Best MLB walks allowed matchups — Thursday, May 28, 2026
Every starting pitcher on the Thursday, May 28, 2026 slate, scored — ranked by walk risk against today's lineup. His command, the lineup's plate discipline, and his workload. Results show how each call played out.
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload19.5 BF
Expected batters faced19.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection1.7 BB
Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Sam Antonacci (L)8.5%3.0
2. Munetaka Murakami (L)8.5%2.5
3. Miguel Vargas (R)8.5%2.0
4. Colson Montgomery (L)8.5%2.0
5. Chase Meidroth (R)8.5%2.0
6. Tristan Peters (L)8.5%2.0
7. Randal Grichuk (R)8.5%2.0
8. Derek Hill (R)8.5%2.0
9. Edgar Quero (L)8.5%2.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher walks Rate8.5% BB / BF
vs LHB8.5%
vs RHB8.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)20.0%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload20.7 BF
Expected batters faced20.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection1.8 BB
Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Zach Neto (R)8.5%3.0
2. Mike Trout (R)8.5%3.0
3. Vaughn Grissom (R)8.5%2.7
4. Jorge Soler (R)8.5%2.0
5. Jose Siri (R)8.5%2.0
6. Jo Adell (R)8.5%2.0
7. Oswald Peraza (R)8.5%2.0
8. Sebastián Rivero (R)8.5%2.0
9. Donovan Walton (L)8.5%2.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Walks Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-180+140
DKDraftKings-185+138
We project 1.8 BB vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher walks Rate8.5% BB / BF
vs LHB8.5%
vs RHB8.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.1%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.6 BF
Expected batters faced21.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection1.8 BB
Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Taylor Ward (R)8.5%3.0
2. Gunnar Henderson (L)8.5%3.0
3. Adley Rutschman (R)8.5%3.0
4. Pete Alonso (R)8.5%2.6
5. Weston Wilson (R)8.5%2.0
6. Leody Taveras (R)8.5%2.0
7. Colton Cowser (L)8.5%2.0
8. Jackson Holliday (L)8.5%2.0
9. Blaze Alexander (R)8.5%2.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Walks Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-200+150
DKDraftKings-196+146
We project 1.8 BB vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher walks Rate8.5% BB / BF
vs LHB8.5%
vs RHB8.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.9%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.6 BF
Expected batters faced22.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection1.9 BB
Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)8.5%3.0
2. Nico Hoerner (R)8.5%3.0
3. Michael Busch (L)8.5%3.0
4. Alex Bregman (R)8.5%3.0
5. Ian Happ (L)8.5%2.6
6. Seiya Suzuki (R)8.5%2.0
7. Michael Conforto (L)8.5%2.0
8. Miguel Amaya (R)8.5%2.0
9. Dansby Swanson (R)8.5%2.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Walks Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-105-135
DKDraftKings-101-132
We project 1.9 BB vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher walks Rate8.5% BB / BF
vs LHB8.5%
vs RHB8.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.2%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.8 BF
Expected batters faced22.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection1.9 BB
Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. George Springer (R)8.5%3.0
2. Nathan Lukes (L)8.5%3.0
3. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)8.5%3.0
4. Daulton Varsho (L)8.5%3.0
5. Kazuma Okamoto (R)8.5%2.8
6. Yohendrick Piñango (L)8.5%2.0
7. Ernie Clement (R)8.5%2.0
8. Andrés Giménez (L)8.5%2.0
9. Brandon Valenzuela (L)8.5%2.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Walks Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-125-115
DKDraftKings-129-103
We project 1.9 BB vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher walks Rate8.5% BB / BF
vs LHB8.5%
vs RHB8.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.9%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.0 BF
Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts2
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.0 BB
Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Colt Keith (L)8.5%3.0
