Best MLB walks allowed matchups — Thursday, May 21, 2026
Every starting pitcher on the Thursday, May 21, 2026 slate, scored — ranked by walk risk against today's lineup. His command, the lineup's plate discipline, and his workload. Results show how each call played out.
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload9.5 BF
Expected batters faced9.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection0.8 BB
Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Ben Rice (L)8.5%1.6
2. Aaron Judge (R)8.5%1.0
3. Cody Bellinger (L)8.5%1.0
4. Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L)8.5%1.0
5. Paul Goldschmidt (R)8.5%1.0
6. Spencer Jones (L)8.5%1.0
7. Ryan McMahon (L)8.5%1.0
8. Anthony Volpe (R)8.5%1.0
9. J.C. Escarra (L)8.5%1.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher walks Rate8.5% BB / BF
vs LHB8.5%
vs RHB8.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)7.0%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload14.1 BF
Expected batters faced14.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection1.2 BB
Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Ketel Marte (L)8.5%2.0
2. Corbin Carroll (L)8.5%2.0
3. Geraldo Perdomo (L)8.5%2.0
4. Nolan Arenado (R)8.5%2.0
5. Ildemaro Vargas (L)8.5%2.0
6. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (R)8.5%1.1
7. Gabriel Moreno (R)8.5%1.0
8. Jose Fernandez (R)8.5%1.0
9. Ryan Waldschmidt (R)8.5%1.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher walks Rate8.5% BB / BF
vs LHB8.5%
vs RHB8.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)7.8%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload20.3 BF
Expected batters faced20.3
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection1.7 BB
Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. James Wood (L)8.5%3.0
2. Curtis Mead (R)8.5%3.0
3. Jorbit Vivas (L)8.5%2.3
4. CJ Abrams (L)8.5%2.0
5. Dylan Crews (R)8.5%2.0
6. Daylen Lile (L)8.5%2.0
7. Luis García Jr. (L)8.5%2.0
8. José Tena (L)8.5%2.0
9. Keibert Ruiz (R)8.5%2.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Walks Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-120-120
DKDraftKings-116-115
We project 1.7 BB vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher walks Rate8.5% BB / BF
vs LHB8.5%
vs RHB8.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.7%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.2 BF
Expected batters faced21.2
From recent starts3
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection1.8 BB
Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Xavier Edwards (L)8.5%3.0
2. Liam Hicks (L)8.5%3.0
3. Otto Lopez (R)8.5%3.0
4. Kyle Stowers (L)8.5%2.2
5. Jakob Marsee (L)8.5%2.0
6. Christopher Morel (R)8.5%2.0
7. Heriberto Hernández (R)8.5%2.0
8. Pete Fairbanks (R)8.5%2.0
9. Javier Sanoja (R)8.5%2.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Walks Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada+140-180
DKDraftKings+138-184
We project 1.8 BB vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher walks Rate8.5% BB / BF
vs LHB8.5%
vs RHB8.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.3%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.4 BF
Expected batters faced21.4
From recent starts2
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection1.8 BB
Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. George Springer (R)8.5%3.0
2. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)8.5%3.0
3. Daulton Varsho (L)8.5%3.0
4. Kazuma Okamoto (R)8.5%2.4
5. Ernie Clement (R)8.5%2.0
6. Andrés Giménez (L)8.5%2.0
7. Myles Straw (R)8.5%2.0
8. Brandon Valenzuela (R)8.5%2.0
9. Yohendrick Piñango (L)8.5%2.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Walks Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada+105-145
DKDraftKings+105-140
We project 1.8 BB vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher walks Rate8.5% BB / BF
vs LHB8.5%
vs RHB8.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.0%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.6 BF
Expected batters faced21.6
From recent starts7
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection1.8 BB
Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Daniel Schneemann (L)8.5%3.0
2. José Ramírez (L)8.5%3.0
3. Chase DeLauter (L)8.5%3.0
4. Rhys Hoskins (R)8.5%2.6
5. Travis Bazzana (L)8.5%2.0
6. Angel Martínez (L)8.5%2.0
7. Steven Kwan (L)8.5%2.0
8. Patrick Bailey (L)8.5%2.0
9. Brayan Rocchio (L)8.5%2.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Walks Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-200+150
DKDraftKings-195+146
We project 1.8 BB vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher walks Rate8.5% BB / BF
