MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Runs · Thursday, July 2, 2026

LAA @ SEA Runs matchups · Thursday, July 2, 2026

LAA
LAA
Los Angeles Angels
vs
9:40 PM EDT
SEA
Seattle Mariners
SEA
T-Mobile ParkElevation 10 ftCenter Field 405 ft

LAA LAA Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from LAA's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.141

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.21347 PA
Season.160287 PA
Last 2 Years.141970 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 26vs ATH1
Jun 27vs ATH0
Jun 28vs ATH0
Jun 29@ SEA2
Jun 30@ SEA0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L3–2
ERA1.97
WHIP0.72
IP45.2
H / K / BB28 / 54 / 5

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.115

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.11127 PA
Season.123171 PA
Last 2 Years.101693 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.333
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head2-for-14

Runs0 in 17 PA
Career Average.118
Plate Appearances17
HR · K · BB0 · 7 · 2

Projection

Projected Runs0.576

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.120

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.15819 PA
Season.123114 PA
Last 2 Years.120133 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 21@ ATH1
Jun 23vs BAL1
Jun 24vs BAL1
Jun 28vs ATH1
Jun 30@ SEA0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L3–2
ERA1.97
WHIP0.72
IP45.2
H / K / BB28 / 54 / 5

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.115

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.11127 PA
Season.123171 PA
Last 2 Years.101693 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.310
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.535

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.108

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08945 PA
Season.088215 PA
Last 2 Years.113874 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 26vs ATH0
Jun 27vs ATH1
Jun 28vs ATH0
Jun 29@ SEA0
Jun 30@ SEA0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L3–2
ERA1.97
WHIP0.72
IP45.2
H / K / BB28 / 54 / 5

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.112

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09343 PA
Season.118228 PA
Last 2 Years.099759 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.328
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head1-for-11

Runs0 in 12 PA
Career Average.083
Plate Appearances12
HR · K · BB0 · 2 · 1

Projection

Projected Runs0.503

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~2.4× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.11127 PA
Season.118204 PA
Last 2 Years.116680 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 24vs BAL1
Jun 26vs ATH0
Jun 27vs ATH1
Jun 29@ SEA0
Jun 30@ SEA0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L3–2
ERA1.97
WHIP0.72
IP45.2
H / K / BB28 / 54 / 5

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.115

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.11127 PA
Season.123171 PA
Last 2 Years.101693 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.321
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head1-for-5

Runs0 in 8 PA
Career Average.125
Plate Appearances8
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 3

Projection

Projected Runs0.506

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.124

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.12839 PA
Season.144104 PA
Last 2 Years.144104 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 26vs ATH1
Jun 27vs ATH0
Jun 28vs ATH1
Jun 29@ SEA0
Jun 30@ SEA1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L3–2
ERA1.97
WHIP0.72
IP45.2
H / K / BB28 / 54 / 5

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.112

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09343 PA
Season.118228 PA
Last 2 Years.099759 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.340
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.498

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.111

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.11942 PA
Season.099262 PA
Last 2 Years.101891 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 26vs ATH1
Jun 27vs ATH1
Jun 28vs ATH0
Jun 29@ SEA0
Jun 30@ SEA0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L3–2
ERA1.97
WHIP0.72
IP45.2
H / K / BB28 / 54 / 5

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.115

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.11127 PA
Season.123171 PA
Last 2 Years.101693 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.307
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head0-for-9

Runs0 in 10 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances10
HR · K · BB0 · 4 · 0

Projection

Projected Runs0.469

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 9-game hitting streak

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.114

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.15819 PA
Season.083133 PA
Last 2 Years.118669 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 26vs ATH0
Jun 27vs ATH1
Jun 28vs ATH1
Jun 29@ SEA0
Jun 30@ SEA1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L3–2
ERA1.97
WHIP0.72
IP45.2
H / K / BB28 / 54 / 5

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.112

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09343 PA
Season.118228 PA
Last 2 Years.099759 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.322
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head5-for-7

Runs0 in 7 PA
Career Average.714
Plate Appearances7
HR · K · BB1 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Runs0.457

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.107

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09731 PA
Season.100150 PA
Last 2 Years.086725 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 24vs BAL0
Jun 26vs ATH0
Jun 27vs ATH0
Jun 29@ SEA0
Jun 30@ SEA1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L3–2
ERA1.97
WHIP0.72
IP45.2
H / K / BB28 / 54 / 5

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.115

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.11127 PA
Season.123171 PA
Last 2 Years.101693 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.297
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head0-for-2

Runs0 in 5 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances5
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 1

