CloudyWind 8 mph, L To R

PIT Braxton Ashcraft · RHP

Pitcher walks Rate8.5% BB / BF

vs LHB8.5%
vs RHB8.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.2%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.9 BF

Expected batters faced23.9
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.0 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Walks Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-135-105
DKDraftKings-127-104

We project 2.0 BB vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

STL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1JJ Wetherholt (L)8.5%3.0 PA
2Iván Herrera (R)8.5%3.0 PA
3Alec Burleson (L)8.5%3.0 PA
4Jordan Walker (R)8.5%3.0 PA
5Nolan Gorman (L)8.5%3.0 PA
6Masyn Winn (R)8.5%2.9 PA
7José Fermín (R)8.5%2.0 PA
8Pedro Pagés (R)8.5%2.0 PA
9Yohel Pozo (R)8.5%2.0 PA

STL Dustin May · RHP

Pitcher walks Rate8.5% BB / BF

vs LHB8.5%
vs RHB8.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.8%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.3 BF

Expected batters faced23.3
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.0 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Walks Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
BOVBovada+155-220
DKDraftKings+153-205

We project 2.0 BB vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

PIT lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Oneil Cruz (L)8.5%3.0 PA
2Brandon Lowe (L)8.5%3.0 PA
3Bryan Reynolds (L)8.5%3.0 PA
4Spencer Horwitz (L)8.5%3.0 PA
5Konnor Griffin (R)8.5%3.0 PA
6Marcell Ozuna (R)8.5%2.3 PA
7Jake Mangum (L)8.5%2.0 PA
8Jared Triolo (R)8.5%2.0 PA
9Henry Davis (R)8.5%2.0 PA