vs LHB8.5%
vs RHB8.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.6%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.8 BF
Expected batters faced21.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection1.9 BB
Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Matt Vierling (R)8.5%3.0
2. Kevin McGonigle (L)8.5%3.0
3. Dillon Dingler (R)8.5%3.0
4. Riley Greene (L)8.5%2.8
5. Gage Workman (L)8.5%2.0
6. Spencer Torkelson (R)8.5%2.0
7. Wenceel Pérez (R)8.5%2.0
8. Colt Keith (L)8.5%2.0
9. Zach McKinstry (L)8.5%2.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Walks Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada+100-140
DKDraftKings+100-133
We project 1.9 BB vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher walks Rate8.5% BB / BF
vs LHB8.5%
vs RHB8.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.2%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.1 BF
Expected batters faced22.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection1.9 BB
Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Carson Benge (L)8.5%3.0
2. Bo Bichette (R)8.5%3.0
3. Juan Soto (L)8.5%3.0
4. Mark Vientos (R)8.5%3.0
5. Brett Baty (L)8.5%2.1
6. Marcus Semien (R)8.5%2.0
7. A.J. Ewing (L)8.5%2.0
8. MJ Melendez (L)8.5%2.0
9. Luis Torrens (R)8.5%2.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Walks Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-135-105
DKDraftKings-130-102
We project 1.9 BB vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher walks Rate8.5% BB / BF
vs LHB8.5%
vs RHB8.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.8%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.3 BF
Expected batters faced23.3
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.0 BB
Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Oneil Cruz (L)8.5%3.0
2. Brandon Lowe (L)8.5%3.0
3. Bryan Reynolds (L)8.5%3.0
4. Spencer Horwitz (L)8.5%3.0
5. Konnor Griffin (R)8.5%3.0
6. Marcell Ozuna (R)8.5%2.3
7. Jake Mangum (L)8.5%2.0
8. Jared Triolo (R)8.5%2.0
9. Henry Davis (R)8.5%2.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Walks Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada+155-220
DKDraftKings+153-205
We project 2.0 BB vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher walks Rate8.5% BB / BF
vs LHB8.5%
vs RHB8.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.2%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.9 BF
Expected batters faced23.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.0 BB
Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. JJ Wetherholt (L)8.5%3.0
2. Iván Herrera (R)8.5%3.0
3. Alec Burleson (L)8.5%3.0
4. Jordan Walker (R)8.5%3.0
5. Nolan Gorman (L)8.5%3.0
6. Masyn Winn (R)8.5%2.9
7. José Fermín (R)8.5%2.0
8. Pedro Pagés (R)8.5%2.0
9. Yohel Pozo (R)8.5%2.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Walks Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-135-105
DKDraftKings-127-104
We project 2.0 BB vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher walks Rate8.5% BB / BF
vs LHB8.5%
vs RHB8.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.4%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.9 BF
Expected batters faced23.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.0 BB
Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Alika Williams (R)8.5%3.0
2. Shea Langeliers (R)8.5%3.0
3. Nick Kurtz (L)8.5%3.0
4. Brent Rooker (R)8.5%3.0
5. Tyler Soderstrom (L)8.5%3.0
6. Zack Gelof (R)8.5%2.9
7. Henry Bolte (R)8.5%2.0
8. Darell Hernaiz (R)8.5%2.0
9. Lawrence Butler (L)8.5%2.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Walks Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-135-105
DKDraftKings-128-103
We project 2.0 BB vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher walks Rate8.5% BB / BF
vs LHB8.5%
vs RHB8.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.3%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.7 BF
Expected batters faced24.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.1 BB
Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Zach Neto (R)8.5%3.0
2. Mike Trout (R)8.5%3.0
3. Nolan Schanuel (L)8.5%3.0
4. Vaughn Grissom (R)8.5%3.0
5. Jo Adell (R)8.5%3.0
6. Josh Lowe (L)8.5%3.0
7. Jorge Soler (R)8.5%2.7
8. Logan O'Hoppe (R)8.5%2.0
9. Adam Frazier (L)8.5%2.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Walks Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-200+150
DKDraftKings-196+147
We project 2.1 BB vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher walks Rate8.5% BB / BF
vs LHB8.5%