2. Kevin McGonigle (L)8.5%3.0
3. Dillon Dingler (R)8.5%3.0
4. Riley Greene (L)8.5%3.0
5. Spencer Torkelson (R)8.5%3.0
6. Zach McKinstry (L)8.5%2.0
7. Matt Vierling (R)8.5%2.0
8. Wenceel Pérez (L)8.5%2.0
9. Jahmai Jones (R)8.5%2.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Walks Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-180+140
DKDraftKings-179+134
We project 2.0 BB vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher walks Rate8.5% BB / BF
vs LHB8.5%
vs RHB8.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.5%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.2 BF
Expected batters faced23.2
From recent starts6
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.0 BB
Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Ronald Acuña Jr. (R)8.5%3.0
2. Mauricio Dubón (R)8.5%3.0
3. Matt Olson (L)8.5%3.0
4. Ozzie Albies (R)8.5%3.0
5. Austin Riley (R)8.5%3.0
6. Michael Harris II (L)8.5%2.2
7. Jorge Mateo (R)8.5%2.0
8. Dominic Smith (L)8.5%2.0
9. Chadwick Tromp (R)8.5%2.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Walks Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada+125-165
DKDraftKings+125-167
We project 2.0 BB vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher walks Rate8.5% BB / BF
vs LHB8.5%
vs RHB8.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.4%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.3 BF
Expected batters faced23.3
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.0 BB
Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Spencer Horwitz (L)8.5%3.0
2. Brandon Lowe (L)8.5%3.0
3. Bryan Reynolds (L)8.5%3.0
4. Oneil Cruz (L)8.5%3.0
5. Jhostynxon Garcia (R)8.5%3.0
6. Jake Mangum (L)8.5%2.3
7. Tyler Callihan (L)8.5%2.0
8. Jared Triolo (R)8.5%2.0
9. Henry Davis (R)8.5%2.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Walks Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-155+115
DKDraftKings-151+114
We project 2.0 BB vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher walks Rate8.5% BB / BF
vs LHB8.5%
vs RHB8.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.8%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.2 BF
Expected batters faced24.2
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.1 BB
Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Byron Buxton (R)8.5%3.0
2. Brooks Lee (L)8.5%3.0
3. Trevor Larnach (L)8.5%3.0
4. Kody Clemens (L)8.5%3.0
5. Josh Bell (L)8.5%3.0
6. Orlando Arcia (R)8.5%3.0
7. Victor Caratini (L)8.5%2.2
8. Tristan Gray (L)8.5%2.0
9. Ryan Kreidler (R)8.5%2.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Walks Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada+120-160
DKDraftKings+117-156
We project 2.1 BB vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher walks Rate8.5% BB / BF
vs LHB8.5%
vs RHB8.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)20.2%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.4 BF
Expected batters faced24.4
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.1 BB
Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Jarren Duran (L)8.5%3.0
2. Ceddanne Rafaela (R)8.5%3.0
3. Wilyer Abreu (L)8.5%3.0
4. Willson Contreras (R)8.5%3.0
5. Andruw Monasterio (R)8.5%3.0
6. Marcelo Mayer (L)8.5%3.0
7. Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R)8.5%2.4
8. Carlos Narváez (R)8.5%2.0
9. Caleb Durbin (R)8.5%2.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Walks Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada+125-165
DKDraftKings+124-166
We project 2.1 BB vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher walks Rate8.5% BB / BF
vs LHB8.5%
vs RHB8.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.7%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.4 BF
Expected batters faced24.4
From recent starts7
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.1 BB
Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Justin Foscue (R)8.5%3.0
2. Sam Haggerty (L)8.5%3.0
3. Brandon Nimmo (L)8.5%3.0
4. Josh Jung (R)8.5%3.0
5. Evan Carter (L)8.5%3.0
6. Jake Burger (R)8.5%3.0
7. Ezequiel Duran (R)8.5%2.4
8. Kyle Higashioka (R)8.5%2.0
9. Nicky Lopez (L)8.5%2.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Walks Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-110-130