Projection

Projected Runs0.442

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.118

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09731 PA
Season.13383 PA
Last 2 Years.128109 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 22vs BAL0
Jun 24vs BAL1
Jun 26vs ATH0
Jun 27vs ATH0
Jun 30@ SEA0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L3–2
ERA1.97
WHIP0.72
IP45.2
H / K / BB28 / 54 / 5

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.112

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09343 PA
Season.118228 PA
Last 2 Years.099759 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.327
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.44

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

SEA SEA Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from SEA's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.108

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02343 PA
Season.118204 PA
Last 2 Years.117768 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 26@ CLE0
Jun 27@ CLE0
Jun 28@ CLE0
Jun 29vs LAA0
Jun 30vs LAA0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L5–6
ERA3.14
WHIP1.34
IP71.2
H / K / BB59 / 69 / 37

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.126

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.24233 PA
Season.113230 PA
Last 2 Years.118714 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.299
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.542

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 7-game hitting streak

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.121

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.12839 PA
Season.115278 PA
Last 2 Years.135991 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 26@ CLE0
Jun 27@ CLE1
Jun 28@ CLE1
Jun 29vs LAA0
Jun 30vs LAA2

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L5–6
ERA3.14
WHIP1.34
IP71.2
H / K / BB59 / 69 / 37

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.109

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.13330 PA
Season.078193 PA
Last 2 Years.106605 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.329
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.528

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.115

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.11834 PA
Season.096249 PA
Last 2 Years.133898 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 26@ CLE0
Jun 27@ CLE0
Jun 28@ CLE1
Jun 29vs LAA2
Jun 30vs LAA1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L5–6
ERA3.14
WHIP1.34
IP71.2
H / K / BB59 / 69 / 37

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.126

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.24233 PA
Season.113230 PA
Last 2 Years.118714 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.323
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.528

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.130

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.11526 PA
Season.159252 PA
Last 2 Years.140979 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 26@ CLE0
Jun 27@ CLE1
Jun 28@ CLE0
Jun 29vs LAA1
Jun 30vs LAA2

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L5–6
ERA3.14
WHIP1.34
IP71.2
H / K / BB59 / 69 / 37

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.109

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.13330 PA
Season.078193 PA
Last 2 Years.106605 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.333
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.518

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.118

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10837 PA
Season.108167 PA
Last 2 Years.136899 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 26@ CLE1
Jun 27@ CLE0
Jun 28@ CLE1
Jun 29vs LAA0
Jun 30vs LAA1

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L5–6
ERA3.14
WHIP1.34
IP71.2
H / K / BB59 / 69 / 37

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.126

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.24233 PA
Season.113230 PA
Last 2 Years.118714 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.319
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.506

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2.8× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 5-game hitting streak

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.124

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.17135 PA
Season.128242 PA
Last 2 Years.118432 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 26@ CLE0
Jun 27@ CLE0
Jun 28@ CLE1
Jun 29vs LAA2
Jun 30vs LAA2

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L5–6
ERA3.14
WHIP1.34
IP71.2
H / K / BB59 / 69 / 37

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.126

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.24233 PA
Season.113230 PA
Last 2 Years.118714 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.326
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.497

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.109

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02836 PA
Season.11794 PA
Last 2 Years.11794 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 26@ CLE2
Jun 27@ CLE0
Jun 28@ CLE0
Jun 29vs LAA0
Jun 30vs LAA0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L5–6
ERA3.14
WHIP1.34
IP71.2
H / K / BB59 / 69 / 37

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.126

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.24233 PA
Season.113230 PA
Last 2 Years.118714 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.315
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.472

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.112

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04224 PA
Season.06844 PA
Last 2 Years.142274 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

Jun 21vs BOS0
Jun 23@ PIT0
Jun 28@ CLE1
Jun 29vs LAA0
Jun 30vs LAA0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L5–6
ERA3.14
WHIP1.34
IP71.2
H / K / BB59 / 69 / 37

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.109

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.13330 PA
Season.078193 PA
Last 2 Years.106605 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.309
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.439

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Runs / PA vs RHP.114

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0005 PA
Season.10519 PA
Last 2 Years.112107 PA

Last 5 GamesRuns

May 28vs TOR0
Jun 19vs BOS0
Jun 21vs BOS1
Jun 24@ PIT0
Jun 30vs LAA0

Opposing Starter · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.117

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L5–6
ERA3.14
WHIP1.34
IP71.2
H / K / BB59 / 69 / 37

Opposing Bullpen · Runs allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.109

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.13330 PA
Season.078193 PA
Last 2 Years.106605 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.313
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Runs0.431

A rough estimate of runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.