vs RHB8.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.7%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.7 BF
Expected batters faced24.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.1 BB
Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Willi Castro (R)8.5%3.0
2. Tyler Freeman (R)8.5%3.0
3. Hunter Goodman (R)8.5%3.0
4. Ezequiel Tovar (R)8.5%3.0
5. Kyle Karros (R)8.5%3.0
6. Jake McCarthy (L)8.5%3.0
7. Mickey Moniak (L)8.5%2.7
8. Troy Johnston (L)8.5%2.0
9. TJ Rumfield (L)8.5%2.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Walks Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-110-130
DKDraftKings-107-123
We project 2.1 BB vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher walks Rate8.5% BB / BF
vs LHB8.5%
vs RHB8.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.4%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload25.5 BF
Expected batters faced25.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.2 BB
Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Eli White (R)8.5%3.0
2. Michael Harris II (L)8.5%3.0
3. Matt Olson (L)8.5%3.0
4. Ozzie Albies (L)8.5%3.0
5. Dominic Smith (L)8.5%3.0
6. Austin Riley (R)8.5%3.0
7. Mauricio Dubón (R)8.5%3.0
8. Ha-Seong Kim (R)8.5%2.5
9. Chadwick Tromp (R)8.5%2.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Walks Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-200+150
DKDraftKings-187+140
We project 2.2 BB vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
11 with a BBLive count — updates as games play
1
David PetersonP
NYM@WSH· proj #3
3BBFinal
T1
Carlos RodónP
NYYvsTOR· proj #5
3BBFinal
T1
Joey CantilloP
CLE@DET· proj #7
3BBFinal
4
Spencer StriderP
ATL@MIA· proj #4
2BBFinal
T4
Dustin MayP
STLvsPIT· proj #9
2BBFinal
T4
Braxton AshcraftP
PIT@STL· proj #10
2BBFinal
7
Braydon FisherP
TOR@NYY· proj #1
1BBFinal
T7
Zach AgnosP
COL@AZ· proj #2
1BBFinal
T7
Cade CavalliP
WSHvsNYM· proj #8
1BBFinal
T7
José SorianoP
LAAvsATH· proj #11
1BBFinal
T7
Eduardo RodriguezP
AZvsCOL· proj #13
1BBFinal
How the board graded
Share of our top-ranked hitters that hit the mark, next to the season-to-date rate.
Top 5
2/367%
season 48%+19 pts-18% ROI
Top 10
4/850%
season 52%-2 pts-10% ROI
Top 20
5/1242%
season building
Top 50
5/1242%
season building
Full slate
5/1242%
season 52%-10 pts-8% ROI
“Hit” is the green check on the card — the mark. Pools are our pre-game top-ranked matchups; only settled (final) outcomes count. Season-to-date is every graded day this season.
Best MLB Walks Allowed Matchups — Thursday, May 21, 2026
Braydon Fisher (TOR) is the top walks allowed spot on the Thursday, May 21, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 0.8 BB, with Zach Agnos (COL) right behind. Every starter is ranked by walk risk against today's lineup — his command, the lineup's plate discipline, and his workload. It's the read DFS and pitcher-prop players make before lock.
Top spot: Braydon Fisher
Braydon Fisher (TOR) tops the Thursday, May 21, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 0.8 BB vs NYY. His command, the lineup's plate discipline, and his workload.
The rest of the top of the board
Zach Agnos (COL) (71) — about 1.2 BB vs AZ.
David Peterson (NYM) (33) — about 1.7 BB vs WSH.
Spencer Strider (ATL) (27) — about 1.8 BB vs MIA.
Carlos Rodón (NYY) (26) — about 1.8 BB vs TOR.
Casey Mize (DET) (24) — about 1.8 BB vs CLE.
How it played out
The top 10 starts averaged 1.8 BB. Braydon Fisher finished with 1. Every projection is graded against the box score.
How to read the walks allowed board
Each starter's score (0–100) ranked by walk risk against today's lineup — his command, the lineup's plate discipline, and his workload. We project a walks count for the start and grade it against what actually happened.
Which pitcher has the best walks allowed matchup today (Thursday, May 21, 2026)?
Braydon Fisher (TOR) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 0.8 BB against NYY.
What are the best pitcher walks props today?
The top projected starts on Thursday, May 21, 2026: Braydon Fisher (~0.8 BB), Zach Agnos (~1.2 BB), David Peterson (~1.7 BB), Spencer Strider (~1.8 BB), Carlos Rodón (~1.8 BB). The full board ranks every starter.
How is the walks allowed score calculated?
Ranked by walk risk against today's lineup — his command, the lineup's plate discipline, and his workload. Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected walks count alongside, and graded against the box score.
Can I use this for pitcher props or DFS?
Yes — the board surfaces the best walks spots and projects a number. Where there's a posted line we show the over/under and which side our projection leans. We show the data and grade it, not picks.