DKDraftKings-107-124
We project 2.1 BB vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher walks Rate8.5% BB / BF
vs LHB8.5%
vs RHB8.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.5%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload25.5 BF
Expected batters faced25.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.2 BB
Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Jeremy Peña (R)8.5%3.0
2. Yordan Alvarez (L)8.5%3.0
3. Isaac Paredes (R)8.5%3.0
4. Jake Meyers (R)8.5%3.0
5. Cam Smith (R)8.5%3.0
6. Braden Shewmake (L)8.5%3.0
7. Nick Allen (R)8.5%3.0
8. Brice Matthews (R)8.5%2.5
9. Christian Vázquez (R)8.5%2.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Walks Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-135-105
DKDraftKings-128-103
We project 2.2 BB vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
12 with a BBLive count — updates as games play
1
Simeon Woods RichardsonP
MIN@CWS· proj #1
3BBFinal
T1
Paul SkenesP
PITvsCHC· proj #4
3BBFinal
T1
Colin ReaP
CHC@PIT· proj #8
3BBFinal
T1
Chris SaleP
ATL@BOS· proj #10
3BBFinal
5
Grayson RodriguezP
LAA@DET· proj #6
2BBFinal
T5
Payton TolleP
BOSvsATL· proj #7
2BBFinal
T5
Davis MartinP
CWSvsMIN· proj #9
2BBFinal
T5
Nathan EovaldiP
TEXvsHOU· proj #12
2BBFinal
9
Jack FlahertyP
DETvsLAA· proj #2
1BBFinal
T9
Patrick CorbinP
TOR@BAL· proj #3
1BBFinal
T9
Chris BassittP
BALvsTOR· proj #5
1BBFinal
T9
Spencer ArrighettiP
HOU@TEX· proj #11
1BBFinal
How the board graded
Share of our top-ranked hitters that hit the mark, next to the season-to-date rate.
Top 5
1/425%
season 48%-23 pts-18% ROI
Top 10
6/967%
season 52%+15 pts-10% ROI
Top 20
8/1173%
season building
Top 50
8/1173%
season building
Full slate
8/1173%
season 52%+21 pts-8% ROI
“Hit” is the green check on the card — the mark. Pools are our pre-game top-ranked matchups; only settled (final) outcomes count. Season-to-date is every graded day this season.
Best MLB Walks Allowed Matchups — Thursday, May 28, 2026
Simeon Woods Richardson (MIN) is the top walks allowed spot on the Thursday, May 28, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 1.7 BB, with Jack Flaherty (DET) right behind. Every starter is ranked by walk risk against today's lineup — his command, the lineup's plate discipline, and his workload. It's the read DFS and pitcher-prop players make before lock.
Top spot: Simeon Woods Richardson
Simeon Woods Richardson (MIN) tops the Thursday, May 28, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 1.7 BB vs CWS. His command, the lineup's plate discipline, and his workload.
The rest of the top of the board
Jack Flaherty (DET) (80) — about 1.8 BB vs LAA.
Patrick Corbin (TOR) (65) — about 1.8 BB vs BAL.
Paul Skenes (PIT) (48) — about 1.9 BB vs CHC.
Chris Bassitt (BAL) (45) — about 1.9 BB vs TOR.
Grayson Rodriguez (LAA) (42) — about 2.0 BB vs DET.
How it played out
The top 10 starts averaged 2.1 BB. Simeon Woods Richardson finished with 3. Every projection is graded against the box score.
How to read the walks allowed board
Each starter's score (0–100) ranked by walk risk against today's lineup — his command, the lineup's plate discipline, and his workload. We project a walks count for the start and grade it against what actually happened.
Which pitcher has the best walks allowed matchup today (Thursday, May 28, 2026)?
Simeon Woods Richardson (MIN) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 1.7 BB against CWS.
What are the best pitcher walks props today?
The top projected starts on Thursday, May 28, 2026: Simeon Woods Richardson (~1.7 BB), Jack Flaherty (~1.8 BB), Patrick Corbin (~1.8 BB), Paul Skenes (~1.9 BB), Chris Bassitt (~1.9 BB). The full board ranks every starter.
How is the walks allowed score calculated?
Ranked by walk risk against today's lineup — his command, the lineup's plate discipline, and his workload. Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected walks count alongside, and graded against the box score.
Can I use this for pitcher props or DFS?
Yes — the board surfaces the best walks spots and projects a number. Where there's a posted line we show the over/under and which side our projection leans. We show the data and grade it, not picks.